Rodney Fort's Sports Economics

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Presentation transcript:

Rodney Fort's Sports Economics Chapter 11  The Stadium Mess

Figure 11-1 The Collective Action Triangle Legend: The outcomes from collective action follow rational actor politics. A powerful Reelection Constituency is in control of the electoral chances of Elected Officials. Those officials choose policies that their Reelection Constituency evaluates in terms of their own economic welfare. If the policies are best for the Reelection Constituency, Elected Officials get reelected. The General Constituency is relegated to the sidelines.

Table 11-1 The Value of New Stadiums to Owners Attendance (Thousands) Winning Percent (Points)a Gate Revenue ($Millions) b Venue Revenue ($Millions)c Team Year Opened Differenced % Change Differencee Differencef Differenceg White Sox 1991 941 69.30 51 10.40 Orioles 1992 1,135 52.5 80 17.6 Indians 1994 1,585 114 152 34.3 $21.70 147 $11.2 8.7 Rangers 1,564 144 22 20.5 $9.9 53.9 $32.8 85.6 a One game won equals 6.2 points. b, c Data are unavailable for White Sox and Orioles. d, e, f, g The difference between the average for the 5 years before and the 5 years after the opening of the new stadium.

Table 11.2 Gate Revenues in Pro Sports, 2007 and 2008 Seasons  ($Millions) Low Median High League Amount Teams SD MLB 2008 $22.00 Flor $60.50 Mil, Sea $217.00 NYY $48.36 NBA 2007-08 $19.00 Sea $36.50 Port, Sac $82.00 LAL $16.00 NFL 2007 $39.00 Oak, SF $46.00 Cin, Clev, Dal, Pit $84.00 Was $10.22 NHL 2007-08 Phoen $37.00 Bos, SJ $78.00 Tor $15.81 As a Percent of Total Revenue % 15.8% 33.5% 81.1% LAA 15.1% 22.1% Memp 31.2% Chic, Port 44.3% Bos 5.9% 17.1% Dallas 21.5% Min 28.4% NE 2.5% 26.6% Chic 40.0% Dal, TB 57.6% Edmon 8.7%

Figure 11-2 The Stadium Mess Triangle Legend: The stadium mess follows rational actor politics. A powerful constituency of Owners and Supporters influences the electoral chances of state and local Elected Officials. Those officials choose subsidy levels and methods that Owners and Supporters evaluate in terms of their own economic welfare. If the policies are best for the Owners and Supporters, Elected Officials get reelected. The General Taxpayers are relegated to the sidelines but help pay the subsidies.

Figure 11-3 Setter Model of Voter Stadium Preferences Legend: On a single dimension of stadium spending, voter A prefers none (and no team), voter B prefers the current, obsolete stadium (no spending increase), voters C and D most prefer a new modest stadium and voter E prefers a new elaborate stadium. In a simple majority vote, voters C and D would get their way since their most preferred outcome is better for voter E than the obsolete stadium. But if the alternative is no team at all, voters C and D would join voter E in voting in favor of a new elaborate stadium since that is closer to their preference than the alternative.

Table 11-3 Sports Facility Referenda Since 1995 (slide 1 of 2) Market Facility (Teams) Year Result Open Cleveland Browns Stadium (NFL Browns) 1995 Passed 1999 Milwaukee Miller Park (MLB Brewers) Failed 2001 Cincinnati Great American Ball Park (MLB Reds) Paul Brown Stadium (NFL Bengals) 1996 2003 Detroit Comerica Park (MLB Tigers) Ford Field (NFL Lions) 2002 Houston Enron Field (MLB Astros) and Reliant Stadium (NFL) 2000 and 2002 Miami American Airlines Arena (NBA Heat) Nashville Adelphia Stadium (NFL Titans) San Francisco Pacific Bell Park (MLB Giants) 2000 Tampa Raymond James Stadium (NFL Buccaneers) 1998 Pittsburgh PNC Park (MLB Pirates) and Stadium (NFL Steelers) 1997 Stadium (NFL 49ers) 2004 Seattle Stadium/Exhibition Center (NFL Seahawks and University of Washington)

Table 11-3 Sports Facility Referenda Since 1995 (slide 2 of 2) Dallas American Airlines Center (NBA Mavericks/NHL Stars) 1998 Passed 2001 Denver Invesco Field (NFL Broncos and MLS Rapids) San Diego Stadium (MLB Padres) 2003 Houston Arena (NBA Rockets and WNBA Comets) 1999 Failed N/A San Antonio SBC Arena (NBA Spurs) 2002 Scottsdale Arena (NHL Coyotes) St. Paul Stadium (MLB Twins) Green Bay Lambeau Field renovations (NFL Packers) 2000 Phoenix Stadium (NFL Cardinals) 2004 Arlington Stadium (NFL Cowboys) 2009 Kansas City Arrowhead and Kauffman Improvements (NFL Chiefs and MLB Royals) Sacramento Arena (NBA Kings) [Two items on the same ballot] 2006

Table 11-4 Average Public Spending for Stadiums and Arenas Where the Public Share Was at Least 50 Percent League Votes that Passed ($Millions) No Vote Issues ($Millions) Failed, Eventually MLB $264 $266 $301 NFL 273 266 NHL/NBA 125 177 187 Total Cases 12 23 4

Table 11-5 The Public-Private Spending Mix Decade Opened Average Public Percent 1900-1939 28.6 1940-1959 70.0 1960-1969 78.6 1970-1979 90.0 1980-1989 60.0 1990-1999 61.9 2000-2003

Table 11-6 Kingdome Subsidy Calculation ($Millions) Category Amount Net Operating Revenue –$1.5 Depreciation $3.1 Opportunity Cost of Funds $8.1 Taxes $1.6 Subsidy ($1989) $14.3 Subsidy ($Today) $24.6