Getting Value in the Postnormal Rethinking Local Government beyond 2020 Presentation to MAV Future of Local Government Summit Rydges, Melbourne. May 2016

A Question of Leadership and Stewardship Not Later - NOW A Question of Leadership and Stewardship ways of doing - the new reality from structure to dynamic teams

Turning today stuff into technology is not enough Revolutionary Times? Turning today stuff into technology is not enough More than just innovative times

Complexity Chaos Contradiction unquantifiable risk everything is connected small changes big effects exponential change / laws of amplification unquantifiable risk more knowledgable: more ignorant more connected: more lonely more wealth: more disparity complexity + chaos + contradiction contradiction + exponential change = uncertainty Contradiction

DNA in the Post Normal Post Normal Normal Complex Chaotic Uncertain Simple Post Normal Orderly Complex Consistent Chaotic Contradictory Certain Uncertain

Reshaping form Internet of Things We shape our infrastructure and thereafter it shapes us Internet of Things Communications Logistics Energy https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MRPK1rBl_rI

Will Local government play? The Future Energy Space domestic storage means consumer control buildings as energy farms

Transactions redefined - Ethereum, the Trust machine The Blockchain (Ethereum) is a public ledger to which everyone has access but no-one controls. It will shape the future of the world economy and all public transactions in ways that are as profound as the internet itself. It will provide an absolutely secure trust in transactions that previously we relied on third parties to provide Vitalik Buterin

Logistics In the globalised economy it is estimated that some 65-70% of the costs of all physical products and services relate to the cost of moving those goods. But the future will see knowledge globalised production localised. Cosmo-localisation

Geographic governance 3 Sectors Model PRIVATE CIVIC PUBLIC FOCUS Shareholder Community of Interest Geographic governance Frameworks / Infrastructures BENEFIT Accumulation Exchange Shared interest EFFECT Disparity Order & Security Control/Regulation ETHOS Competition Collaboration

Reconstructing relationships Prosumerism Crowd funding Crowd - sourcing

Emergent Futures Obvious Emerging Visible 2016 2020 2025 2030 New org models IOT (13.5b) Local Commons 3 x size private sector Different form Obvious Autonomy dominates Post Carbon Prosumerism IOT (6.4b) Emerging Ethereum New energy Postnormal New logistics Visible 3 Sectors 2016 2020 2025 2030

Reflections at the Well This is a time to move beyond the noise and the blame To spend time in very different conversations That create new narratives which are inclusive and allow all to contribute So we can transcend where we are now For to do otherwise is to contemplate scenarios that are nightmarish if they were to come to pass