Valuing Scientific-Atlanta

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Valuing an Acquisition
Advertisements

Sequential Valuation – Love Potion Free Cash Flow 1999 = 1,000 –Interest expense = 50 –Depreciation = 100 –R&D = 1,500 –Expenses to remain a constant percent.
Strategic Capital Group Workshop #8: Cost of Capital.
Quiz 2: Review session Aswath Damodaran.
Firm Valuation: A Summary
Stocks and Their Valuation Chapter 10  Features of Common Stock  Determining Common Stock Values  Preferred Stock 10-1.
FIN352 Vicentiu Covrig 1 Common Stock Valuation (chapter 10)
Valuation Chapter 10. Ch 102 Valuation models –Discounted cash-flow –Market-based (multiples) –Residual income Model DCF and risidual income model are.
1 FINANCIAL ANALYSIS 1. Financial Statement Analysis 2. Common Size Statement Analysis 3. Ratio Analysis 4. Sources/ Uses of Funds 5. Statement of Cash.
Valuing an Acquisition
Stock Or Cash -- A Financial Perspective All Stock Deal A Plans to Acquire T in a Stock-for- Stock Deal With T Receiving $84.30 for Each Share of Its Common.
Valuation Chapter 17: 6,9,11,13,15. Myths about valuation Since valuation models are quantitative, valuation is objective A well-researched and well-done.
Firm Value 03/11/2008 Ch What is a firm worth? Firm Value is the future cash flow to each of the claimants Shareholders Debt holders Government.
Why Cost of Capital Is Important
FINAL REVIEW It ain’t over till its over… Yogi Berra.
INVESTMENT BANKING LESSON 13 DOING A DISCOUNTED FREE CASH FLOW ANALYSIS Investment Banking (2 nd edition) Beijing Language and Culture University Press,
Enterprise Value What is Enterprise Value? –Market Value of Equity plus debt minus cash and investments Why is it used? –To more accurately reflect the.
Chapter 12 Equity Valuation. The Basic Steps (1) Gather Current and Historical data –Several years on financial statements –Firm level non-financial data.
Fundamentals of Valuation P.V. Viswanath Based on Damodaran’s Corporate Finance.
1 Chapter 10 Equity Valuation Tools Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 5e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2009 by South-Western, a division.
Investments: Analysis and Behavior Chapter 10- Financial Statement Analysis ©2008 McGraw-Hill/Irwin.
©Cambridge Business Publishers, 2013 FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS & VALUATION Third Edition Peter D. Mary LeaGregory A.Xiao-Jun EastonMcAnallySommersZhang.
The Real Estate Income Statement. The value of any investment is simply the present value of its expected cash flows, using a discount rate that reflects.
MT 217 Unit 3 Seminar.
1 Valuing the Enterprise: Free Cash Flow Valuation Discount estimates of free cash flow that the firm will generate in the future. WACC: after-tax weighted.
Intro to Financial Management Understanding Financial Statements and Cash Flows.
VANDERBILT INVESTMENT BANKING VANDERBILT INVESTMENT BANKING Meeting 6: Financial Accounting.
0 EXAM III REVIEW. 1 Ch 5 Example 1 You need 40,000 in 5 years, you can invest at 8%, how much do you need to invest today?
Chapter McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Cost of Capital 11.
Intro to Financial Management Evaluating a Firm’s Financial Performance.
FINANCE MAP By Gaylen K. Bunker. Objectives of Workshop Principles: Time lag between investment and return. Compounding versus Summing Value = Discounted.
Valuing Business Methods of valuation DCF valuation (e.g. using WACC) DCF valuation (e.g. using WACC) Relative valuation (comparables) Relative valuation.
The Application Of Fundamental Valuation Principles To Property/Casualty Insurance Companies Derek A. Jones, FCAS Joy A. Schwartzman, FCAS.
Dividends, Reinvestment and Bonus Shares: The Shareholders’ Choice James Murray Michael Skully Monash University, Australia.
Chapter 2 Introduction to Financial Statement Analysis.
1 CHAPTERS 15 & 25 Corporate Valuation and Merger Analysis.
Corporate value model Also called the free cash flow method. Suggests the value of the entire firm equals the present value of the firm’s free cash flows.
Finance 206 Evaluating a firm’s Financial Performance.
1 Loose Ends. 2 Closed End Funds You are investing in a closed end mutual fund that invests in stocks. Given the risk of the stocks it invests in and.
DES Chapter 4 1 DES Chapter 4 Estimating the Value of ACME.
 Methods in Valuation Part II. Valuation Methods  Comparable Companies Analysis  Discounted Cash Flow  Leveraged Buyout  Risk Adjusted (NPV)
CORPORATE FINANCE REVIEW FOR QUIZ 1B Aswath Damodaran.
Estimating the Value of ACME 1. Steps in a valuation Estimate cost of capital (WACC) – Debt – Equity Project financial statements and FCF Calculate horizon.
1 Free Cash Flow Valuation: Some practical examples.
Managerial Finance Session 5/6
Estimating the Value of ACME
Demonstration Problem
Demonstration Problem
13 Equity Valuation Bodie, Kane, and Marcus
Fundamental Valuation
Analysis Example Financial Ratio
Course Title: Financial Statement Analysis Course Code: MGT-537
A firm which does not pay dividends can be valued by discounting all its FREE CASH FLOWS by its WACC Free Cash Flows = the cash flows actually available.
Q2 Financial Performance
Discounted Cash Flow Analysis
Finance Review Byers.
Estimating the Value of ACME
Financial planning and forecasting
Intro to Financial Management
Valuation Notes Tom Nelson
Multiyear Projections and Valuation
Daves Chapter 4 Estimating the Value of ACME
Loose Ends II.
YouTube Case Study Question: Is YouTube likely to earn its cost of equity? Answer: Depends on the credibility of the assumptions underlying the forecast.
Daves Chapter 4 Estimating the Value of ACME
Q2 Financial Performance
DES Chapter 4 Estimating the Value of ACME
Valuing Stocks -- Summary of Formula
Loose Ends.
Financial Markets – Fall, 2019 – Oct 17, 2019
Presentation transcript:

Valuing Scientific-Atlanta Acquired by Cisco Systems which has a Beta of 1.31 Assume Risk Free Rate of 5% and Equity Premium of 5% Net  $333,674  $155,808   $102,343 Earnings Equates to 52% and 114% growth rates But there appeared to be an acquisition in 2001 thus not “organic growth.” Let’s use 50% growth rate for 3 years then terminal earnings.

Valuing Scientific-Atlanta Finding Cost of Capital Cost of Capital = RF+(EP*B) 5+(5*1.31)=11.55

Valuing Scientific-Atlanta Year Projected Discount PV Earnings Rate 2002 500,511 11.55 448,687 2003 750,767 11.55 603,345 2004 1,126,151 11.55 811,312 1,863,344 1,126,151 = 9,750,225 6,297,038 .1155 $ 8,160,382 P/E of 24.5 Shares outstanding in 2001 164,899,158 $49.49 per share

Valuing Scientific-Atlanta Alternatives Use unleveraged Beta (but this company has no real debt capital. Use a different measure of earnings like EBITDA for 2001 $577,155 2002 865,733 2003 1,298,600 2004 1,947,900 Yields a value of $11,069,908 Or use an EBITDA multiple (13x 2002 EBITDA, top of the range in the boom of broadband telecom) $11,254,529

Cisco bought it in 2006 for $43 per share or $6. 9 billion Cisco bought it in 2006 for $43 per share or $6.9 billion. There appear to have been a little over 160 million outstanding shares.

Selected Financial Data (Dollars in Thousands, Except per Share Data) 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 Sales $ 1,910,892 $ 1,708,004 $ 1,450,353 $ 1,671,117 $ 2,512,016 CostofSales 1,195,667 1,073,202 947,581 1,086,961 1,718,160 Sales and Admin 203,118 199,118 191,134 186,579 220,161 R and D 163,543 149,233 146,596 148,652 154,346 Restructuring Expense (291 ) 1,325 17,446 28,164 — Earnings before Income Taxes 322,907 308,333 152,098 158,435 510,402 Net Earnings $ 210,760 $ 218,001 $ 100,345 104,384 $333,674 Thus they paid 37.3 times earnings compared to our P/E of 24.5

Net Earnings 210,760 Depreciation 78,954 Interest Expense (298,222) Taxes 112,147 EBITDA 103,639 (price is about 66x) Cash provided by operating $349,614

But press release says the price net of cash balances is really $5 But press release says the price net of cash balances is really $5.3 billion which is: PE of 25 and EBITDA multiple of 51