A clear, quantitative definition of concessional in character, in line with prevailing financial market conditions* Introduction by Simon Scott, OECD-DCD-SDF.

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Presentation transcript:

A clear, quantitative definition of concessional in character, in line with prevailing financial market conditions* Introduction by Simon Scott, OECD-DCD-SDF Expert Reference Group on External Financing for Development January 2014 * This is an exact quote from the Communique of the 2012 DAC High Level Meeting. The meeting agreed to establish such a definition as soon as possible, and at the latest by 2015.Communique of the 2012 DAC High Level Meeting

How is loan concessionality expressed? Long maturity (=grace period+repayment period) Presence of grace period (extended interval to first repayment of principal) Low interest rate

How is concessionality measured? A grant element calculation measures concessionality, taking account of maturity, grace period, and interest rategrant element calculation Such calculations need a reference interest rate as a benchmark The choice of discount rate is crucial to the result of a grant element calculation – different rates gives different answers to: whether a loan is concessional how concessional it is, and whether it is more concessional than another loan

Dimensions of choice for discount rate and grant element Fixed, or differentiated? Risk-free, or risk adjusted? Applied as a cut-off (ruling some loans in and some loans out), or as a continuum (counting concessional elements of all loans)?

Fixed vs. differentiated discount rates Advantages of fixed rate Loans at the same terms always have the same grant element, regardless of donor, recipient, currency and year Consistent with current system (10% fixed rate) and recent IMF decision (5%) Advantages of differentiated rate Can reflect cost of borrowing and risk of lending Consistent with system used for export credits and tied aid (OECD Differentiated Discount Rates) and with previous IMF system (based on CIRRs)

Risk-free vs. risk-adjusted discount rates (both assume differentiated rates) Advantages of risk-free Simple and well-known Avoids controversy over creditworthiness of borrower Avoids difficulties of accounting for effects of guarantees, insurance, seniority, political risks etc. Allows reporting of debt relief if loan forgiven Advantages of risk-adjusted Draft methodology already proposed by Canada, France, Germany and Spain More accurately reflects likely final cost of loan Avoids need for reporting on debt relief, since risk of this happening already included in valuation of grant element

Cut-off vs. continuum Advantages of cut-off Allows reporting of actual loan flows, which is The current system What the recipient actually receives and pays in cash The same basis as used for other financing, thus allowing summation of all official and private flows Advantages of continuum Allows reporting of all concessional elements in loans, which More accurately valorises effort Avoids sudden death exclusion of loans just below the threshold Encourages optimal use of interest rate subsidies

Trends in thinking 10% is seen as not reflecting financial conditions Movement towards differentiated, risk- adjusted rates and counting all grant equivalents This is a fairer measure of effort and burden-sharing Could dispose of objections to counting debt relief But no longer a flow measurement, so cant be added to other official and private flows UN 0.7% resolution based on actual disbursements

Summary Quantifying concessionality requires a reference (discount) rate A fixed rate provides more consistent results But a differentiated rate better values effort Measuring actual flows requires a cut-off; measuring concessional elements does not require a cut-off If the discount rate values the risk of default, then actual default should not require a new entry Most favour effort measurement of loans, which incentivises efficient use of concessional resources This breaks with the flow basis of data, and may have implications for other instruments, e.g. equity and guarantees