John Marion Management & Technology Consultant

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Presentation transcript:

John Marion Management & Technology Consultant A Future for Coal in Power Generation Panel – How to Support Sustainable Use of Coal 2017 US-China Clean Coal Industry Forum Morgantown, WVa Nov.30 – Dec.1, 2017 John Marion Management & Technology Consultant

US-China CCIF 2017 - J. Marion Sustainability “Sustainability” is humanity’s target goal of human-ecosystem equilibrium (homeostasis) “Sustainable development” refers to holistic approaches that lead to that end point Three balanced pillars: economy, society, and environment For electric utilities sustainability is a dynamic concept encompassing “corporate responsibility”, “corporate social responsibility”, “environmental governance”, and “stewardship” – EPRI Sustainability Interest Group EPRI defines corporate sustainability as business strategy that incorporates and balances the three pillars Ref. United Nations Ref. Electric Power Research Institute US-China CCIF 2017 - J. Marion

UN Sustainability Goals Goal 7 – Affordable & Clean Energy – by 2030 Ensure universal access to affordable, reliable and modern energy services Increase substantially the share of renewable energy in the global energy mix Enhance international cooperation to facilitate access to clean energy research and technology, including renewable energy, energy efficiency, and advanced cleaner fossil-fuel technology, and promote investment in energy infrastructure and clean energy technology Expand infrastructure and upgrade technology for supplying modern and sustainable energy services for all in developing countries Fossil power is required in foreseeable future to balance goals of society & economy US-China CCIF 2017 - J. Marion

Coal in Balanced Generation Portfolio Lowest Cost Generation Mix for Deep Decarbonization 80% Cap with Banking – EPRI 2017 Least Risky Least Costly Maintains competition of resources and allows arbitrage Most Reliable Most able to weather supply disruptions Forecast of leading groups; IEA, EIA Fossil generation generally agreed outlook for 21st century Too much value ($) in fossil resources to not utilize – USA, China, global World net electricity generation by fuel – EIA WEO 2016 Trillion kilowatt-hours Liquids Nuclear Natural Gas Coal Renewables Fossil >50% US-China CCIF 2017 - J. Marion

Considerations for Sustainable Coal Power We need to maintain the coal supply, delivery, and generation industry, infrastructure, and knowledge today, for sustainable coal in our future Maintain and improve the current power plant fleet Efficiency of generation should be a no regrets action for today’s and tomorrow's fleet Future generation needs improved environmental performance and CCUS Continuity of support is needed for development Exploit synergy in development of those technologies that support both coal and NG utilization and both utility and industrial applications US-China CCIF 2017 - J. Marion

Roadmap for Sustainable Coal Transformational Coal Power Technologies Gasification Technologies Gas Power Technologies www.curc.net US-China CCIF 2017 - J. Marion

USA – China Collaboration Pool competencies Pool investments Avoid redundancies Seek Win-Win Transparent needs & wants Government Industry Other stakeholders Clarity on project scope and division Address National interests and perceptions Early consideration of IP rights Clarity of follow-on business and national objectives Anticipated costs vary with technology maturity creating a challenge to overcome high costs prior to commercial deployment US-China CCIF 2017 - J. Marion

US-China CCIF 2017 - J. Marion Summary Coal power generation must be included to achieve sustainable development in the 21st century A balanced generation portfolio with coal is in best interest of society, economy, environment Need to maintain and improve the existing fleet coincident with work towards an improved future fleet We should agree and follow a stakeholder consensus Roadmap for improving the existing plants and developing the next generation, including CCUS, such as is given by the CURC Policies and support are needed to achieve the roadmap and to maintain a balanced generation portfolio US-China collaboration is warranted US-China CCIF 2017 - J. Marion