Using Climate Outlook Information for sectoral planning South Asia Climate Outlook Forum 11 September 25-27, 2017 Male, Maldives Suranga Kahandawa - Senior Disaster Risk Management Specialist Priyanka Dissanayake – Disaster Risk Management Specialist

Source: White et al 2017

Source: White et al 2017

Using Climate Outlook for Sector Planning Seasonal Climate Outlook contributes to preparedness and planning ahead of season focus on the forecast as a product until recently neglected to take into account end users' needs and decision making behavior Specially useful for slow onset disasters Ex Ongoing Drought in Sri Lanka The rice harvest is less than half the normal production. Water levels are at approximately 20% in the main reservoirs

More stringent water management at different levels Using Climate Outlook for Drought Planning and Reservoir Operations Water Sector Predicting the drought a few months in advance will benefit a variety of sectors for drought planning and preparedness Curtail paddy cultivated area – encourage OFCs (in case of below normal) More stringent water management at different levels drought contingency plans and drought action triggers for the respective water supply sources Many factors affect reservoir storage. inflow and diversion important -reservoir storage If diversion can be projected with some degree of certainty, reservoir storage would largely depend on inflow. Inflow or natural river flow in turn is generated by precipitation. Thus, skillful rainfall forecasts could be useful for the generation of skillful reservoir storage forecasts. Modeling of river basins under the Climate Resilience Improvement Project (CRIP), which is supported by the Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery (GFDRR), will help us better understand water flows – World Bank

Using Climate Outlook for the Agriculture Sector Crop diversification or crop planning Planning for food imports Advance planning of planting materials/ seeds Selection of crop varieties etc

Preparedness for Response Shelter preparedness Strategic placement of relief stocks Strengthen preparedness at different levels including communities Summon committee meetings etc..

Financial Preparedness Execution of Disaster Reserve Funds Contingent contracting Preparedness for Assessments – Rapid + Detailed Prepare required documentation Prepare to access Contingent Financing Mechanisms such as CATDDOs Prepare for emergency funds such as Contingent Emergency Response Components (CERCs) eg: Update user manuals etc. Explore fiscal space in the current budget

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