COMMISSION FOR CLIMATOLOGY RAPPORTEUR ON CLIMATE RELATED HAZARDS PROF. DR. LUIZ C. MOLION DIRECTOR INSTITUTE FOR ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES FEDERAL UNIVERSITY OF ALAGOAS MACEIO, ALAGOAS, BRAZIL

WMO COMMISSION FOR CLIMATOLOGY (CCl)

THE VISION CCL To stimulate, understand and coordinate international technical activity to obtain and apply climate information and knowledge in support of sustainable development and socio-economic protection.

MANAGEMENT GROUP (MG) WMO COMMISSION FOR CLIMATOLOGY (CCl) President Pierre Bessemoulin (France) Vice-president Wang, Shourong (China) Regional Representatives: RA III: Luis Molion (Brazil) RA V: Michael Coughlan (Australia) World Data Centres: Aleksandr Sterin (Russian Federation) OPAG 1 Climate Data and Data Management Chair: Raino Heino (Finland) Co-chair: Peter Ambenje (Kenya) OPAG 2 Monitoring and Analysis of Climate Variability and Change Chair: Thomas Peterson (USA) Co-chair: Manola Brunet India (Spain) OPAG 3 Climate Information and Prediction Services (CLIPS) Chair: Abdallah Mokssit (Morocco) Co-chair: José Luis Santos (Ecuador) OPAG 4 Climate Applications and Services Chair: Dong, Wenjie (China) Co-chair: Mohammed Kadi (Algeria)

OPAG 1 Climate Data and Data Management Chair: Raino Heino (Finland) Co-chair: Peter Ambenje (Kenya) 1.1 ET for Climate Data Management including Metadata Radim Tolasz (Czech Republic) 1.2: ET on Observing Requirements and Standards for Climate William Wright (Australia) 1.3: ET on Rescue, Preservation and Digitization of Climate Records Joe Elms (USA)

OPAG 2 Monitoring and Analysis of Climate Variability and Change Chair: Thomas Peterson (USA) Co-chair: Manola Brunet India (Spain) 2.1: ET Joint CCl/Clivar/JCOMM on climate change detection and indices 2.2: ET Climate Monitoring including the use of satellite and marine data and products Zheng Zuqieng (China)

OPAG 3: Climate Information and Prediction Services (CLIPS) Chair: Abdallah Mokssit (Morocco) Co-chair: José Luis Santos (Ecuador) 3.1: ET on Research Needs for Intraseasonal, Seasonal & Interannual Prediction Jean-Pierre Ceron (France) 3.2: ET on CLIPS Operations, Verification and Applications Services Overall lead: Philbert Tibaijuka (Tanzania) 3.3: ET on El Niño and La Niña Luc Maitrepierre (New Caledonia) 3.4: Rapporteur on Climate And Water Nakaegawa Tosiyuki (Japan) 3.5: Rapporteur on Climate and Agrometeorology Roger Stone (Australia)

OPAG 4: Climate Applications and Services Chair: Dong, Wenjie (China) Co-chair: Muhammed Kadi (Algeria) ET 4.1: Expert Team on Climate and Health ET 4.2: Expert Team on Climate and Energy ET 4.3: Expert Team on Climate and Tourism ET 4.4: Expert Team on Urban and Building Climatology 4.1: ET on Climate and Health Glenn McGregor (UK) 4.2: ET on Climate and Energy TBD 4.3: ET on Climate and Tourism Dan Scott (Canada) 4.4: ET on Urban and Building Climatology Sue Grimmond (UK)

DISASTER RISK REDUCTION CCL PROJECT PROPOSALS IN SUPPOR TO NATURAL DISASTER PREVENTION AND MITIGATION AND DISASTER RISK REDUCTION

TITLE: WORLDWIDE INVENTORY OF ENSO IMPACTS Focus Areas: 1, 2, 6 and 7 Motivation: Impacts of ENSO were identified about 20 years in the past by Ropelewski (who is part of the ET) & Halpert. Much has been learned since then but some NMHSs are not aware of them. Diagnosed impacts can be used for development of strategies of prevention and mitigation .

GENERALIZED ENSO GLOBAL IMPACTS  

RAINFALL DEPARTURES EL NIÑO EVENTS   COLD PHASE WARM PHASE PACIFIC DECADAL OSCILLATION

RAINFALL DEPARTURES LA NIÑA EVENTS      COLD PHASE WARM PHASE PACIFIC DECADAL OSCILLATION

TITLE: WORLDWIDE INVENTORY OF ENSO IMPACTS Focus Areas: 1, 2, 6 and 7 Motivation: Impacts of ENSO were identified about 20 years in the past by Ropelewski (who is part of the ET) & Halpert. Much has been learned since then but some NMHSs are not aware of them. Diagnosed impacts can be used for development of strategies of prevention and mitigation Product: An Atlas of regional ENSO impacts Realization: OPAG 3 ET 3.3 on EL NIÑO & LA NIÑA Timeline: 2007-2009 Interactions: Consultation with CAgM, CHy, JCOMM and CAS, NMHSs and RCCs as needed .

TITLE: ESTABLISHMENT OF OPERATIONAL HEAT HEALTH EARLY WARNING SYSTEM IN WMO MEMBER COUNTRIES Focus Areas: 3, 5, 6 and 7 Motivation: Heat waves are periods of abnormally high temperatures, potentially impacting on mortality or morbidity. Multi-global model ensembles and downscaling today produce better climate forecasts 3 to 6 month lead time . Product: Technical guidelines on heat health warning systems Realization: OPAG 4 ET 4.1 on Climate and Health Timeline: 2006-2007 Interactions: Consultation with CBS (and WCRP) and NMHSs and RCCs as needed Title:

TITLE: IMPLEMENTATION OF CLIMATE WATCH SYSTEMS WITHIN NMHSS AND RCCS Focus Area: 3 Motivation: Capacity building is the main aspect of this project. Climate systems encompass all climate hazards and their related negative impacts. Product: Capacity building training workshops in all WMO regions to improve Climate Watch Realization: OPAG2 on Monitoring and Analysis of climate variability and change Timeline: 2008-2011 Interactions: NMHSs, specially those of developing countries, and RCCs will be involved Title:

FINAL REMARKS……. PREVENTION REQUIRES CLIMATE FORECASTING SHORT RANGE: 3 – 12 MONTHS  GLOBAL AND REGIONAL CLIMATE MODELS. NEED: SST FORECASTING HAS TO BE IMPROVED LONG RANGE: 1 – 2 DECADES  STATISTICAL MODELS AND DIAGNOSTIC STUDIES. NEED: RELIABLE LONG DATA TIMESERIES. “ CLIMATE FORECASTING IMPROVEMENT DEPENDS ON THE UNDERSTANDING OF HEAT TRANSPORT BY THE OCEANS” SOME DEVELOPING COUNTRIES HAVE A NON-NEGLIGIBLE CAPACITY IN CLIMATE WITHIN THEIR UNIVERSITIES AND RESEARCH INSTITUTIONS. RAs HAVE TO INVOLVE THEM FOR DPM PROGRAMME SUCCESS ( DOC 7, P.8, ITEM (iii): CAPACITY)

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