Greg Pagans, Vice President

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Federal Reserve and Macroeconomic Policy
Advertisements

ABC. Question 1 The structure of the Federal Reserve includes: 12 district banks, 24 branches, the Board of Governors, and the FOMC A 24 district banks.
National Economic Indicators Ray Owens May 20, 2014.
BONDS 101 PUBLIC FUNDS INVESTING Prepared for: Presented by: Paul Jarvis Managing Director Member SIPC and FINRA. 11.
Regulatory Reform and Implications for the Municipal Bond Market RBDA Financial Regulatory Reform Webinar Lynnette Kelly Hotchkiss, Executive Director.
 Monetary Policy – actions the Fed takes to influence the level of real GDP and the rate of inflation in the economy  (The Fed = The Federal Reserve)
© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing; Essentials of Economics, R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien CHAPTER 16: Monetary Policy 1 of 30 The Federal.
Chapter 16. Structure of Central Banks & the Federal Reserve System Origins Structure Comparison to ECB Origins Structure Comparison to ECB.
Measuring Unemployment. U.S. Employment Picture 1999 and 2009.
Chapter 14. Structure of Central Banks & the Federal Reserve System Origins Structure Independence Origins Structure Independence.
The Post-FOMC Post Mortem: QE not so Mortem 2013 Gulf Power Economic Symposium Sandestin, FL September 30, 2013.
The Federal Reserve System Lecture 6.7. Federal Reserve Central bank of the U.S. that controls the size of the money supply to –help regulate the economy.
The Federal Reserve The Federal Reserve The Central Bank of the United States.
Rating the Rates: The Fed’s Role in the Larger Economy By Tanya Hanson and Tom Glaser Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta – Lesson Plan Contest of the Year.
Member of FINRA & SIPC; MSRB Registered Greg Pagans, Vice President Volusia/Flagler Chapter Florida GFOA March 20, 2015.
A Case for Waiting Out the Storm INVESTMENT PRODUCTS: NOT FDIC INSURED  NO BANK GUARANTEE  MAY LOSE VALUE Date Name.
Member of FINRA & SIPC; MSRB Registered eConnectDirect An online investment platform ACCG Summer Meetings Joe Michalak June 22 –
FOR INSTITUTIONAL USE ONLY NOT FOR PUBLIC DISTRIBUTION An introduction to the capital markets J.P. Morgan Investment Academy.
Brett Hammond, Ph.D. Managing Director and Chief Investment Strategist, TIAA-CREF ARE WE THERE YET? THE “NEW NORMAL” ECONOMY AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR INVESTORS.
Chapter 15 The Federal Reserve System & Monetary Policy
CMTA Advanced Treasury Workshop Floating Rate Notes, Fixed to Float Securities, Step Down Bonds and Convexity Presented by: Tony Garcia, CFA Vice President.
THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM The Fed was created in 1914 after a series of bank failures convinced Congress that the United States needed a central bank.
Cyclical Unemployment Occurs because of a downturn in the economy. (SSEMA1_d)
1 Chapter 5 The Federal Reserve. 2 The Federal Reserve (the Fed) The U.S. Central Bank I.The Role of the Federal Reserve System A.The purpose is to control.
Government Chapter 20.2 Monetary Policy. General Economics competition The existence of two or more companies within a single industry that are trying.
2016 Economic Outlook Dennis A. Johnson, CFA Chief Investment Officer
Federal Reserve Policies Kevin Scofield. Overview  Federal Open Market Committee  Goals of the Federal Monetary Policy  Tools of the Federal Monetary.
Chapter 5 – Central Banks BA 441 – Financial Markets and Institutions.
Chapter 1 Why Study Money, Banking, and Financial Markets?
Chapter 14: The Federal Reserve System Copyright © 2013 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McGraw-Hill/Irwin 13e.
Presenter Name Title MFS Investment Management ® Keep more of what you earn Tax-efficient MFS municipal bond funds © 2009 MFS Investment Management.
The Federal Reserve: What They Are, What They Do..
The Federal Reserve. Federal Reserve Act of 1913  Created 12 regional independent banks.
2017 Outlook For the Financial Markets
National Economic Conditions
Economics Flashcards # Unit 3 Macroeconomics
Demand Estimation and Forecasting
The Governments Bank and the Bank for the Banks…
I. THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM
Federal Reserve System
Annual Investment Report Presentation to City Council
The Federal Reserve and Monetary Policy
NCSHA 2016 MRB’s – Now and In the Future
Monetary Policy.
Understand the role of business in the global economy.
Chapter 24 Notes: Money and Banking in the United States
The Governments Bank and the Bank for the Banks…
VIP Investment Management Report
Standard SSEMA2- Explain the role and function of the Federal reserve.
Economics 330 – Money and Banking
Money/Banking/Fed.
The Federal Reserve System “the Fed”
Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
The Federal Reserve In Action
Financial Markets Chapter 11
Fiscal and Monetary Policy
Economics 330 – Money and Banking
THE FEDERAL RESERVE AND MONETARY POLICY
Understanding your retirement account statement
Projections and Portfolio Transitioning
© 2016 Pearson Education Ltd. All rights reserved.19-1© 2016 Pearson Education Ltd. All rights reserved.19-1 Chapter 1 Why Study Money, Banking, and Financial.
Macroeconomics Review
The Federal Reserve and Monetary Policy.
The Federal Reserve and Monetary Policy
Chapter 13 – Money & Banking
Tools of Monetary Policy
B. Craig Elder Director Senior Fixed Income Analyst
Financial Markets Update
Economics 330 – Money and Banking
IASA Northeastern Annual Regional Conference Economic and Capital Markets Overview November 2018 The material contained in this presentation has been.
Presentation transcript:

Greg Pagans, Vice President Volusia/Flagler Chapter Florida GFOA Greg Pagans, Vice President March 20, 2015

Multi-Bank Securities, Inc. Headquartered: Southfield, Michigan Fort Lauderdale, FL, office established in 1996 Member of FINRA and SIPC, MSRB Registered Member since 1988 (CRD #22098) Institutional fixed-income focus More than 5,000 Institutional Accounts Approved Underwriter U.S. agency securities — FHLB, FHLMC, FNMA FDIC-insured bank CDs (MI)

Disclosures Multi-Bank Securities, Inc. – broker/dealer, not advisor Offers no regulatory/audit advice Greg Pagans, Vice President, Institutional Fixed-Income Registered Representative — FINRA Series 6, 7, 24 and 63 (CRD #1585380)

Economic Update Past, Present, Future Federal Reserve Bank / FOMC Domestic Economy Interest Rates

BofA Merrill Lynch Global Investment Strategy, Global Financial Data, Bloomberg

Chairmen and Active Executive Officers of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Paul A. Volcker Aug. 6, 1979 - Aug. 11, 1987 Alan Greenspan Aug. 11, 1987 - Jan. 31, 2006 Ben S. Bernanke Feb. 1, 2006 - Jan. 31, 2014 Janet L. Yellen Feb. 3, 2014 - present

U.S. Federal Reserve and FOMC “Central Bank” of the United States Dual Mandate — Price Stability and Full Employment Controls Short-Term Interest Rates [Discount and Fed Funds Rates] Influences Long-Term Interest Rates

Fed Funds Rate 3/1980 – 2/2015

U-3 U.S. Unemployment Rate Total in Labor Force The unemployment rate tracks the number of unemployed persons as a percentage of the labor force (the total number of employed plus unemployed). These figures generally come from a household labor force survey.

U-3 Unemployment rate 3/1980 – 2/2015

U-6 Unemployment Rate Unemployed, Margin and Part Time as % of Labor Force This measure of unemployment includes the total unemployed, plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force, plus total employed part time for economic reasons, as a percentage of the civilian labor force, plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force. (Persons marginally attached to the labor force are those who currently are neither working nor looking for work, but indicate that they want and are available for a job and have looked for work some time in the past 12 months. Persons employed part time for economic reasons are those who want and are available for full-time work, but have had to settle for a part-time schedule).

U-6 Unemployment rate 1/1994 – 2/2015

Labor Force Participation Rate 1/1948 – 2/2015

U.S. Treasury 30-Year Bond Yield 12/1980 – 3/2015

U.S. Treasury 10-Year Bond Yield 12/1980 – 3/2015

Yield Curve A curve on a graph in which the yield of fixed-interest securities is plotted against the length of time they have to run to maturity. US Treasury definition: Treasury Yield Curve Rates. These rates are commonly referred to as "Constant Maturity Treasury" rates, or CMTs. Yields are interpolated by the Treasury from the daily yield curve. This curve, which relates the yield on a security to its time to maturity is based on the closing market bid yields on actively traded Treasury securities in the over-the-counter market. These market yields are calculated from composites of quotations obtained by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The yield values are read from the yield curve at fixed maturities, currently 1, 3 and 6 months and 1, 2, 3, 5, 7, 10, 20 and 30 years. This method provides a yield for a 10 year maturity, for example, even if no outstanding security has exactly 10 years remaining to maturity.

U.S. Treasury Yield Curve 1/2006 and 3/2015

U.S. Treasury Yield Curve 1/2010 and 3/2015

CHANGE in U.S. Treasury Yields Since 1/2010

PPI (Producer Price Index) Since June 2010

CPI (Consumer Price Index) MoM Since 3/2006

CPI (Consumer Price Index) YoY Since 3/2006

U.S. Treasury 10-Year Yields Since 1/2013

U.S. Treasury 5-Year Yields Since 1/2013

U.S. Treasury 3-Year Yields Since 1/2013

World Interest Rates (Developed Countries) 10-Year Maturities

World Interest Rates (Developed Countries) 5-Year Maturities

Fed Funds Futures Overview

Resources Wall Street Journal Online U.S. Treasury Yields http://online.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/mdc_bonds.html?refresh=on U.S. Department of the Treasury http://www.treasury.gov/Pages/default.aspx Securities Industry & Financial Markets Association SIFMA http://www.investinginbonds.com/ Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System http://www.federalreserve.gov/

Resources Real Clear Markets (news aggregator) http://www.realclearmarkets.com/ Business Insider (news aggregator) http://www.businessinsider.com/ ZeroHedge (news aggregator) http://www.zerohedge.com/

Thank You! Questions? Greg Pagans For additional information, please contact: Greg Pagans Vice President, Institutional Fixed Income Registered Representative FINRA Series 6, 7, 24, 63 (CRD #1585380) DISCLOSURE: Multi-Bank Securities, Inc. (MBS) cannot be held responsible for errors regarding time and/or price on buy/sell requests. Information provided in this presentation has been prepared from sources known to be reliable, but is not guaranteed and is not a complete summary or statement of all data necessary for making an investment decision. This is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation; please confirm all information before investing. Securities discussed are subject to availability and change in price and yield. Changes to assumptions may have a material impact on returns. Past performance is not indicative of future returns. For institutional investors only. Questions?