All Hands on Deck Meeting

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
1 The importance of good data for policy analysis: an example from Tanzania Cheryl Christensen Economic Research Service (ERS) United States Department.
Advertisements

Financial turmoil and Transition Countries Fabrizio Coricelli University of Siena and EBRD Istanbul June 25, 2008.
Highlights. Second - quarter GDP growth slows in U. S. and Japan… surges in Euro Zone growth at seasonally - adjusted annualized rates Source : National.
The Russian Default of 1998 A case study of a currency crisis Francisco J. Campos, UMKC 10 November 2004.
Business Optimism Index Kuwait Q Presented by Dun & Bradstreet South Asia Middle East Ltd (D&B) Muthanna Investment Company (MIC)
Why Latvia? Baltic Renewable Energy – Latvia. Latvia is positioned for potential Baltic Renewable Energy – Latvia Population: Total EU Canada/US.
1998 Russian Crisis Group 8 Nery Lemus Wilmer Molina Omer Erinal Mollah Yerima.
T ourism Market Overview Germany, Austria and Switzerland in FY 2012/13.
COMPETITIVENESS OF BULGARIA COMPETITIVENESS OF BULGARIA Kamen Kolev, PhD Kamen Kolev, PhD THE EUROPEAN DAY OF THE ENTREPRENEUR Bulgarian Industrial Associationwww.bia-bg.com.
WTO - Europe Year 2003 : Will tourism pick up again? Presentation by Luigi Cabrini, Regional Representative for Europe World Tourism Organization (WTO)
2  GDP (purchasing power): $2.225 trillion  GDP (official exchange rate): $1.757 trillion  GDP - real growth rate: 6%  GDP - per capita (PPP): $15,800.
International Economics
Challenges and Opportunities of Georgia’s Economy Mr. Aleksi Aleksishvili ₋ Chairman of Policy and Management Consulting Group (PMCG) ₋
Moscow, 25th September Petrocurrency Russian Ruble: How to Sell Crude Oil for Rubles Igor SUZDALTSEV Head of Financial Institutions OTP Bank, Russia.
1 Regional Economic Outlook Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan, and Pakistan Masood Ahmed Director, Middle East and Central Asia Department International.
2009 Economic Forecast Update & Three -Year Outlook.
1 Regional Economic Outlook Caucasus and Central Asia Middle East and Central Asia Department International Monetary Fund May 2009.
OPENING REMARKS AND PRESENTATION OF THE RUSSIAN ADVERTISING MARKET SERGEY VASILIEV, CEO – VIDEO INTERNATIONAL GROUP EGTA’S ANNUAL MARKETING & SALES MOSCOW,
QB March 2011 Presentation by the South African Reserve Bank to the Portfolio Committee on Finance Quarterly Bulletin March April 2011.
CFNA China’s Pulses Production and Trade in 2008 Season.
CBA Investors Update Date: November 2012 Presentation by: Richard Muriithi Old Mutual Asset Managers (K) Ltd.
REPUBLIC OF BELARUS. OUTLINE: Background Economic development since 1991 Preconditions and impact of world financial crisis in 2008 Devaluation of currency.
1 Global Financial Crisis and Central Asia Ana Lucía Coronel IMF Mission Chief for Kazakhstan Middle East and Central Asia Department International Monetary.
Saudi Arabia Business Optimism Index – Q Presented by Dun & Bradstreet South Asia Middle East Ltd. (D&B) National Commercial Bank (NCB)
BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES IN ROMANIA A Market Briefing U.S. Commercial Service Bucharest September 8, 2010.
Outlook and Reforms to Promote Inclusive and Sustainable Growth Azim Sadikov Resident Representative Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Moldova, and.
International bank club «Analytics unlimited»
Think global, serve local October 1st, 2015Piotr Napolski Trade Finance with Ukraine from the perspective of a regional bank.
Regional Economic Prospects May 2016 Modest pick-up amid continued uncertainty European Bank for Reconstruction and Development May 2016.
The world steel market balance and price in 2009 SE UPE Co. Developed by UPE Co., Ukraine The DELPHICA project.
United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service Foreign Agricultural Service Linking U.S. Agriculture to the World Daniel B. Whitley,
Market perspectives for CIS steelmakers: order books and steel prices in 3Q-4Q 2010 Presented by Dr. V. Vlasjuk UPE Co. Research&Consulting, Ukraine 8.
The Rise….. And Rise ….and Fall of China ?. The Chinese Dragon.
UKRAINE BUMPER CROP OF SFS IN 2016/17 AND SUNFLOWER OIL MARKET DEVELOPMENT Speaker: SVITLANA SYNKOVSKA, Marketing Director APK-INFORM AGENCY.
CISI – Financial Products, Markets & Services
20 Multiple Choice Questions with Answers
DEFINITION AKEI, is an Economic institute that will focus on highlighting the Economic condition in Kurdistan Region and Iraq as well. Our organization.
Kenya's economy, “the future pride of Africa”
Foreign Exchange If a certain good costs $100, how many euros does it cost? So nations have worked out systems that facilitate the exchange of currencies.
Objectives Describe the ways in which countries around the world are interdependent. Understand how international treaties and organizations make global.
NS4301 Summer Term 2015 China Devaluation: Implications for Africa
The structure of economy in Hungary
Current Export Climate from a Global National and local perspective
Presentation made by the South African Reserve Bank to the Standing Committee on Finance 23 February 2010.
by mk² marketing & kommunikation gmbh

Eastern Europe: market overview
The “status” of the Crisis in Europe A General Outlook
Alaska Seafood Marketing Institute FY16 Retail BUDGET
ASMI SUMMER STRAT SESSION August 2017 BRAZIL Jose Madeira
© The Young Entrepreneurs Academy, Inc. All Rights Reserved
Monetary policy in the early months of 2015
Atul Joshi, Managing Director & CEO Thursday, November 15, 2018
Chapter 3 Income and Purchasing Power
Russian Economic Report No. 24
©2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved
Globalization.
Ryan A. Bailey, CFA, FRM, CAIA, CMT
EU GATEWAY TO KOREA Facilitating long-lasting business collaborations
Pawnbrokers and Payday Lenders 2018 Profiler
China Sunflower Oil Market Report
4.4 Trade: elements and types
Retail’s Good Year Accelerates Into the Third Quarter
Credit risks in the Republic of Belarus
C-Stores and Their Customers Are at the Mercy of the Oil Market
Ievgen Kuzin, Fruit-Inform
Chapter 19 Section 1.
FY 20 International Budget Proposal
ALASKA SEAFOOD MARKETING INSTITUTE
Overview of Alaska Seafood Marketing Institute and its programs
Presentation transcript:

All Hands on Deck Meeting Eastern Europe Season 2015-2016 Tatiana Novikova, Regional Representative October 22, 2015

Market update, Russia - Putin’s decree “destruction on the border” of all food brought into the country against import bans on Western products. In June first food deflation (0.4%) recorded since August 2014; growth for food prices slowed to 18.8%. In the end of August Russian ruble crashed to its weakest level since January. 71.65rub/usd August 2015 – 36rub/usd August 2014. So-called "import substitution" has become a central plank in Russia's response to an economic crisis, actively promoted by the government. Far East salmon catch is expected on the level of 330 th tons, which is around 10% less than in 2013 Retailers lowered their quality requirements for caviar. GOST standard was changed to milder TU – which will result in lower quality of caviar on shelves. Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a decree ordering the “destruction on the border” of all food brought into the country against import bans on Western products. in June, for the first time since August 2014, food deflation was recorded in Russia, in monthly terms it was 0.4% (inflation in May was 0.1%); growth for food prices slowed to 18.8% from 20.2%. In the end of August, plunge in prices for Russia’s main export, crude oil, sent the ruble crashing to its weakest level since January. Russia’s ruble eased as far as 71.65 to the U.S. dollar on Monday, August 25 as concerns over the Chinese economy drove the price for Brent crude below $45 a barrel for the first time since March 2009. The ruble was trading around 36 to the dollar this time in 2014. So-called "import substitution" has become a central plank in Russia's response to an economic crisis. The trend is driven in part by the sharp decline in the rouble, which has the effect of making imports more expensive, helping the competitiveness of goods made locally. It is also being actively promoted by the government. Far East salmon catch is expected on the level of 330 th tons, which is around 10% less than in 2013 Retailers lowered their quality requirements for caviar. GOST standard was changed to milder TU – which will result in lower quality of caviar on shelves. Retailers are trying to reduce prices and preserve the level of sales in the light of slow consumer demand.

Market update, Ukraine Standard & Poor's lowered its ratings for Ukraine to “selective default” The International Monetary Fund has once again revised its forecast for Ukraine's GDP in 2015 downwards, to 11% from 9% projected in June. Devaluation of the local currency and following decrease of the purchasing power of population by 35% approximately Fluctuation of the US dollar rate and as a result the import of goods becomes unprofitable. Import of food products, alcoholic beverages and tobacco products reduced by 25%. On Dec 1,2016, 10% customs duty recalled. Increase of import volume expected. Importers buy on spot. Ukrainian fish processors diversify their business sending valued added products to CIS countries. The credit rating agency Standard & Poor's lowered its ratings for Ukraine's short-term debts in foreign currencies to "selective default." The move means the American credit rating agency does not believe Ukraine will be able to fully pay back its debt to commercial bondholders. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has once again revised its forecast for Ukraine's GDP in 2015 downwards, to 11% from 9% projected in June. According to Fitch forecasts, the Ukrainian economy decrease in 2015 will total 9%, while the World Bank is a bit more optimistic and estimates GDP decline of 8% by the end of 2015. Devaluation of the local currency and following decrease of the purchasing power of population by 35% approximately; Fluctuation of the US dollar rate and as a result the import of goods becomes unprofitable. The significantly reduced purchasing power had a strong negative impact on the consumer goods market, which in turn led to decline of import of consumer goods and light industry products. For example, import of food products, alcoholic beverages and tobacco products reduced by 25%: 4502 containers in the second half of 2014 against 3349 in the first half of 2015. On Dec 1,2016, additional 10% customs duty recalled. Increase of import volume is expected. For the moment importers by on spot. Ukrainian fish processors diversify their business sending valued added produce to CIS countries.

FY2016 EEU Strategy Russia, Ukraine: Support Alaska sales in Ukraine in spite of economic issues, preserve market share. Changes: -       Reduce price per promotion -       Partner with most reliable players on the market -       Cost share with FAS/other cooperators – ATO/USMEF interested Maintain contact to Russian/Ukrainian fish trade: -       Attend relevant trade shows, communicate through season -       Monitor situation on the market, report changes For Russia/Ukraine we plan to continue with trade servicing and emphasize roe/surimi products. Most likely projects will happen with contacts that we have known for several seasons. We are planned to coordinate a retail promo with Fozzy Group – leading retailer on Ukrainian market, that imports directly from the U.S. Also, US Embassy has become more active with promotions, so we might be able to join funds. 4

FY2016 EEU Strategy New markets geography:  - Create opportunities for Alaska sales on new markets. Build ASMI brand: top and consistent quality, wide assortment, wild, sustainable. Focus: importers, retailers, HRI, media, GR. Activities: trade shows, trade servicing, representational events, market analysis. Global ranking/GDP per capita GRP per capita, USD popultation, th people Kazakhstan 51 24,020 17,498 Romania 60 19,712 19,861 Azerbaijan 69 17,618 9,593 Georgia 112 7,653 3,729 Armenia 116 7,374 3,010 Moldova 129 4,979 3,555 For Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan we plan to attend relevant shows in order to meet target trade, as well as coordinate representational events on both markets. Most likely, in partnership with other U.S. suppliers and U.S. mission. We plan to display the product, arrange tasting and chef demo to highlight the quality of Alaska Seafood. Conduct PR campaign in professional media in order to spread the word out to target trade. We will also continue with market research in Georgia, Romania, Armenia, Moldova. 5

EEU Activity Highlights Trade servicing. Trade shows: World Food Moscow, PIR Moscow, Armenia Food&Drinks. Goal: maintain contact to trade and HRI partners. Retail merchandising: trial salmon roe tastings in Silpo supermarkets of Fozzy Group.

Upcoming activities EEU Russia, Ukraine: Trade shows: Attend: World Food Kiev, ProdExpo Moscow Retail merchandising: Fozzy Group (leading Ukr retailer, importing directly) + old partners (Alaska Group, UFC, Optim Alliance) HRI: Cooperation with Ukrainian Chefs Association

Upcoming activities EEU Representational events in Kazakhstan (beginning of December) and Azerbaijan (May) with participation of U.S. diplomatic mission (present product to trade, strengthen established connections, get media attention) Visit trade shows in new markets, incl Georgia (AgroFood, Tbilisi, November), Romania (Indagra, Bucharest, October), Moldova. Continuation of market research, trade lead collection, database development Work on ASMI brand through advertorials in professional media

Thank you!