Convergences and divergences in mortality. A new approach to health transition George Myers Memorial Lecture by Jacques Vallin INED, Paris.

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Presentation transcript:

Convergences and divergences in mortality. A new approach to health transition George Myers Memorial Lecture by Jacques Vallin INED, Paris

First stage : Omran’s epidemiologic transition

Long-term trends in female life expectancy for selected industrialized countries until the mid-60s

Long-term trends in female life expectancy for developing countries except Sub-Saharan Africa and countries affected by war

Long-term trends in female life expectancy for Sub-Saharan Africa

Second stage: the cardiovascular revolution

Trends in life expectancy (both sexes) since 1965 in industrialized countries Japan Russia England/Wales Czech Republic

Trends in life expectancy (both sexes) since 1965 in industrialized countries

Contribution of trends in age- specific mortality for seven main groupes of causes to changes in male life expectancy since 1965

Trends in male standardized mortality rate from cardiovascular diseases since 1965 in 6 industrialized countries

Third stage: the fight against ageing

Trends in life expectancy since 1980 in some Western industrialized countries

Contribution of trends in age-specific mortality by groups of causes in changes in female life expectancy from 1980 to 1999

What about sub-national differences ?

Trends in female life expectancy by French Départements as compared to the upper and lower limits of national trends in industrialized countries

Historical trends in maximum, minimum, mean and standard déviation of female life expectancy by French Départements

Geographical variations in life expectancy in France and Japan since le 1920s

Trends in sex differences in life expectancy

Trends in life expectancy at birth in England and Wales by social classes

The end