International Security and Peace: Northeast Security Issues Prof. Jaechun Kim

1. Geopolitical Map of Northeast Asia

2. Major Security Challenges of Northeast Asia North Korea’s Nuclear Weapons Program North Korea’s Byongjin Strategy (2013. 3. 31) : North made it official that it would not relinquish nukes Dramatic increase in nuke capabilities Use of HEU for 3rd test! Danger of nuclear arms race in the region

Source of instability in inter-Korean relations Not many policy options!

Escalating great power rivalry in the region Rise of China Assertive foreign policy posture of Xi – No more “韜光養晦 (conceal one's ability and bide one’s time!)” “有所作爲”  “主動作爲” “New Type of Great Power Relations (新型大國關係)” with the US – We are two equals!

Strained relations with Japan Good neighbor policy toward neighboring countries in Southeast Asia, but at the same time using ‘great power diplomacy’ to them… Disputes with Vietnam Disputes with the Philippines Strained relations with Japan Senkaku islands (釣魚島) Charm offensive to South Korea

Russia Strained Relationship with the US Gradual shift to Northeast Asian region

China & Russia in North East Asia and Korean Peninsula

US – Pivot to Asia (Rebalancing Strategy) ! Japan’s Renewed Aggression Collective self-defense Distorting history Territorial disputes with major stakeholder countries in the region  Asia Paradox

3. Solutions? How to Deal with the North Korean Nukes? Trust-process(trustpolitik) toward North Korea? Build Trust First! Strengthen (nuclear) deterrence? Restart nuclear diplomacy?

How to deal with Asian Paradox? Establish multilateral security institution in the region! Asian equivalent of CSCE and OSCE… Northeast Asia Peace and Cooperation Initiative (NAPCI)? Seek Cooperation in Non-traditional Security Issues (Human Security Issues) Give “neo-functionalism” a chance! Start Small; Incrementalist Approach… !

Mini-multilateralism Korea-Japan-China Trilateral Summit

Multilateral institutional settings of the region