Global Supply & Demand Scenario Of Peanuts with Specific Focus On African Peanuts

Contents Production – Country wise & Estimates 2017. Export – Country wise & Estimates 2017. World Peanut Overview & Estimates 2017. Conclusion basis data provided by trusted sources.

2017 (Forecasted/ not declared yet) Senegal - Peanut Production Year Sup (ha) Yield (kg/ha) Prod. (Tons) 2012 708,956 949 692,572 2013 916,750 739 677,456 2014 878,659 762 669,329 2015 1135,339 925 1050,042 2016 1212,233 818 991,427 2017 (Forecasted/ not declared yet)  - 850000 - 950000 Average for last 5 years 970 387 839 816165 Source- (Institut Senegalais de Recherches Agricoles)

Senegal- Peanut Areas. .Touba Source- (Institut Senegalais de Recherches Agricoles)

Senegal - Peanut Export Partner Country Unit (Ton) Calendar Year 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 (estimated) World T 28423 12567 99774 159589 115000  China 7323 2626 65278 119269 − Vietnam 12768 7821 32111 39402 Switzerland 630 605 498 Netherlands 372 −  600 United Kingdom 576 378 Indonesia 320 160 Morocco 74 279 260 Senegal - Peanut Export Source - (Institut Senegalais de Recherches Agricoles)

Sudan- Peanut Areas. Source - International conference on oil seed

Sudan Peanut Groundnut Seeds comprises almost 80% of the total production of Oil Seeds in Sudan. Almost 70% of the Groundnut is grown in Western States ( Darfur & Kurdofan) (Rain fed). Exported amounts of shelled groundnuts from Sudan reduced dramatically during 1980s mainly due to : Decrease in planted area, mainly in irrigated schemes. Instability in production areas ( Rain Fed production). Quality issues ( Aflatoxine contamination).The severe international competition for high-quality groundnuts. Increased local demand. Source - International conference on oil seed

Groundnut In-shell Production 2006 to 2017 1000, MT. Total GN In-shell Seeds Production (Rain Fed & Irrigated) Source - International conference on oil seed

US - Peanut Production 2,595 Source - USDA Nov data

US - Peanut Yields Source - USDA Nov data

US - Peanut Export Source - USDA Nov data 2015 2016 2017 % Mkt Country 2015 2016 2017 % Mkt Share (2017) vs Values World 320,757 527,018 352,418 100% -33.13% $498,570,634 Canada 79,349 88,174 90,210 25.60% 2.31% $133,496,782 Mexico 67,049 76,637 82,163 23.31% 7.21% $103,008,271 China 9,886 169,980 42,933 12.18% -74.74% $30,846,420 Netherlands 38,546 27,513 40,604 11.52% 47.58% $54,478,973 Germany 13,610 15,305 15,762 4.47% 2.99% $27,050,477 Japan 9,425 12,169 12,585 3.575 3.41% $22,546,758 United Kingd 12,074 15,383 10,692 3.03% - ,30.49% $14,706,281 Vietnam 22,326 61,174 6,830 1.94% -88.84% $7,146,358 Spain 10,595 7,410 5,598 1.59% -24.46% $10,565,733 Norway 2,657 3,176 3,540 1.00% 11.46% $5,837,008 Source - USDA Nov data

Argentina - Peanut Production& 17’ Estimates Source - INDEC

Argentina -Peanut Export Source - INDEC

Brazil - Peanut Production & Export Major Export in 2016 Total Export – 105607 tons (in which major share of above is from Russia 30%, Netherland 20%, Algeria 15% & Vietnam 15%) Source – Trade Comercial Imp. & Exp

Production- MT ( In Shell Terms) China - Peanut Production & Export Production- MT ( In Shell Terms) Major Export's – Japan, S. Korea, S.E Asia, EU, USA/ CAN/ MEX, Middle East, Russia/ Ukraine Source - USDA Production Estimates

World Peanut Production The World production of the Peanut is expected to show an increase of about 1.4 million shelled (kernels) in the season 2017/2018 compared with the last season 2016/2017. This increase is due to the fact that the estimated crops in China, India, Argentina and USA are much larger than the initial expectation. In China alone there is an increase of 10% -15% more than last season i.e. from 10 million metric tons to 12 million metric tons shelled. In India the increase is estimated to be around 1 million metric tons shelled basis. In Argentina about 100,000 metric tons shelled basis. This increase in production has put pressure on the international market prices with edible peanuts dropping from the high of US$ 1600 per metric ton to level of US$ 1250 per metric ton CNF Rotterdam basis.  

  The world production during the last four seasons can be summarized as follows basis shelled (kernels) in metric tons:- Season Production 2013/2014 28,980,000 2014/2015 27,890,000 2015/2016 28,250,000 2016/2017 29,590,000 The contribution of Africa to the above World production ranges from 7 million metric tons shelled in 2013/2014 to 7.5 million metric tons in the season 2016/2017. About 50% of this quantity is mainly produced in Nigeria about 2.7-3 million metric tons, Senegal about 800,000-1000,000 metric tons, Sudan the same about 700,000- 950,000 metric tons and the balance distributed between other countries. Out of the above production the following is being traded in the international trade and the balance is consumed domestically. About 300,000 -400,000 metric tons (actual quantity depending on the Chinese demand) as edible peanuts for snacks, oil crushing etc. The 250,000 metric tons are crushed locally & Exported in form of groundnut oil. The main destination for both products is Europe and the Far Eastern market. Conclusion

Thank You ...... Disclaimer : This presentation include predictions, estimates or other information that might be considered forward-looking. While these forward-looking statements represent our current judgment on what the future holds basis available data from trusted sources. Please note that we are not obligating ourselves to revise or publicly release the results of any revision to these forward-looking statements in light of new information or future events. The Presenter and/or JKT Enterprises (and/or any subsidiary company of JKT Enterprises Pvt. Ltd) can not be held liable for any losses occurring to anyone by trading on these statements or views.