Foreign Exchange Market

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Presentation transcript:

Foreign Exchange Market By: Megan Gilson and Brian hill

Gold Standard

Bretton Woods System The US dollar was the basis for all participating countries comparative value whereas the US dollar was the only one backed and measured by gold.

Forex Market Is a global and decentralized market made for the trading of currencies.

Managed floating rate system

Free Floating

Spots and Futures Spot Rates This is where buyers pay in a different currency to purchase another currency The spot exchange rate is the earliest value date, which is usually about two business days after the transaction Financial Speculation vs Trading

Forex Hours 24 Hours a day New York 8am to 5pm EST Tokyo 7pm to 4am EST Sydney 5pm to 2am EST London 3am to 12 noon EST Prime times Tokyo and Sydney- 7pm to 2am Tokyo and London- 3am to 4am New York and Sydney- 5pm New York and London- 8am to 12pm

Foreign Exchange turnover By Currency Total Spot Transactions Foreign exchange swaps USD 4,438 1,385 2,160 EURO 1,591 519 807 JPY 1,096 395 458 GBP 649 211 305 AUD 348 143 138 CAD 260 105 103 CHF 243 57 150 CNY 202 68 86 SEK 112 34 59 Other Currencies 1,195 388 409

Foreign Exchange turnover by country Total Spot Transactions Foreign exchange swaps United Kingdom 2,406 784 1,161 United States 1,272 581 391 Singapore 517 122 248 Hong Kong SAR 437 92 276 Japan 399 110 206 France 181 23 137 Switzerland 156 25 116 Australia 121 27 81 Germany 16 85 Other Countries 909 268 509

How are Currencies determined? Currencies are determined by countries and governments. How much will the currency be in a foreign country? This is called the exchange rate This is found and measured on the Forex Market. Foreign exchange reserves. Aka how much money other governments have of your currency The more other governments have of your currency the more valuable your currency is.

Currency code  Currency name Units per USD USD per Unit USD US Dollar 1.0000000000 EUR Euro 0.8504509570 1.1758467573 GBP British Pound 0.7588428321 1.3177959357 INR Indian Rupee 65.0503064935 0.0153727177 AUD Australian Dollar 1.2812920554 0.7804621872 CAD Canadian Dollar 1.2639840238 0.7911492402 SGD Singapore Dollar 1.3633225438 0.7335021375 CHF Swiss Franc 0.9853973910 1.0148190051 MYR Malaysian Ringgit 4.2307938809 0.2363622592 JPY Japanese Yen 114.0193315970 0.0087704426 CNY Chinese Yuan Renminbi 6.6279632094 0.1508759129 2017-10-23 00:29 UTC All figures are based on live mid-market rates. These rates are not available to consumer clients.

Cross Rate USD AUD CHF CAD EUR GBP JPY 1.2783 0.98428 1.26257 0.84986 Major Crossrates Cross Rate  USD  AUD  CHF  CAD  EUR  GBP  JPY 1.2783 0.98428 1.26257 0.84986 0.75633 113.312 0.78212 0.7699 0.98754 0.66470 0.59156 88.630 1.01582 1.2985 1.2826 0.86332 0.76829 115.104 0.79188 1.0123 0.7795 0.67300 0.59897 89.737 1.17661 1.50415 1.15809 1.48559 0.88990 133.323 1.32205 1.69018 1.30125 1.66919 1.1236 149.803 0.008824 0.01127 0.86855 0.01114 0.00750 0.00666 What is a 'Cross Rate' A cross rate is the currency exchange rate between two currencies when neither are official currencies of the country in which the exchange rate quote is given. Foreign exchange traders use the term to refer to currency quotes that do not involve the U.S. dollar, regardless of what country the quote is provided in. BREAKING DOWN 'Cross Rate' An exchange rate between the euro and the Japanese yen is considered a cross rate in the market sense because it does not include the U.S. dollar. In the pure sense of the definition, it is considered a cross rate if it is referenced by a speaker or writer who is not in Japan or one of the countries that uses the euro. While the pure definition of a cross rate requires it be referenced in a place where neither currency is used, the term is primarily used to reference a trade or quote that does not include the U.S. dollar. Major Crosses Any two currencies can be quoted against each other, but the most actively traded pairs are EURCHF, which is the euro versus the Swiss franc; EURGBP, the euro versus the British pound; EURJPY, the euro versus the Japanese yen; and GBPJPY, the British pound versus the Japanese yen. The euro is the base currency for the quote if it is included in the pair. If the British pound is included but the euro is not, the pound is the base. These currencies are actively traded in the interbank spot foreign exchange market, and to some extent in the forward and options markets. Minor Crosses Crosses traded in the interbank market but are far less active include CHFJPY, the Swiss franc versus the Japanese yen; and GBPCHF, the British pound versus the Swiss franc. Crosses involving the Japanese yen are usually quoted as the number of yen versus the other currency, regardless of the other currency. Any two currencies can be quoted against each other, regardless of whether the pair is traded. Cross quotes in currencies that are similar in value and quoting convention must be defined carefully to prevent mistakes. For example, the New Zealand dollar was quoted at 1.0500 per Australian dollar in late June 2016. Both are quoted against the U.S. dollar as the number of U.S. dollars to buy the foreign currency, which provides no guidance as to which is the base currency. It is market convention that uses the stronger AUD, which is also the larger economy, as the base. The two currencies trade near parity to each other, creating the potential for a misquote. Bid-Offer Spread The major crosses have bid-offer spreads slightly wider than the major dollar-based pairs, but they are quoted actively in the interbank market. Spreads in the minor crosses are generally much wider; some are not quoted directly at all, so a quote must be constructed from the bids and offers in the component currencies versus the U.S. dollar.

What influences Exchange rates Changes in inflation Lower inflation means higher currency value , higher inflation means lower currency value Change in Interest Rates Higher interest rates causes the exchange rate to rise, while lower interest rates decrease exchange rates This does not always hold

What influences Exchange rates Account Deficits Deficits cause a greater demand for foreign currency which in turn lowers a countries exchange rate Public Debt This isn’t good for getting foreigners to invest. Debt can have many risks, a few being the possibility of defaulting, increase supply of securities, and printing money.

What influences Exchange rates Political Stability And Economic Performance Strong economic countries that are in good political standing look better for investing. This increases foreign capital which increases exchange rates

What influences Exchange rates Recession Usually at this time interest rates fall which makes exchange rates fall Speculation If a country is expected to do well then it makes investors what to invest in that country. But the opposite happens when the country looks like it will do bad.

Cryptocurrencies-Bitcoin(5989.61) vs Gold(1275.75)

Sources https://www.thoughtco.com/what-determines-an-exchange-rate-1147883 http://www.xe.com/currencytables/?from=USD http://www.investopedia.com/terms/forex/f/foreign-exchange-markets.asp https://www.compareremit.com/money-transfer-guide/key-factors-affecting-currency-exchange- rates/ http://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/spotexchangerate.asp http://www.bis.org/publ/rpfx16.htm?m=6%7C381%7C677 https://www.barchart.com/forex/major-rates