The Netherlands Parliamentary Elections 2017 Irene Arnold, 24th May 2017 Research Seminar: Reporting Europe

Parliamentary Election Results March 15, 2017 Distribution: 13 parties and 150 Parliamentary seats 2012-2017: percentages of votes per party VVD Largest party 21.1%, nationwide patterns Turnout 2017: 81.9%

Participants (28) and final Parttakers (13)

The Key Actors

Exit polls: Green runs the Dutch vote. 2012 vs Exit polls: Green runs the Dutch vote. 2012 vs. 2017: VVD -10; PVV +4; CDA +6; D66 +7; Groen Links +12; SP -1; PvdA -29; CU +1; PVdD +3; 50+ +2 etc Source: IPSOS

Coalition forming in a scattered landscape: four potential scenario’s

Electoral game changers: Pim Fortuyn (1948-2002) and Theo van Gogh (1957-2004)

Campaigning: battle for the ‘indecisive voter’ and scattered representatives

Campaigning: the national prism

Campaigning: nostalgia as offensive strategy

Alternative campaigning and scapegoating: immigration, discrimination, multiculturalism

Campaigning: the ‘new normality’

The political geography of the Netherlands Age-old dividing lines and paradigmatic electoral patterns

A divided country

Right wins the vote everywhere … Except for Amsterdam, Utrecht, Leudal

Populist blocks biggest in the south and northeast of the NLs Source: De Correspondent, Josse de Voogd, https://decorrespondent.nl/6298/deze-eeuwenoude-grenzen-kleuren-de-verkiezingen-nog-altijd/1053864140912-dddf1b75 ..

Left voter lives more often in the city

Political patterns reveal segregation and gentrification in the larger cities

The Netherlands Second https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ELD2AwFN9Nc Denmark second: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ryppmnDbqJY Germany second: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WcH9eWBs9fw Russia second: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BKiyZSDK9j4 Japan second: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KQnwRHW6jNQ And so forth …