Stage 1 & 2 checks of AQ inventories (Selected Examples)

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Presentation transcript:

Stage 1 & 2 checks of AQ inventories (Selected Examples) © Leonid Nyshko - Fotolia.com Stage 1 & 2 checks of AQ inventories (Selected Examples) Sabine Schindlbacher , Katarina MAreckova, 10 May 2017

Recalculations in the EU-28 MS Pollutant Number of Recalculations for the year 2014 (over 5 tonnes and over 10%) NOx 264 SOx 152 NMVOC 329 NH3 208 Source: Umweltbundesamt 2017

Examples for substantial Recalculations 1A1a Public electricity and heat production 3B1A Manure management - Dairy cattle 3F Field burning of agricultural residues 1A4bi Residential: Stationary DE IIR: Since emissions from application of manure to soils are reported for the first time in sector 3.D, the NH3emissions reported from sector 3.B decreased massively compared to the last submission. ES IIR: In this edition, residues of wooden crop pruning, such as olive or vine, although they are burned, this activity is considered as waste and for this reason, as explained in the corresponding section, the emissions derived from the burning of pruning remains are not included in category 3F; these are included in activity 5.C.2. Open burning of waste

Major Recalculations in the Sector 3B1a MS YEAR NFR-Code Full Name Pollutant Unit Recalculation in % Belgium 2014 3B1a Manure management - Dairy cattle NH3 kt -28.3 Germany -58.4 Estonia -51.5 Finland -53.4 Lithuania -68.4 Latvia 33.0 Poland 38.4 Sweden -65.0 Slovakia -70.1

Completness of 2017 data EU-28 For NOx, SOx, NMVOC, NH3 and PM2.5 in 134 cases „0“ is reported Improvement for next submission: Use of Proper Notation Key 21 cases of „C“ (confidential), only Sweden and Germany use this Notation Key 4 844 cases of „NE“ 15 788 cases of „NA“ The use of these notation keys does not indicate that the reporting is incomplete 10 345 cases of „NO“

Recalculations in the EU-28 MS Use of the notation key „NA“ is to be questioned if there is a method available in the EMEP/EEA Guidebook: often only revision of Notation Key necessary (e.g. NO instead of NA) Pollutant NFR Full Name MS that reported NA Highest reported value NH3 3F Field burning of agricultural residues CZ, IT, PL 3.6 kt (FR)) PM2.5 1B2aiv Fugitive emissions oil: Refining / storage AT, BG, DE, DK, FI, GB, LU, PL, SE 0.9 kt (PT) NOx 3B1A Manure management - Dairy cattle BG, GB, MT,PL 1.2 kt (NL) SOx 5C1biv Sewage sludge incineration EE, PL, RO 0.4 kt (GB) 2B3 Adipic acid production GB, PL, RO 0.07 kt (FR) 2A5a Quarrying and mining of minerals other than coal BG, LU, MT, RO 1.3 (FR) NMVOC 1A3ei Pipeline transport DK, RO 0.2 kt (FR) Source: Umweltbundesamt 2017

TIME Series Consitency The aim of this test is to identify instances of dips, jumps, and sudden trends in time series. Reported time series data were log 10-transformed prior to analysis to reduce intra-series variability and improve general time series linearity. A linear regression was subsequently applied to the log-transformed values for each time series. An individual value within the time series was identified as a dip/jump if the respective residual value (regression forecast value - reported value) was greater than 2 standard deviations from the mean of all residuals within the time series. Only time series where the flagged data value contributed a significant fraction (>3%) of the national total for the given year are included Time series where sigma grow largely (i.e. larger than 20% of the time series mean value) because of extreme variation in the emission data are also flagged.

Time Series Consistency – Example

Reporting in 6a and 6B Reporting of 6A : Other (included in national total for entire territory) (please specify in IIR) for 2015 GB HU LV NL SE Reporting of 6B: Other not included in national total of the entire territory (please specify in the IIR) for 2015: FR

PM2.5 > PM10 Approx: 350 cases for the year 2015 where PM2.5 = PM10 (for all 28 EU-MS) 6 cases for the year 2015 where PM2.5 emission are bigger than PM10 (for all 28 EU-MS) #ISO2 Year Sector Sector Description unit PM10 PM2.5 PM10-PM2.5 LT 2015 1A1b Petroleum refining kt 0.0125 0.0132 -0.0007 1A3dii National navigation (shipping) 0.0061 0.0065 -0.0004 3B2 Manure management - Sheep 0.0000 0.0025 -0.0025 LU 3De Cultivated crops 0.0079 0.2043 -0.1964 MT 3B4giv Manure management - Other poultry 0.000020 0.000027 -0.000007 NL 1A4ai Commercial/institutional: Stationary 0.027054 0.027079 -0.000025

PM2.5/PM10 ratio 5A: Biological treatment of waste - Solid waste disposal on land

NH3 Key Categories - Comparison

Fuel Sold/Fuel Used examples #ISO2 Year Pollutant Unit 1A3(template row 152) used Sum 1A3b(template row 27 to 33) sold Difference AT 2015 NOx kt 59.25 73.16 -13.91 BE 90.81 91.52 -0.71 CZ 39.10 35.62 3.47 IE 39.82 37.51 2.31 LU 5.17 13.25 -8.07 NL 106.84 84.82 22.02

ContaCt & Information Sabine Schindlbacher, Katarina Mareckova 0043-31304-5978, 0043-31304-5948, Sabine.schindlbacher@umweltbundesamt.at Katarina.Mareckova@umweltbudnesamt.at Umweltbundesamt www.umweltbundesamt.at TFEIP Meeting - Workshop Krakow  10.05.2017