JUNE THROUGH SEPTEMBER LPA (Long Period Average)

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Presentation transcript:

JUNE THROUGH SEPTEMBER LPA (Long Period Average) MONSOON 2018 FORECAST 100% OF LPA (+/-5%) NORMAL RAINFALL JUNE THROUGH SEPTEMBER (LPA=887 mm) LPA (Long Period Average) © 2018 Skymet Weather Services Pvt Ltd. All rights reserved.

20% Above Normal 5% Excess 0% Drought 20% Below Normal 55% Normal PROBABILITY OF MONSOON JUNE THROUGH SEPTEMBER (JJAS) 20% Above Normal 5% Excess 0% Drought 20% Below Normal 55% Normal EXCESS ABOVE NORMAL NORMAL BELOW NORMAL DROUGHT © 2018 Skymet Weather Services Pvt Ltd. All rights reserved.

MONSOON 2018 FORECAST 289 mm 261 mm 280 mm 250 mm 182 mm 175 mm 173 mm Normal Forecast © 2018 Skymet Weather Services Pvt Ltd. All rights reserved.

60% Above Normal 10% Below Normal 30% Normal PROBABILITY OF MONSOON JUNE 60% Above Normal 10% Below Normal 30% Normal 111% OF LPA NORMAL FOR JUNE IS 164 mm ABOVE NORMAL NORMAL BELOW NORMAL © 2018 Skymet Weather Services Pvt Ltd. All rights reserved.

15% Above Normal 55% Normal 30% Below Normal PROBABILITY OF MONSOON JULY 15% Above Normal 55% Normal 30% Below Normal 97% OF LPA NORMAL FOR JULY IS 289 mm ABOVE NORMAL NORMAL BELOW NORMAL © 2018 Skymet Weather Services Pvt Ltd. All rights reserved.

10% Above Normal 55% Normal 35% Below Normal PROBABILITY OF MONSOON AUGUST 10% Above Normal 55% Normal 35% Below Normal 96% OF LPA NORMAL FOR AUGUST IS 261 mm ABOVE NORMAL NORMAL BELOW NORMAL © 2018 Skymet Weather Services Pvt Ltd. All rights reserved.

NORMAL FOR SEPTEMBER IS 173 mm PROBABILITY OF MONSOON SEPTEMBER 20% Above Normal 60% Normal 20% Below Normal 101% OF LPA NORMAL FOR SEPTEMBER IS 173 mm ABOVE NORMAL NORMAL BELOW NORMAL © 2018 Skymet Weather Services Pvt Ltd. All rights reserved.

MONSOON SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION JUNE THROUGH SEPTEMBER (JJAS) 36N 33N 30N 27N 24N 21N 18N 15N 12N 9N Rainfall Departure: 0% Normal rains likely for the country, particularly East India Southern Peninsula and parts of Northeast India could be at some risk 69E 72E 75E 78E 81E 84E 87E 90E 93E 96E 99E -50 -40 -30 -20 -15 -10 -5 5 10 15 20 30 40 50 © 2018 Skymet Weather Services Pvt Ltd. All rights reserved.

MONSOON SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION JUNE 36N 33N 30N 27N 24N 21N 18N 15N 12N 9N Rainfall Departure: 11% Above normal rains for the country Below normal rains for Tamil Nadu and Northeast India Monsoon yet to advance in Northwest India 69E 72E 75E 78E 81E 84E 87E 90E 93E 96E 99E -50 -40 -30 -20 -15 -10 -5 5 10 15 20 30 40 50 © 2018 Skymet Weather Services Pvt Ltd. All rights reserved.

MONSOON SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION JULY 36N 33N 30N 27N 24N 21N 18N 15N 12N 9N Rainfall Departure: -3% Normal Monsoon rains for East, Central and North India Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and East Uttar Pradesh to see good rains 69E 72E 75E 78E 81E 84E 87E 90E 93E 96E 99E -50 -40 -30 -20 -15 -10 -5 5 10 15 20 30 40 50 © 2018 Skymet Weather Services Pvt Ltd. All rights reserved.

MONSOON SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION AUGUST 36N 33N 30N 27N 24N 21N 18N 15N 12N 9N Rainfall Departure: -4% Peninsular and Northeast India along with Gujarat could see deficient rains East Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh along with foothills stand a chance of good rainfall 69E 72E 75E 78E 81E 84E 87E 90E 93E 96E 99E -50 -40 -30 -20 -15 -10 -5 5 10 15 20 30 40 50 © 2018 Skymet Weather Services Pvt Ltd. All rights reserved.

MONSOON SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION SEPTEMBER 36N 33N 30N 27N 24N 21N 18N 15N 12N 9N Rainfall Departure: 1% Most parts of India would see normal Monsoon rains, especially Central and East India Some parts of Kerala, Karnataka and Arunachal Pradesh to see deficient rains 69E 72E 75E 78E 81E 84E 87E 90E 93E 96E 99E -50 -40 -30 -20 -15 -10 -5 5 10 15 20 30 40 50 © 2018 Skymet Weather Services Pvt Ltd. All rights reserved.

THANK YOU © 2018 Skymet Weather Services Pvt Ltd. All rights reserved.

The information contained in this presentation is intended to provide a synopsis of the Monsoon 2018. It is only intended for viewing as it may contain information that is confidential and privileged. The right of dissemination, distribution, or copying of this presentation is strictly prohibited. Although we endeavor to provide precise information, there can be no guarantee that such information may continue to be accurate in the future. Whilst every care has been taken in the preparation of this document, it may contain inadvertent errors for which we shall not be held responsible. No one should act on such information without appropriate advice. In no event shall Skymet Weather Services Pvt. Ltd. and its employees, directors, officers, agents, be liable to anyone for special, indirect, incidental or punitive or consequential or exemplary damages or loss, or for any lost profits, revenues, goodwill or savings, whether in an action of contract, negligence, strict liability, tort or any other legal or equitable theory from any such action taken or not taken by anyone using the presentation. © 2018 Skymet Weather Services Pvt Ltd. All rights reserved.