A E G I D C B H F Group A: 5,12 Group B: 1,8 Group C: 17,14 Group D: 3,7 Group E: 9,16 Group F: 11, 10 Group G: 15,13 Group H: 19, 2 Group I: 4, 6, 18 I E A D C B H F G

“Suos Cultores Scientia Coronat” - Syracuse University motto PAF 101 Module 5, Lecture 2 “Suos Cultores Scientia Coronat” - Syracuse University motto

Class Agenda Announcements More on the Prince System

Community Service Reminder The due date for the community service form is 12/4 Use the online form on 101 website. If you don’t turn in a community service form ever, you will lose 35 points. If you turn it in late, the late paper policy will be in effect.

CASE North America Fundraising Residency Program Interested in a career in fundraising, philanthropy and advancement in education? CASE North America Fundraising Residency Program The 50-week paid program includes a full time employment at a host institution and all expenses paid training from CASE Must have a bachelors degree by July 22, 2018 Deadline is December 20, 2017 http://bit.ly/2yNWjaP Questions on careers in advancement, Nicole Osborne : ndosborn@syr.edu

Competition Points B 7 A 6 D 3 C 2 E 1 F G H I Winners Losers

Prince Analysis Steps Identify Necessary Actions Identify Key Players Estimate Position (-5 to +5) Estimate Power (1 to 5) Estimate Priority (1 to 5) Calculate Probabilities Formulate Prince Strategies Ex. 9.1 Ex. 9.2 Ex. 9.3 Ex. 9.4 Chapter 10

Step 1: Describing the Policy to be Implemented Be sure it is a policy and not a goal Is it a federal, state or local policy? Determine if it is a legislative, administrative or money Cannot be a judicial decision

Step 2: Identify Players Government Units in the United States: 3,000 Counties 19,000 municipalities + 43,000 special districts 65,000 total government units

How To Select Players Ask players, experts, and stakeholders. Legislatures: They affect how a bill becomes a law at your geographic area Aggregation problems with legislative bodies If not legislative, must be administrative Interest groups can be important especially for new policies Watch out for dogs Note: Look at 9.2 -explain when to use individuals vs. groups -National level-aggregate mostly, individuals on exec. Level, or head of depts. -State level-same as above -Local Level-There may be lots of individuals on a local level

New York State Divided into three branches: Executive, Legislative, Judicial Governor Cuomo is the head of the Executive Branch. State Agencies, like the Department of Education and Board of Regents are under the Executive Branch

Onondaga County County government is responsible for implementing and funding legislation enacted by the state and federal government Different departments help to administrate the different duties of the county Examples: Medicaid, Van Duyn Home and Hospital

Legislative Branch New York has a bi-cameral or two house legislature. Which state is not bi-cameral? Assembly is a 150 member body Senate is a 62 member body

Executive Branch Governor Cuomo appoints the heads of the different state agencies State agencies help put legislation into effect

Helpful Websites http://www.assembly.state.ny.us/ http://www.senate.state.ny.us/senateh omepage.nsf/home?openform http://www.ny.gov/ http://www.ongov.net/ http://www.ongov.net/legislature/

Step 3:Estimating Issue Position Empirical - quotes Deductive Principles Special Interest Players (3-5) Politicians, Legislative Bodies, Government Officials (0-2) Budget cost predispose toward opposition Note: Look at 9.3 -Special interest groups could have negative position i.e. with teen pregnancy, Christian Coalition would have a negative position on distributing condoms in schools, whereas Planned Parenthood would be positive.

Step 4: Estimating Power Specific to Issues Players with Veto Power: 4 or 5 Legislatures President, Governors, Mayors, etc. Non-veto-players: 3, 2, or 1 Sources of Power Official Position Money Numbers (voters) Expertise

Step 5: Estimating Priority Single issue player: high on relevant issue Multiple issue player: low to moderate on most issues Changes quickly in either direction Frequency of statements are key

Step 6: Calculating Calculation 1: Issue position X Power X Priority=Prince Score When Issue Position is 0, Power X Priority=(Prince Score) Prince Scores in parenthesis are neutral scores Calculation 2: Sum of all positive scores plus ½ of neutral scores Calculation 3: Sum of all possible scores ignoring signs and parenthesis Calculation 2/Calculation 3=Probability of Support

Don’t Be Hopelessly Naïve No matter how much you love your policy proposal, your forecast from the Prince System should be under 50% WHY?

For Next Class: Nicholas J. Pirro Onondaga County Executive (1988 – 2008) President of the New York State Association of Counties (2000 – 2001) President- NP Associates, LLC

Extra Credit Opportunity Come in next class with a typed question to ask the speaker If all of your group members bring in questions, you get one extra credit point! If any group member forgets, no extra credit, but no points are lost You have nothing to lose and everything to gain so DO IT

For Next Class Work on Module Five Bring in a typed question for 1 point (everyone in your new group must bring a question for 1 point)

Kelsey May Syracuse University, Dec. ‘16 Ernst & Young Consultant, Data and Analytics kelseylynmay@gmail.com