Prediction of Atrial Fibrillation in a Racially Diverse Cohort: The Multi‐Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA)‏ by Alvaro Alonso, Nicholas S. Roetker,

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Prediction of Atrial Fibrillation in a Racially Diverse Cohort: The Multi‐Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA)‏ by Alvaro Alonso, Nicholas S. Roetker, Elsayed Z. Soliman, Lin Y. Chen, Philip Greenland, and Susan R. Heckbert J Am Heart Assoc Volume 5(2):e003077 February 23, 2016 © 2016 Alvaro Alonso et al.

Mean predicted and observed risk of atrial fibrillation by deciles of predicted risk derived from MESA best models (5‐year risk), CHARGE‐AF models (5‐year risk), and Framingham model (10‐year risk), Multi‐Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis, 2000–2012. Mean predicted and observed risk of atrial fibrillation by deciles of predicted risk derived from MESA best models (5‐year risk), CHARGE‐AF models (5‐year risk), and Framingham model (10‐year risk), Multi‐Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis, 2000–2012. AF indicates atrial fibrillation; CHARGE, the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology; hsCRP, high‐sensitivity C‐reactive protein; MESA, Multi‐Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis; NT‐proBNP, N‐terminal of the prohormone B‐type natriuretic peptide. Alvaro Alonso et al. J Am Heart Assoc 2016;5:e003077 © 2016 Alvaro Alonso et al.