Why is Science Necessary? Isn’t Psychology just common sense?

Why aren’t Intuition and Logic enough? Brain is flawed Inherent biases present in human thinking We need structures in place to collect information correctly

Order in Random Events Francis Bacon first came up with the idea Humans want the world to be organized, so we see or assume patterns that don’t exist in random events

Carroll’s Explanation Carroll saw a front stacked against a power run and a matchup he felt he could exploit with a short route against a rookie corner who had zero career interceptions. And he didn't want to run, get stopped short, burn his final timeout and be boxed into calling a pass on third down. "You could run on 2nd down, call timeout, have to throw on third and score, or incompletion and have to choose (run or pass) on the final down," Carroll texted. "That's ball logic, not 2nd guess logic ... you never think you'll throw an interception there, just as you don't think you would fumble."

Carroll’s Explanation  He did it by referencing Wilson's 11-yard touchdown pass to Chris Matthews on a ball that was snapped with six seconds left in the first half, completing a five-play, 80-yard, 29-second drive (you read that correctly) that tied the game at 14 "The logic and reasoning (of the second-and-1 pass) is why you throw a TD pass with six seconds left in the half," Carroll said. "You've trained your players to do the right thing, and I trust them to do right."

Hindsight Bias “I knew it all along” phenomenon “Monday morning quarterback”, “Hindsight is 20- 20”

Overconfidence We tend to overestimate our own abilities We also seek information that confirms our pre-existing beliefs

A Scientist is…CURIOUS Passion to explore and understand without being misled Ask yourself “Does it work” and design ways to test

A Scientist is…SKEPTICAL Doubt everything right off the bat Ask “how do you know?” Look for evidence Play “devil’s advocate” Put findings and theories to the test

A Scientist is…HUMBLE Accept new ideas when proven wrong- actually want to be PROVEN wrong Awareness of vulnerability to mistakes Open to ideas of others Goal is finding out truth- not self validation Open to other’s ideas