Proactive Management with Real Time Forecasting and Dynamic Simulation

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Proactive Management with Real Time Forecasting and Dynamic Simulation Hosni Adra CreateASoft, Inc. www.createasoft.com @Copyright 2012, CreateASoft, Inc. All Rights Reserved 9/18/2018

Dynamic Simulation Dynamic simulation environment differs from standard environments… Highly interactive with fast model building capabilities. On-the-fly changes– Modify, Analyze, Optimize the model on the fly without the need to stop and restart the simulation Connectivity to external data systems during the simulation run Initial state loading based on current environment state. Dynamic model updates based on current constraints and flows. www.createasoft.com @Copyright 2012, CreateASoft, Inc. All Rights Reserved 9/18/2018

The need for Dynamic Simulation Reduced time for model building Enable simulation for everyone within the organization Improve model accuracy Better optimization methods Improved analysis capability Provide “life to the model” beyond the initial simulation effort. www.createasoft.com @Copyright 2012, CreateASoft, Inc. All Rights Reserved 9/18/2018

Management Manufacturing Side Overall Operation Efficiency Job Scheduling Raw Material Availability Man Power fluctuation Down Time and change over Quality Management Overall Operation Efficiency www.createasoft.com @Copyright 2012, CreateASoft, Inc. All Rights Reserved 9/18/2018

Management Logistics DC Side Overall Operation Efficiency Receiving Schedules Order Picking variation Man Power fluctuation Replenishment Slotting, Racks, Layouts Management Overall Operation Efficiency www.createasoft.com @Copyright 2012, CreateASoft, Inc. All Rights Reserved 9/18/2018

Issues facing Management Staying on Schedule Management Expectations (Employees, Management, customers) System Variability Accountability and data reporting Other… www.createasoft.com @Copyright 2012, CreateASoft, Inc. All Rights Reserved 9/18/2018

Dynamic Simulation Impact Provide a simulation model that is accepted by the people involved. Connect models to live data for Current state loading Current order/production schedules. Provides a target schedule to work toward. Generates a set of metrics to help identify key problems and maintenance schedules. www.createasoft.com @Copyright 2012, CreateASoft, Inc. All Rights Reserved 9/18/2018

Solution must have... Valid model representing the current state of the operation. Data – Connectivity to ERP/MRP/WMS systems Historical performance and data points Staffing/provider constraint impact Ability to accurately forecast. Live model that can react to changes with minimum interaction. www.createasoft.com @Copyright 2012, CreateASoft, Inc. All Rights Reserved 9/18/2018

Proposed Solution Historical data Other Tracking systems WMS /ERP /MRP Known Maintenance Schedules Dynamic Simulation Live System – Constant Updates and monitoring Suggested solutions Schedule Adherence Dashboards Current and forecasted analysis Proactive problem detection www.createasoft.com @Copyright 2012, CreateASoft, Inc. All Rights Reserved 9/18/2018

Data Side Recent Maintenance and performance data Historical Data Forecasting effect factors Maintenance Schedules and Rules Recent Maintenance and performance data ERP/WMS/MRP/SAP Data Abstraction Layer Tracking data Tracking data effect factors Staffing, speed, efficiency Other factors Dynamic Simulation www.createasoft.com @Copyright 2012, CreateASoft, Inc. All Rights Reserved 9/18/2018

Sample Simulation Model Sample Dynamic model with connectivity Warehouse implementation Manufacturing implementation

Schedule Adherence Real time comparison of Actual vs. Planned Indicators of delays, reason, and location. Effect of minor delays over overall schedules. Effect of unplanned downtime Effect of planned downtime. Real time overview of methods to get back on schedule. www.createasoft.com @Copyright 2012, CreateASoft, Inc. All Rights Reserved 9/18/2018

Real time Data Dashboards identifying current state and future state. Controlled by station, department or area. Displayed at individual station to Identify current work instructions per part Identify next part to be worked on Generate kanban pull when needed Alerts to notify managers of potential delays.

Dynamic Replay Replaying events in the dynamic simulation environment will Allow management to replay and study events before confronting employees. Perform analysis and find a solution using collected data. Present current vs proposed using real life situations.

Management Impact Eliminate the “Blame Game” Eliminate “Data Manipulation” to hide problems. Improve overall efficiency and visibility Reduce the need to ask Why? Be better prepared to address daily problems.

Proactive Management with Real Time Forecasting and Dynamic Simulation Hosni Adra CreateASoft, Inc Q & A. www.createasoft.com Process Improvement Solutions www.createasoft.com @Copyright 2012, CreateASoft, Inc. All Rights Reserved 9/18/2018