CURRENT DEMOGRPAHIC TRENDS IN NIGERIA OLUSINA BAMIWUYE(PhD)

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Presentation transcript:

MEASURING WELL-BEING AND FOSTERING THE PROGRESS OF SOCIETIES Rabat Conference 19-21 APRIL, 2012 CURRENT DEMOGRPAHIC TRENDS IN NIGERIA OLUSINA BAMIWUYE(PhD) OBAFEMI AWOLOWO UNIVERSITY, NIGERIA bamiwuye@oauife.edu.ng

DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS IN NIGERIA

NIGERIA AT A GLANCE Area (Sq Kilometres) 923,768 Total Population 140,003,542 NPoC 2006 Population Growth Rate(%) 3.2 NPoC 2006 Number of households 28,025,272 NBS(GHS) 2005 Households size average 4.8 NBS(GHS) 2006 MTN SUBSCRIBERS over 41.6 million GLO mobile 19.8 million Airtel 18 million

TRENDS IN TOTAL FERTILITY RATE YEAR TFR SOURCES 1981/82 5.94 NFS 1990 6.01 FOS/IRDMacro 1991 5.9 NPopC 1994 5.4 Sentinel Survey 1999 5.2 NDHS 2003 5.7 2008 RURAL 2008 6.3 URBAN 2008 4.7

TRENDS IN SELECTED DEMOGRAPHIC INDICATORS 2000 2005 2008 2009 2010 Population, total (millions) 123.7 139.8 150.7 154.5 158.4 Population growth (annual %) 2.4 2.5 Life expectancy at birth 46 49 50 51 TFR 5.9 5.7 5.6 5.5 Adolescent fertility rate (births per 1,000 women ages 15-19) 130 122 117 116 114 Contraceptive prevalence (% of women ages 15-49) .. 15 Mortality rate, under-5 (per 1,000 live births) 186 164 151 147 143 (SOURCE: WORLD BANK GROUP 2010)

TFR VS WANTED FERTILITY RATES (NDHS, 2008)

CONCLUSION The above indicators show some evidence of fertility decline in Nigeria Accurate population information and statistics are indispensable to study how demographic trends are affected by, and have an impact on social, economic and environmental factors. Capacity building of demographers and statisticians must be accorded highest priority

THANK YOU MERCI BEAUCOOP