Background. NCDMod: a microsimulation model exploring the economic impacts of obesity interventions in Australia.

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Presentation transcript:

NCDMod: a microsimulation model exploring the economic impacts of obesity interventions in Australia

Background

Microsimulation:

NCDMod – a chronic disease microsimulation model

An individual’s journey through the model:

Aim:

Intervention uptake and completion assumptions:

Resource use assumptions:

Simulated obesity prevalence, 2010-2025

Comparative health outcomes, 2015-2025

Total direct health expenditure (5-year periods) with 50% uptake

Health expenditure – intervention costs 2015-2025

Discussion:

Future Development:

Acknowledgement

Thank you!

References:

Obesity: average probability transitions

NCDMod basefile population characteristics

Number of incident diabetes cases (5-year periods)

Obesity trend over time