HFIP Ensemble Product Subgroup Update on Prototype Products

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Presentation transcript:

HFIP Ensemble Product Subgroup Update on Prototype Products Mark DeMaria March 12, 2012 Conference Call

3 Prototype Ensemble Products Genesis ensembles from global models T. Marchok (lead) Combined track/intensity/structure ensembles from regional models J. Moskaitis (lead) Hybrid dynamical-statistical wind speed probabilities A. Schumacher, M. DeMaria (co-leads)

Prototype Genesis Product NHC Feedback: Emphasize 0-48 and 0-120 hr

Update on Genesis Product Scripts for automated product development Lead times changed based on NHC input 0-48 h and 0-120 h Product to be displayed on EMC genesis tracking web page Link on HFIP product web page?

Regional Model Products Several prototypes available from J. Moskaitis Final set needs to be selected Display options NRL web page HFIP web page

Implementation of Hybrid Product Decide on final set of tracks Operational GFS and ECMWF Include HFIP Ensembles (FIM and experimental GFS)? Source of ensemble tracks Product timing Use late global models, run as early model? Automated scripts under development at CIRA Product display CIRA web page or HFIP product page?