Emily Wimberger California Air Resources Board TE3 Conference

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Presentation transcript:

Designing Policies for Reducing Vehicle GHG Emissions: A California Perspective Emily Wimberger California Air Resources Board TE3 Conference October 28, 2016 California Air Resources Board

Outline California Climate Strategy California GHG emissions from transportation Achieving long-term climate and air quality targets Considerations and extensions California Air Resources Board

California Air Resources Board

California Climate Strategy California Air Resources Board

California Climate Strategy California Air Resources Board

California GHG Emissions Source: https://www.arb.ca.gov/cc/inventory/data/data.htm California Air Resources Board

Light-Duty Vehicle GHG Emissions Light-duty vehicles account for 70% of transportation GHG emissions Source: 2000-2014 Emissions Trends Report https://www.arb.ca.gov/cc/inventory/data/data.htm California Air Resources Board

Trends in On-Road Light Duty Gasoline Emissions Source: 2000-2014 Emissions Trends Report https://www.arb.ca.gov/cc/inventory/data/data.htm California Air Resources Board

Policy Drivers for GHG Reductions in the Transportation Sector Governor Brown’s call to reduce petroleum use in cars and trucks by up to 50 percent by 2030 Mobile Source Strategy Vehicle technology standards and regulation Reductions in VMT Achieve criteria pollutant standards Sustainable Freight SB 350 widespread transportation electrification California Air Resources Board

Draft Reference Scenario 10 California Air Resources Board

Beyond the Reference Case Known commitments to 2030 SB 350 Mobile Source Strategy SB 1383 – Short Lived Climate Pollutants SB 375 Closing the gap Enhance and extend existing programs New policies and prescriptive regulations California Air Resources Board

Considerations and Extensions Impact of transportation policies nested in economy-wide policies Distributional impacts of transportation policy Localized health and cross-media impacts Scope of transportation fuels and vehicles Regulatory objective function Feasibility and timing of implementation California Air Resources Board

Specific Considerations Kellogg Implementation and flexibility Distribution of impacts Regulator’s optimization Price collar extension Anderson, Fischer, and Egorenkov Expansion of fuels Infrastructure and vehicle costs California Air Resources Board

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