Geospatial Impact Evaluation and Valuation of Land Degradation Projects Juha Uitto1,Geeta Batra1, Anupam Anand1, Dan Runfola2, Ariel BenYishay2 and Jyothy Nagol3 1Independent Evaluation office, Global Environment Facility 2College of William and Mary 3 Global Land Cover Facility, University of Maryland

Objectives Impact of GEF Land degradation interventions? Factors associated with the environmental outcomes? Value for Money in terms of Carbon sequestered? Objectives

GEF Land Degradation Focal Area

GEF Land Degradation Projects Use the data from the precise locations GEF Land Degradation Projects

Indicators Forest Cover(Tier 1) Carbon Sequestration(Tier 2b) Vegetation Productivity(Tier 2a) Forest Fragmentation(Tier 3a) Tier 1: Trends in land use/cover Tier 2a: Trends in land productivity Tier 2b: Trends in soil organic carbon stocks Tier 3a: Trends in biodiversity and ecosystem services Tier 3b: Trends in social and economic conditions Indicators

Methodology 6. Valuation of Carbon sequestration 1. Geocoding 2. Geospatial data 5. Causal trees analysis 3. Data integration 4. Matching analysis Methodology

Findings about location In the full report: Para 21 : About locations 26-27 One sentence: para 33-34-35 Positive increase in NDVI 25 km of protected area Low density Variable characteristics Some without forest cover

Causal tree NDVI

Findings: NDVI Less effective near urban areas Time required Multifocal Initial conditions Environmental and social characteristics 24. In 2011, an effort was undertaken to link the GEF Land Degradation Focal Area Strategy and the UNCCD 10-year (2008–18) strategy to streamline investments in sustainable land management.2 This effort was conducted in accordance with paragraph 24 of the UNCCD Strategic Plan and Framework adopted by the Conference of the Parties (COP; Decision 3/COP.8), under which the “COP may invite the GEF to take into account this strategic plan and to align its operations accordingly in order to facilitate effective implementation of the Convention.” Full report: Para 26-27 Include the causal tree Geeta to give 1-2 more slides from the report Findings: NDVI

Causal tree Forest cover

Findings: Forest cover 4.5 years after Population density More effective near urban areas 24. In 2011, an effort was undertaken to link the GEF Land Degradation Focal Area Strategy and the UNCCD 10-year (2008–18) strategy to streamline investments in sustainable land management.2 This effort was conducted in accordance with paragraph 24 of the UNCCD Strategic Plan and Framework adopted by the Conference of the Parties (COP; Decision 3/COP.8), under which the “COP may invite the GEF to take into account this strategic plan and to align its operations accordingly in order to facilitate effective implementation of the Convention.” Full report: Para 26-27 Include the causal tree Geeta to give 1-2 more slides from the report Findings: Forest cover

GEF land degradation project valuations Figure 10: Estimated valuations of each GEF LD project location. Projects can be viewed in more detail, and monetary valuation assumptions can be modified, at http://labs.aiddata.org/gef. GEF land degradation project valuations

108,800 tons of carbon sequestered per project location $7,500,000 contributed by sequestration alone 43.52 tons of carbon sequestered per hectare 24. In 2011, an effort was undertaken to link the GEF Land Degradation Focal Area Strategy and the UNCCD 10-year (2008–18) strategy to streamline investments in sustainable land management.2 This effort was conducted in accordance with paragraph 24 of the UNCCD Strategic Plan and Framework adopted by the Conference of the Parties (COP; Decision 3/COP.8), under which the “COP may invite the GEF to take into account this strategic plan and to align its operations accordingly in order to facilitate effective implementation of the Convention.” Findings

Suggestions Need to mainstream proposed by Use a learning-based approach as an initial screening tool for project planning Collect the exact geographic information of GEF land degradation activities on an ongoing basis Need to mainstream proposed by the UNCCD’s Land Degradation Neutrality Framework. 24. In 2011, an effort was undertaken to link the GEF Land Degradation Focal Area Strategy and the UNCCD 10-year (2008–18) strategy to streamline investments in sustainable land management.2 This effort was conducted in accordance with paragraph 24 of the UNCCD Strategic Plan and Framework adopted by the Conference of the Parties (COP; Decision 3/COP.8), under which the “COP may invite the GEF to take into account this strategic plan and to align its operations accordingly in order to facilitate effective implementation of the Convention.” Suggestions

24. In 2011, an effort was undertaken to link the GEF Land Degradation Focal Area Strategy and the UNCCD 10-year (2008–18) strategy to streamline investments in sustainable land management.2 This effort was conducted in accordance with paragraph 24 of the UNCCD Strategic Plan and Framework adopted by the Conference of the Parties (COP; Decision 3/COP.8), under which the “COP may invite the GEF to take into account this strategic plan and to align its operations accordingly in order to facilitate effective implementation of the Convention.” Thank you