Earnings Presentation Annual Results FY16

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Presentation transcript:

Earnings Presentation Annual Results FY16 © 2015 Cairn India Limited Earnings Presentation Annual Results FY16 22nd Apr il, 2016

2 Disclaimer This material contains forward-looking statements regarding Cairn India and its affiliates, its corporate and business strategies and plans, future financial condition and results of operations. All such forward- looking statements are based on the management's assumptions and beliefs in the light of information available to them at this time. These forward-looking statements are by their nature subject to significant risks and uncertainties; and actual results, performance and achievements may be materially different from those expressed in such statements. Factors that may cause actual results, performance or achievements to differ from expectations include, but are not limited to, regulatory changes, future levels of industry product supply, demand and pricing, weather and weather related impacts, wars and acts of terrorism, development and use of technology, acts of competitors and other changes to business conditions. Cairn India undertakes no obligation to revise any such forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in Cairn India's expectations with regard thereto or any change in circumstances or events after the date hereof. Unless otherwise stated, the reserves and resource numbers within this document represent the views of Cairn India and do not represent the views of any other party, including the Government of India, the Directorate General of Hydrocarbons or any of Cairn India’s joint venture partner. All data points in the presentation are for the period ended 31st March 2016, unless otherwise specified.

Global Development & Strategic Priorities 3 Agenda Global Development & Strategic Priorities Mayank Ashar Managing Director & Chief Executive Officer Performance Highlights Policy Updates Asset Performance Sudhir Mathur Chief Financial Officer Financial Results Progress on Key Projects & Exploration Guidance Mayank Ashar MD & CEO

Key Global Themes Emerging in the Current Environment 4 Key Global Themes Emerging in the Current Environment Deferment of major capital investment, cut in dividend Right-sizing of operating cost base Driving efficiency through focus on technology and innovation Impairment and asset write-down

Strategy: Delivering a Sustained Performance 5 Strategy: Delivering a Sustained Performance Positive Free Cash Flows Healthy cash flows post Capex Core fields continue to generate cash MBA, Ravva, Cambay – Best – in class Opex, high margin, resilient to price volatility Optionality for Growth Gas, Barmer Hill, Satellite Fields, Bhagyam & Aishwariya EOR, Exploration Resilience Robust balance sheet, low cost operations, world class resource base Unique Leverage Geology, technology, people, strong partnerships and financial discipline 4

Key Performance Highlights 6 Key Performance Highlights Gross Average Production: 203,703 boepd Rajasthan production strong at 169,609 boepd in FY16 Successful execution of Mangala EOR polymer contributed ~32 kbpoed in Q4 FY16 Encouraging results from Aishwariya infill program Average gas production ramped-up in RDG to 27 mmscfd; surpasses guidance of 25 mmscfd Crude dispatch to MRPL through Bhogat terminal commenced, superior price realization FY16 Exploration: 38th discovery in RJ 38th discovery in Q1 - Raageshwari North; also found oil in Raageshwari Deep Main wells Added 300 mmboe of HIIP in FY16, 450 mmboe of HIIP drilled but yet to be tested Working Interest 2P reserves decline by 18 mmboe excluding production Some addition from reservoir performance and projects in Aishwariya and Offshore fields Project deferrals due to PSC uncertainty and low crude price; mostly reclassified to 2C resources, will be restored to 2P on PSC extension Net revenue: INR 86 billion; Normalized PAT*: INR 21 billion Gross contribution to exchequer of INR 108 billion Cash & Cash equivalent position of INR 195 billion Total dividend of INR 3/share for FY16 *Normalized PAT is net profit excluding exceptional items

Policy & Other Updates Rajasthan PSC extension and crude export 7 Policy & Other Updates The matters are sub judice Rajasthan PSC extension and crude export Remain committed, continue to work towards completion Cairn – Vedanta Ltd Merger Engaging with the Government along with peers Hopeful of positive outcome Revision in Cess policy to ad-valorem Applicable only to Ravva field PSC extension for small, medium sized and discovered Not applicable to Rajasthan PSC, already has market pricing freedom Gas marketing and pricing freedom Applicable only to new contracts Hydrocarbon Exploration Licensing Policy (HELP)

Continue to Demonstrate Production Resilience… 8 Continue to Demonstrate Production Resilience… 203,703 Gross Production in FY16 (boepd) 400,000 Polymer injection in Mangala (blpd) 5.2 RJ Water-flood Opex (US$/bbl) FY16 27 RDG avg gas production in FY16 (mmscfd) ~49% Recovery Rate in Ravva Rajasthan Offshore Assets Gross production of 62.1 mmboe in FY16 Avg production rate of 169,609 boepd in FY16 Gross production in Ravva at 23,845 boepd Offsetting natural decline through Mangala EOR contributes ~14,000 boepd Aishwariya infill well program concluded RDG Gas volumes ramp up to 27 mmscfd Rig less well intervention in 2 producer wells Deeper gas lift injection Well stimulation in 5 water injectors Reservoir management continued in Bhagyam Excellent well productivity result from ongoing 15 well hydro-frac campaign in RDG Facility uptime of 98% Facility Uptime of 99.7% Gross production in Cambay at 10,249 boepd Gas lift compressor commissioned Coil tubing campaign successfully concluded Facility Uptime of 99.9%

Ongoing Optimization of Operating Cost 9 Ongoing Optimization of Operating Cost Price realization Lower price realization 46% Brent price declined by 44% YoY, overall realization at US$ 40.9/boe RJ discount to Brent at US$ 7.2/bbl vs US$ 9.0/bbl in FY15 Opex/boe Rajasthan water-flood (WF) operating cost/boe reduced further 11% Further lowered the WF cost from $5.8/boe in FY15 to $5.2/boe Reduction in uneconomic work-overs Effective deployment of well intervention units, 40% units demobilized Reduction in units rental up to 15% through contract re-negotiation Purchasing 10MW power from open exchange at 25% lower costs Rajasthan blended operating cost including polymer at $6.5/boe ~20% Remains well below our estimated cost Ongoing interventions resulted in 20% reduction in polymer cost

Financial Performance 10 Financial Performance INR billion Annual Performance FY16 FY15 y-o-y (%) Q4 FY16 Q3 FY16 q-o-q (%) Net Revenue 86.3 146.5 (41%) 17.2 20.4 (16%) EBITDA 35.0 86.6 (60%) 5.7 6.7 (14%) Other Income 12.9 12.8 1% 6.5 1.4 358% DD&A (31.1) (25.7) 21% (4.7) (8.9) (47%) Forex (Gain/Loss) 7.1 3.9 84% 1.0 0.5 107% Tax (0.9) (12.0) (92%) (1.3) 0.5 NA Normalized PAT 21.4 65.4 (67%) 6.3 0.1 - Exceptional Items (115.8) (20.6) (115.8) - PAT (94.3) 44.8 (109.5) 0.1 EPS-INR (diluted) (50.17) 23.77 (58.25) 0.05 Cash EPS-INR 24.71 47.65 (48%) 6.76 4.06 66% rmance PAT Variance v/s Q3 FY16 (INR bn) 0.2 0.9 4.2 116.7 5.0 0.1 0.9 109.5 PAT Q3FY16 EBITDA Other Income (Net) DD&A Forex Tax Exceptional PAT items Q4FY16 Note: EBITDA includes forex gain/(loss) on operating activities ~41% decrease in Revenue YoY; sharp decline in crude prices ~3.5x increase in other income QoQ; higher gain recognition following realization 47% decrease in DD&A QoQ; increase in proved and developed reserves ~67% decrease in Normalized PAT YoY; lower EBITDA, higher DD&A Exceptional items are on account of mainly impairment of goodwill arising on consolidation Net capital expenditure of USD 248 mn; 78% in development Gross Contribution to Exchequer of INR 108 bn Strong balance sheet with Cash and cash equivalents of INR 195 bn Oil Price Realisation ($/bbl) FY16 FY15 Rajasthan 40.4 76.4 Ravva 47.7 82.5 CB/OS-2 46.2 81.9

Mangala EOR & Aishwariya Infill 11 Mangala EOR & Aishwariya Infill Mangala EOR Program – a Technological Feat Polymer volume ramped-up to planned level of 400,000 blpd Average production at ~32,000 boepd for Q4 FY16 Additional production is attributed to Improvement in sweep efficiency Increase in reservoir pressure Result shows stabilizing water cut and increasing oil rate All the 93 wells completed, four polymer trains preparing solution Most of the producer wells converted into polymer injectors Skim tanks for processing polymerized output in final stages of commissioning  Modification in well pads and surface facilities nearing completion Central Polymer Facility – Silos and Trains Aishwariya Infill Successfully Completed - Adds to Production Aided the production while helping in arresting the natural decline All 20 wells are online with the last 3 wells going online in Q4 FY16 Achieved mechanical completion of associated surface facilities

RDG Gas – Encouraging Upside from Hydro-Fraccing 12 RDG Gas – Encouraging Upside from Hydro-Fraccing Limited entry frac using multiple perforation in single stage resulted in :- ~30% increase in reservoir coverage with less number of stages ~100% increase in initial productivity observed in new wells as compared to wells fracced during 2009-10 campaign 26% increase in field EUR as compared to FDP estimate till 2030 Improved operation efficiency - days per frac reduced from 4.5 to 2.2 Self sufficient using non potable ground water for frac operations ~50% reduction in per frac cost ~26% Previous New

Exploration Update Rajasthan Exploration Appraisal Testing 13 Exploration Update Rajasthan Exploration Appraisal Testing Discovery of Raageshwari North Appraisal concluded for the prioritized discoveries, found oil in Raageshwari Deep Main; increased drilled and tested HIIP by 300 mmboe in FY16 Since resumption of exploration activities, added gross 2C contingent resources of 200 mmboe; An additional prospective gross, un-risked 2C of 70 mmboe awaits testing FDP preparation in progress Seismic Acquisition 432 sq km of 3D data acquired in FY16 Covered key areas with 3D seismic data Application of new technique “Sparse Layer Inversion” for better resolution Focus on identification of additional exploration prospects Other India and International Assets In Palar-Pennar block, preparation for drilling the three commitment wells in 2017-18 in progress Completed the closure formalities for Sri Lanka block with the regulatory authority Cairn will exit the Mumbai Offshore block due to poor prospectivity

Projects’ Readiness for Favourable Oil Price Environment 14 Projects’ Readiness for Favourable Oil Price Environment Bhagyam EOR – Pre-development activities ongoing Field Development Plan submitted to JV in Q1 FY16 Exploring option for leveraging the Mangala EOR facilities to reduce development time and cost Plan to conduct multi-well injectivity test to demonstrate modelled injection rates Front End Engineering Design is ongoing Tenders floated for rigs, services, drilling & completion long lead items Estimated recovery of 40-50 million barrels of oil Mangala & Aishwariya Barmer Hill – Appraisal results Appraisal program completed with results broadly on expected lines Looking at options to improve recovery while reducing the cost For Aishwariya Barmer Hill: - Sub-surface alignment on STOIIP and production profile achieved with JV partner Discussion and alignment with JV on surface facility ongoing Estimated recovery of 20-30 million barrels of oil

Guidance FY17 Guidance Rajasthan Production 15 Guidance FY17 Guidance Rajasthan Production Despite record low oil prices and substantial cut in capex, we will maintain the production broadly at FY16 level Net Capex Investment of US$ 100 mn- 80% in Development including RDG Gas and Mangala EOR completion activities, and 20% in Exploration Continue to invest in pre-development activities of key projects in Core MBA fields, Barmer Hills and Satellite fields to ensure their readiness for development on rebound in oil prices and grant of extension of PSC Cash Flow Aim to have healthy cash flows post capex to retain the ability to pay dividends subject

16 Q&A