ARC MFC: En havovervåkings- og varslingstjeneste for nordområdene

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Presentation transcript:

ARC MFC: En havovervåkings- og varslingstjeneste for nordområdene Lars Petter Røed & the met.no MyOcean ARC MFC production and dissemination Team Bruce, Arild, Harald, Magne, Geir Arne Kaffeinfo Tallhall, 2012-05-09 1

A European Marine “Core” Service MyOcean? A European Marine “Core” Service brought to you by GMES!

ARC MFC? ARC MFC: Arctic Monitoring & Forecasting Center met.no: Production Unit & Dissemination Unit Collaboration: met.no, NERSC, IMR

Short history Mersea Strand 1 (2002-2004) Mersea IP (2004-2009) MyOcean (2009 – 2012) MyOcean 2 (2012 – 2014) Future (2015 - )? ECOMF - European Center for Ocean Monitoring & Forecasting An ocean ECMWF?

Weekly forecasts and analysis The analysis lags one week behind! 24.4 1.5 8.5 15.5 } 11.5 18.5 Forecast07 100 members Ana Ana Ana } Forecast14 Single member Best estimate ”Today’s” forecast Bulletin date 25.5 17 days

ARC MFC product: Forecasted sea ice fraction: 2012-05-11 6

ARC MFC product: Forecasted temperature 5m: 2012-05-11 7

Forecasts vs. observations 2012-05-06 8

Other variables Valid: 2012-05-11 Sea surface elevation Salinity Ice thickness 9

The end