Decision-making Support Model Draft v1

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Presentation transcript:

Decision-making Support Model Draft v1 Cecília Mezei, Sándor Kovács, Viktor Varjú Hungarian Academy of Sciences Centre for Economic and Regional Studies Osijek, 6 November 2017

Local decision support scheme The need for Local knowledge about: Local resources (register of local resources related to renewable energy) Local circumstances: Added value of place (local capacities, local background, local milieu etc.) OR local background framework: social, natural and economic background

Analysing local specialities Attracting resources Outflow of resources Local circumstances Local resources Resources of - Natural capital - Classical economic capital - Human capital - Social capital landscape location network position institutional coverage amenity level of development natural environment economic structure business environment

Analysing local specialities Local planning environment (LEADER/LAG actions and plans) (Péter) Legal and policy environment (Réka)

Creating complex framework indicators Local resources Resources of - Natural capital - Classical economic capital - Human capital - Social capital Social environment Natural environment Economic environment

Required data for local/regional framework General descriptive settlement data (demography, functions, status, institutions etc.) (Sándor, Dóra) - Complex natural environmental indicator (Viktor) Complex Economic environmental indicator (Cili); Complex Social environmental indicator (Ákos) incl. data from survey

Measuring/Analysing status and potential of local resources for renewable energy use (LRREU) Biomass - land use forms by hectare (forest, farmlands, horticulture, green areas, built up and other areas with zero biomass potential) Operating biomass plants with potential capacities (kW) and the supply area (km, distance) Wood industrial activity (number of companies in food industry) – required information: the capacities (potential came from the industry) Livestock farms with number of animals and types Food industrial factories (number of companies) – required information: the capacities (potential came from the factory) Nursery gardens (number, hectare) – required information: the capacities (potential came from the industry) and own composting capacities - if there are Wind? Average wind force at 25 m Operating wind turbines with potential capacities Protected areas against wind turbine investments, hectare Potential areas appointed for the wind plants, hectare

Measuring/analysing status and potential of LRREU Solar Potential power (solar radiation) kWh/m2 Operating plants with capacities (public, private and households) Capacities of public buildings and public lands for building solar panels (m2) Waste The amount of communal waste (t/year) The amount of other waste (industrial waste produced at local level) Landfills with capacities Waste management treatment units at local level (yes or no) Distance (km) from the centre of the waste management region Waste water treatment plant (yes/no) with capacities Operating composting plants with capacities (in the region) Operating biogas plants (in the region’s waste water plants or landfills) Operating selective waste collection system (selective part, %)

Measuring status and potential of LRREU Geothermal water Operating geothermal power plant capacities (kW) Operating geothermal heating systems with capacities (kW) Operating city heating system (with the type of fuel) Number of geothermal pumps with the temperature and distance (m) Operating thermal bath Operating glasshouses Closed pumps Test drillings Ground heat ? Operating ground heating systems for households/businesses Operating ground heating systems for public use

Potential outcomes from potential of LRREU - List of LRREU potentials for every settlements? - Pratical guide for investments (returning period etc.)? - List of interventions for local leaders?

„Situation analysis” of the Society „Situation analysis” of Local Resources for Renewable Energy Use Decision support scheme/system for local stakeholders (incl. impact assessment) „Theory of renewable potentials with the creation of framework indicators” „Situation analysis” of the Society Complex framework indicators Analysing local specialities of the case study area - Biomass, - Solar - Wind, - Geothermal, - Ground heat, - Waste - List of LRREU potentials for every settlements? - Practical guide for investments (returning period etc.) ? - List of interventions for local leaders? KU research findings FERIT model/ measuring results Step1 Step2 – Step3 – Available potentials

Thank you for your attention!