Lars-Erik Cederman and Luc Girardin

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Lars-Erik Cederman and Luc Girardin Center for Comparative and International Studies (CIS) Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich (ETH)
Advertisements

Adverse Selection & Market Failure. Definition Asymmetric information occurs when traders of one side of the market know things that traders on the other.
Evolving Long Run Investors In A Short Run World Blake LeBaron International Business School Brandeis University Computational.
Optimizing Online Auction Bidding Strategies with Genetic Programming Ekaterina “Kate” Smorodkina.
Lars-Erik Cederman and Luc Girardin Center for Comparative and International Studies (CIS) Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich (ETH)
Experiments in Economic Sciences1 Charting The Market: Fundamental and Chartist Strategies in a Participatory Stock Market Experiment László.
Learning dynamics,genetic algorithms,and corporate takeovers Thomas H. Noe,Lynn Pi.
FOR INSTITUTIONAL USE ONLY NOT FOR PUBLIC DISTRIBUTION An introduction to the capital markets J.P. Morgan Investment Academy.
INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS BUSINESS MOTIVATION BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE M. Gams.
Complexity and the Nascent Revolution in Economics Lancaster University Dec 9, 2009 W. Brian Arthur External Professor, Santa Fe Institute.
Agent-based modelling in social sciences Andreas Krause School of Management.
An Example: Buying and Selling on a Market (Instructions) In the following experiment you are either a buyer or a seller. The experiment is partitioned.
Prof. Lars-Erik Cederman Center for Comparative and International Studies (CIS) Seilergraben 49, Room G.2, Nils Weidmann,
Management in complexity The exploration of a new paradigm Complexity in computing and AI Walter Baets, PhD, HDR Associate Dean for Innovation and Social.
Complex Adaptive Systems approach to Economic Development Ivan Garibay Director, Information Systems Group, ORC Joint Faculty, EECS Department Research.
May 29, 2003.NEU2003, Venice, Italy1 An Early Agent-Based Stock Market: Replication & Participation László Gulyás ( ) Computer and Automation.
Lars-Erik Cederman and Luc Girardin Center for Comparative and International Studies (CIS) Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich (ETH)
19 October 2015All rights reserved, Edward Tsang & Serafin Martinez jaramillo CHASM Co-evolutionary Heterogeneous Artificial Stock Markets Serafín Martínez.
The RePast Framework and Social Simulations Presented by Tim Furlong.
Multi-Agent Modeling of Societal Development and Cultural Evolution Yidan Chen, 2006 Computer Systems Research Lab.
Lars-Erik Cederman and Luc Girardin Center for Comparative and International Studies (CIS) Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich (ETH)
What is an Exchange? Before You Invest. Markets In The Stock Market Game, students buy and sell stocks and mutual funds listed on the three major US stock.
Prof. Dr. Lars-Erik Cederman Swiss Federal Institute of Technology (ETH) Center for Comparative and International Studies (CIS) Seilergraben 49, Room G.2.
Lars-Erik Cederman and Luc Girardin
Lars-Erik Cederman and Luc Girardin Center for Comparative and International Studies (CIS) Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich (ETH)
Prof. Lars-Erik Cederman ETH - Center for Comparative and International Studies (CIS) Seilergraben 49, Room G.2, Nils.
Complexity in the Economy and Business IBM Almaden Institute April 12, 2007 W. Brian Arthur External Professor, Santa Fe Institute.
Agent Based Models and Common Value Auctions B. Wade Brorsen.
From Scarcity to Economic Interaction Gains from Trade –Better allocations –Comparative Advantage Trade takes place both –in markets (buyers and sellers)
7 th Grade Social Studies Instructor Mr. Babcock.
Valuing a Company What determines a companies worth?
Copyright © 2011 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McGraw-Hill/Irwin CHAPTER 3 How Securities are Traded.
Common Stock Market I- Overview of Trading Location in the US II- Stock Exchange -New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) (First Market) III- Over the Counter Market.
{ Capitalism 7-1.4: Analyze the beginnings of capitalism and the ways that is was affected by mercantilism, the developing market economy, international.
Backtest Results Ryan Simmen March, 2017.
BORSA VALORI Come si dice “Borsa valori” in inglese? Stock exchange
Monetary Policy Practice EOCT Questions
Sistemi per la Gestione Aziendale.
INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS BUSINESS MOTIVATION BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE
Basic Questions about the Stock Market
What is the Stock Market, anyway?
An Investigation of Market Dynamics and Wealth Distributions
The Economy Ch. 2 Sec. 3 Pp
Economic Systems.
What are the roles of government in our free enterprise economy?
Monetary Policy and Open Market Operations
Financial Markets Chapter 11
CONNECTING SIMULATIONS WITH HUMAN SUBJECT EXPeriments
Technology and the Evolution of Complexity
Warm up: What happens in demand when price goes down?
Nationalism Lecture 5: Nationalist Systems Change
The United States Economy
5 Characteristics of a Civilization
Motivation Do you know of any stock exchanges?.
Essential Question: How does the interaction of buyers and sellers create the forces of supply and demand in a competitive market? Warm up: What happens.
Market Economy 6 Traits.
Kriegsursachen im historischen Kontext Prof. Dr. Lars-Erik Cederman
The complexity perspective on business and organisations
What is a Stock Market?.

What are your trading rules?
Factors of Production.
What is the Stock Market, anyway?
Marketing The activity, set of institutions and processes for creating, communicating, delivering, and exchanging offerings that have value for customers,
Stocks: The Basics.
Business and Finance Mr. I.
Equilibrium in the Market
MARKET-CLEARING PRICE
Chpt 2: Supply and Demand
Perfect Competition.
Presentation transcript:

Lars-Erik Cederman and Luc Girardin Advanced Computational Modeling of Social Systems Lars-Erik Cederman and Luc Girardin Center for Comparative and International Studies (CIS) Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich (ETH) http://www.icr.ethz.ch/teaching/compmodels

Presentations 07.06.2005 III 14.06.2005 III 21.06.2005 III Nicolas Bürkler (4) Thomas Fent Stephan Gammeter (2) Jean-Luc Geering (1) Jeremy Hackney (2) Lutz Krebs (4) Benjamin Lutz (1) Charles Mitchell (3) Gloria Müller (3) Carsten Murawski (1) Jonas Nart (3) Nils Weidmann (2)

Positive feedback Brian W. Arthur: “Positive feedbacks in the economy” Scientific American (Feb. 1990)

Artificial Economies Epstein & Axtell 1996. Growing Artificial Societies. MIT Press. Epstein & Axtell

Average equilibrium characteristics

Price convergence

Price convergence

The Santa Fe Artificial Stock Simplistic stock market simulation Isolates learning speed of traders as critical parameter N traders 1 unit risky stock, 20 000 units cash Each trader seeks to buy or sell stock based on expectations of profit Only one ‘stock’ in market Genetic algorithm used for rule evolution -> Faster learners exploit slower learners

The Santa Fe Artificial Stock

The Trade Network Game (TNG) Evolution of trade networks among strategically interacting traders Buyers, sellers, dealers Traders instantiated as “tradebots” Communication between tradebots to determine their trade partners Tradebots evolve trade strategies

The Trade Network Game (TNG)

Java Auction Simulator (JASA)