South East European Multi-Hazard Early Warning Advisory System (SEE-MHEWS-A) Potential contribution to WMO Global Meteo Alarm System Milan Dacić and Sari Lappi WMO Secretariat 13 March 2017 First Meeting of the Advisory Group and Technical Team on WMO Global Meteo Alarm System

First phase Project highlights - Overall Objective: Achieved better collaboration between the NMHS, which will contribute to improved protection of life and property in South-East Europe. - Main outputs: Detailed implementation plan for a regionally owned Multi- Hazard Early Warning Advisory System (SEE-MHEWS-A) prepared and adopted by NMHS directors. Consensus of Directors of participating NMHS on the scope and technical content of the SEE-MHEWS-A; - Implementing organization: WMO, project coordination by FMI - Funding (First phase): USAID, 580 000 USD - Implementation period: 12 months, September 2016 – August 2017

Project partners Beneficiaries: Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Montenegro, Serbia, Kosovo (UNSCR 1244/99), the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, Turkey, Slovenia, Bulgaria, Greece, Cyprus, Hungary, Romania, Moldova, Ukraine, Israel, Jordan and Lebanon. Collaborators: ECMWF, EUMETSAT, EUMETNET, ESSL, JRC, ISRBC, SEE-DMC, SEE-VCCCC, Euro- Mediterranean Center on Climate Change, NWP consortiums, European and global NMHSs etc.

PROJECT ACTIVITIES Regional Conference on South-East European Multi-Hazard Early Warning Systems: Preliminary agreement of the scope of the project, geographical coverage and roles of different stakeholders. Establishment of the cooperative foundation for project implementation. SEE-MHEWS-A Implementation plan: Workshop on Forecasting requirements Workshop on Numerical modelling Workshop on ICT technologies and Observational requirements for Advisory system Final Regional Conference Acceptance of Implementation Plan and the technical specifications by participating NMHSs. Discussions with potential donors.

Why the Advisory System? Challenges of NMHS Steady reduction of national budgets for NMHSs Continuous decrease of number of young experts ready to dedicate lives to research Changing Legal and Economic environment of NMHSs Infrastructure developments Scientific developments Needs of the Societies for timely and accurate warnings Reduce the number of casualties Limit material loss and damage Contribute to economic growth Mission of NMHSs: Establish and operate observing station networks that gather observations of the earth–atmosphere–ocean system in real time Develop and distribute forecasts, warnings Advance science and technology Acquire and operate data-processing and forecasting systems to provide real-time weather, climate, water and related environmental services, including warnings and alerts to the public and sectors

Users ECMWF SEE-MHEWS-A Common Information Platform Global Models Regional Hydrological Models Observations & Topographic Data (Centralized DB) Nested A (High resolution model) Nested B (High resolution model) Regional Marine Models OB S Da t a SEE-MHEWS-A Common Information Platform MET (Products) HYDRO (Products) NOWCASTING (INCA, ESSL) Verification Visualization & Interactive tools MARINE (Products) OBS (Data & Products) WARNINGS (MeteoAlarm-P) COMMS (MeteoAlarm-F) This slide is for the World Bank Project participants (NMHSs, NMSs, NHSs, Water Authorities) Products, Data & Comms Stakeholders contributing to CIP Partner NMHSs ECMWF EUMETNET COPERNICUS Partner Research Inst. EUMETSAT Intl. River Commissions Users

Project Participants (NMHSs, NMSs, NHSs, Water Authorities) SEE-MHEWS-A Common Information Platform Low speed Internet High speed internet High speed internet Dedicated line/RMDCN Project Participants (NMHSs, NMSs, NHSs, Water Authorities) Terminal Workstation (further post-processing) Met LAM (National) Workstation (further post-processing & verification) Hydro Models (National) Marine Models (National) Category 1 Category 2 Category 3 Automatic Services to Users Automatic Services to Users Automatic Services to Users Automatic Services to Users Automatic Services to Users This slide is for the World Bank Manual Services to Users Manual Services to Users Manual Services to Users Manual Services to Users Manual Services to Users Users (Ntl. lev) Users (Ntl. lev) Users (Ntl. lev)

CONCLUSION MHEWS Advisory System in South East Europe (SEE-MHEWS-A) will contribute to enabling operational forecasting offices issue warnings at national level MHEWS Advisory Systems may be seen as a possible approach to other regions which may need this kind of support RA VI and RA I consider collaborating further on future implementation on MHEWS Advisory Systems SEE could be considered as a pilot region for WMO GMAS

PROJECT CONTACTS WMO/FMI Project Office in SEE Sari Lappi slappi@wmo.int WMO Regional Office for Europe Milan Dacić mdacic@wmo.int Project email address: see-mhews-a@wmo.int Project Website: http://public.wmo.int/en/projects/see-mhews-a