Handbook on Accounting for Global Value Chains - UPDATE Extended National Accounts and Integrated Business Statistics Ronald Jansen, Michael Connolly,

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Presentation transcript:

Handbook on Accounting for Global Value Chains - UPDATE Extended National Accounts and Integrated Business Statistics Ronald Jansen, Michael Connolly, André Loranger UNSD Expert Group on International Trade and Economic Globalizatiuon AEG on National Accounts December 2017 20/09/2018 United Nations Statistics Division

Statistical Community WTO / Pascal Lamy Made in the World initiative Global Forum Goods for Processing Abroad FOC group 2008 SNA Impact on SNA BPM6 OECD/WTO TiVA ITEGS Expert Group FSB Data Gap 2000 2008 2011 2013 2016 WIOD Global Value Chain research Financial Crisis Making GVCs work for Development World KLEMS EU / LA KLEMS GVC in Post-crisis World G20: GVCs – OECD/ World Bank GVCs: Aid for Trade Research Community

Expert Group on ITEGS Mandate received from the Statistical Commission in March 2015 to prepare a Handbook on the measurement framework for international trade and economic globalization

Expert Group on ITEGS Mandate received from the Statistical Commission in March 2015 to prepare a Handbook on the measurement framework for international trade and economic globalization Editor – Steve Landefeld, former Director of US BEA Additional Experts – Dale Jorgenson (KLEMS), Gary Gereffi (GVCs), Tim Sturgeon (GVCs), Stacey Frederick (GVCs), World Bank (GVCs) Meetings – January 2016, New York November 2016, New York 6-8 June 2017, Luxembourg

Linking trade and business statistics Handbook on ITEGS High-level overview of how economic statistics can be made more accurate and relevant in measuring the effects of globalization in national accounts and business statistics Better inform public policies and business decisions on growth and productivity, domestic and foreign share of value added in trade, domestic and foreign labor and capital used in the trade Provide a national perspective on globalization based on a GVC model Specific GVC industries in a multi-country supply chain of goods, value adding services and institutional arrangements Linking trade and business statistics

Five Parts of the Handbook Policy, Business and Statistical Motivation General Statistical Framework Global Value Chain approach Integrated Business, Trade and Investment Statistics Application of the measurement framework

General Statistical Framework Chapter 2: Overview of the Framework Chapter 3: Extended Supply and Use Tables (TiVA) Chapter 4: Extended Productivity (KLEMS) Accounts Chapter 5: Extended Environmental-Economic Accounts Chapter 6: Extended Capital and Financial Accounts Chapter 7: Conceptual issues of Global Enterprise perspective Chapter 8: Special Accounting Topics

Global Value Chain Approach Chapter 9: Global Value Chain Satellite Account GVC Template Chapter 10: GVC Industry Modules and their Application NA Automotive Morocco Automotive Costa Rica electronics and medical devices Vietnam electronics and apparel

Chapter 11: Firm heterogeneity related to globalisation Integrated Business, Trade and Investment Statistics, and the applications Part IV Chapter 11: Firm heterogeneity related to globalisation Micro-data linking Business Functions Chapter 12: Bilateral asymmetries, Global Groups Register and data sharing Part V Chapter 13: Public policy use of the Extended Accounts Chapter 14: Research Agenda

Global Value Chains case studies Central Framework for Handbook Ch 9 Global Value Chain – Satellite Account Example: Automotive GVC in North America

Global Value Chain (GVC) Model The GVC framework describes the structure, dynamics and relationships among stakeholders in GVCs Four dimensions Business Functions Geography Governance Institutional context 11

Articulating GVCs A GVC SATELITE ACCOUNT A set of tables that highlight particular elements of a GVC Focusses on specific GVCs with a multi country perspective Can go beyond production and primary distributions of income and capital A bottom-up, micro data linking approach is proposed Aggregate or top down will also be included later Similarity and differences with Extended SUTs is discussed Extended SUTs provide a national picture that provide insight on the impact of GVCs within an established framework

GVC for Automotive Industry 18

GVCs and the role of lead firms The GVC includes all the forward and backward linkages of lead firms with other enterprises Lead firms determine the specifications for the production of inputs parts and components More information needed on these lead firms: Domestic or foreign ownerships Structure of its foreign affiliates Trade intensity of domestic and foreign affiliates Outsourcing of business functions Proposal for a global business groups register Proposal for international data-sharing agreements 21

How can we compare the various levels of measurement? Global extended SUTs Regional extended SUTs Industry specific GVC extended SUTs Large MNEs Limited number of partners National compiler ownership Which indicators do we want to recommend from micro-level business statistics and various macro-level extended SUTs?

Summary of Progress to Date Considerable progress with GVC Satellite Account Overall Extended Accounts and Integrated Framework incl. policy uses – good progress Global Enterprise - a lot done more to do KLEMS - some progress Regional Satellite Account – framework complete - being finalised Related data linking and business functions - being finalised

Summary of Progress to Date Fintech as a special case of GVC financing was discussed in detail. A Sector Accounts/FDI based framework was articulated Case studies – more needed beyond North American Auto GVC.

Thank you 25