Towards a kinematic model of the Local Group as-Astrometry with VLBI

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Towards a kinematic model of the Local Group as-Astrometry with VLBI Andreas Brunthaler and M.J. Reid, Loeb, L.J. Greenhill, H. Falcke, C. Henkel

The Local Group of Galaxies about 35-40 member galaxies Milky Way and Andromeda subgroups

Dynamical models of the Local Group dynamics needed to estimate mass distribution only radial velocities of galaxies known Local Group Timing (Kahn & Woltjer 1959) - Milky Way and Andromeda (M31) have probably formed nearby and completed the larger part of at least one orbit. - Keplers law gives a mass of > 210 Msol for the Local Group assuming zero proper motion of M31 - dark matter needed 12

Dynamical models of the Local Group proper motions needed, but not easy: Photographic plates (50 years): 0.56±0.25 mas/yr for Sculptor dwarf galaxy at 88 kpc (Schweitzer et al. 1995) HST: 0.61 ± 0.23 mas/yr for Fornax dwarf at 140 kpc (Dinescu et al. 2004) 0.55 ± 0.23 mas/yr for Ursa Minor at 63 kpc (Piatek et al. 2005) LMC (Kallivayalil et al. 2006) SMC (Kallivayalil et al. 2006) Canis Major (Dinescu et al. 2005) Sagittarius dSph (Dinescu et al. 2005) Carina dSph (Piatek et al. 2003) limited to closest neighbours of Milky Way (< 150 pc) impossible for M31 subgroup Expected proper motions of few 10 as/yr detectable with VLBI

strong and compact radio sources needed VLBI Astrometry strong and compact radio sources needed 1. Radio cores • no strong cores in Local Group • S8.4 GHz(M31*) = 28±5 μJy (Crane et al. 1992) 2. strong maser emission • H2O masers known in M33 and IC10 • M33 and IC10 in Andromeda subgroup (~ 800 kpc)

} VLBI Astrometry  degrade image quality τ0sec(Z1) Δτ0 τ0 τ0sec(Z2) Dominant source of error: - inaccurate zenith delay τ0 at each antenna in correlator-model - different phase-errors for different sources Δφ1= 2πν·Δτ0sec(Z1) Δφ2= 2πν·Δτ0sec(Z2)  degrade image quality

VLBI Astrometry • Include geodetic-like observations - many quasars at different elevations - 16 IFs spanning 450 MHz • Allows determination of atmospheric zenith delay error • CLCOR to correct for this error • Improved image quality

Observations of M33 IC133 M33/19 • observations with VLBA • M33 6 epochs between 03/2001 and 06/2005 • M33 - two maser regions - reference QSO 1º away - check source 14’ away IC133 M33/19

Rotation of M33 Relative motion between IC133 and M33/19 depends only on rotation Assume vpec < 20 km/s (radial velocities of maser and H I agree) Relative proper motions  29.9  2 as/yr  9.7  5 as/yr Rotation model of HI: (Corbelli & Schneider 1997) In RA: 106.4  20 km/s In DEC: 35.0  20 km/s D = 750  140  50 kpc v = D 

Distance of M33 Reference Method Distance [kpc] Lee et al. 2002 Cepheids (revised) 802  51 Kim et al. 2002 TRGB + RC 916  55 McConnachie et al. 2005 TRGB 809  24 This work rotational parallax 750  140  50 Accuracy of < 10 % possible - better rotation model (higher resolution H I data) - new observations and third maser in M33

Observed motion of IC133: vobs = vrot + v + vprop Space motion of M33 Observed motion of IC133: vobs = vrot + v + vprop Internal rotation of M33: Assume vpec < 20 km/s (radial velocities agree) -64  20 km/s = -18.5  6 as/yr in RA -75  20 km/s = -21.6  6 as/yr in DEC

Observed motion of IC133: vobs = vrot + v + vprop Space motion of M33 Observed motion of IC133: vobs = vrot + v + vprop Reflex of Solar motion: measured proper motion of Sgr A* 6.379  0.024 mas/yr (Reid & Brunthaler 2004) => 0/R0 = 29.45  0.15 km/s kpc => 0 = 225  10 km/s at 7.62  0.32 kpc - peculiar motion of Sun from Hipparcos: (10.0, 5.25, 7.17) km/s (Dehnen & Binney 1998)  52.5  3.3 as/yr in RA -37.7  2.4 as/yr in DEC

Proper motion: vprop= vobs-vrot-v Space motion of M33 Proper motion: vprop= vobs-vrot-v RA: vprop = (4.7  3) – (-18.5  6) – (53  3) as/yr = -29.3  7.6 as/yr = -101  35 km/s DEC: vprop = (-14  6) – (-22  6) – (-38  2.4) as/yr = 45.2  9.1 as/yr = 159  47 km/s vrad = (-179  2) + (140  9) km/s = -39  9 km/s

Space motion of M33 (Brunthaler et al. 2006)

Observations of IC 10 • observations with VLBA • IC10 1 degree • IC10 - one maser region - reference QSO 1º away - check source 8’ away 6 epochs between 02/2001 and 06/2005

Observations of IC 10 A) ‘core-shift’ in calibrator ‘moves’ both sources - motion similar for maser and check source B) residual geometric errors in correlator model - motion similar for maser and check source C) ‘core-shift’ in check source - motion different for maser and check source  Look at relative motion between IC 10 and check source

Proper motion: vprop= vobs-vrot-v Space motion of IC 10 Proper motion: vprop= vobs-vrot-v RA: vprop = (6  5) – (8  6) – (37  4) as/yr = -39  9 as/yr = -122  31 km/s DEC: vprop = (23  5) – (3  6) – (-11  1) as/yr = 31  8 as/yr = 97  27 km/s vrad = (-344 3) + (196  10) km/s = -148  10 km/s

Space motion of M33 & IC 10 (Brunthaler et al. 2006)

Space motion of M31 • M31’s proper motion important Separation between M33 and M31 • M31’s proper motion important - n-body simulations of history of M33/M31/MW system - assume a trial proper motion for M31 1. Calculate orbits 10 Gyr backwards in time 2. Run n-body simulations forward - simulate M33 stellar disk with 100 tracer stars (Loeb et al. 2005)

Space motion of M31 • M31’s proper motion important - n-body simulations of history of M33/M31/MW system - assume a trial proper motion for M31 1. Calculate orbits 10 Gyr backwards in time 2. Run n-body simulations forward - simulate M33 stellar disk with 100 tracer stars 3. Calculate fraction of tidally stripped stars (from M33) (Loeb et al. 2005)

Space motion of M31 • M31’s proper motion important 20% 50% • M31’s proper motion important - n-body simulations of history of M33/M31/MW system - assume a trial proper motion for M31 1. Calculate orbits 10 Gyr backwards in time 2. Run n-body simulations forward - simulate M33 stellar disk with 100 tracer stars 3. Calculate fraction of tidally stripped stars (from M33) 4. exclude proper motions of M31 with a large amount of stripped stars (Loeb et al. 2005)

Space motion of M31 => vprop  80 km/s • M31’s proper motion important - n-body simulations of history of M33/M31/MW system - assume a trial proper motion for M31 1. Calculate orbits 10 Gyr backwards in time 2. Run n-body simulations forward - simulate M33 stellar disk with 100 tracer stars 3. Calculate fraction of tidally stripped stars (from M33) 4. exclude proper motions of M31 with a large amount of stripped stars => vprop  80 km/s (Loeb et al. 2005)

If M33 or IC 10 are bound to M31, then Vrel < Vesc or The mass of M31 If M33 or IC 10 are bound to M31, then Vrel < Vesc or MM31 > (V2rel R)/2G IC 10: Vrel = 147 km/s; R= 262 kpc => MM31 > 6.6  1011 Msol M33: Vrel = 230 km/s; R= 202 kpc => MM31 > 12  1011 Msol (for zero proper motion of M31) Lower limits: IC 10 M33 (0.7, 1, 2.5, 5, 10, 25) x 1011 Msol (4, 5, 7.5, 10, 25) x 1011 Msol

The mass of M31 Combination of lower limits and excluded regions gives a lower limit 7.5 1011 Msol 2 11 11

Koch & Grebel (2006) find a polar great plane of early-type Polar Plane around M31 Koch & Grebel (2006) find a polar great plane of early-type companions around M31 - M33 is also in this plane

Koch & Grebel (2006) find a polar great plane of early-type Polar Plane around M31 57º 44º 79º 49º 68º 27º 33º 45º 41º 61º 48º 21º 30º 28º 65º 34º 39º 24º 52º 43º Koch & Grebel (2006) find a polar great plane of early-type companions around M31 - M33 is also in this plane - calculate angle between motion of M33 and plane for different proper motions of M31

Koch & Grebel (2006) find a polar great plane of early-type Polar Plane around M31 Koch & Grebel (2006) find a polar great plane of early-type companions around M31 - M33 is also in this plane - calculate angle between motion of M33 and plane for different proper motions of M31 - large proper motions > 200 km/s of M31 needed to have M33 move in polar plane

Angular rotation of M33 measured (29.9  2 as/yr) Summary Angular rotation of M33 measured (29.9  2 as/yr) - geometric distance of M33: D = 750  150 kpc - consistent with Cepheids and TRGB • Dynamical models of the Local Group - space motion of M33: vM33 = 190  59 km/s - space motion of IC10: vIC10 = 215  42 km/s - n-body simulations exclude large parameter space for motions of M31: vprop  80 km/s - total mass of M31 > 7.5  1011 Msol

Outlook Local Group: get geometric distance to M33 to < 10% M. Steinmetz et al. Local Group: get geometric distance to M33 to < 10% use the (very) weak nucleus of M31 improve simulations of the history of the Local Group that combines proper motions and radial velocities ofther galaxies

Outlook