S C I E N C E F O R D E C I S I O N M A K E R S

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
S C I E N C E F O R D E C I S I O N M A K E R S D E P A R T M E N T O F A G R I C U L T U R E, F I S H E R I E S A N D F O R E S T R Y S C I E N C E F.
Advertisements

Click to edit Master title style Adaption Tools for a Developed Agricultural Economy Judy Lawrence Director, New Zealand Climate Change Office Ministry.
Case Study 6: Agricultural Research – use and needs of climate services National Consultation on a Framework for Climate Services in Belize By Anil Sinha,
Workshop on Climatic Analysis and Mapping for Agriculture
Michael Hanemann University of California, Berkeley Guido Franco California Energy Commission California Climate Action Team March 11, 2009 Sacramento.
Walloon Agricultural Research Centre Extending Crop Growth Monitoring System (CGMS) for mapping drought stress at regional scale D. Buffet, R. Oger Walloon.
Great Lakes Weather and Climate. Introduction Standing in for a speaker from Environment Canada that was unable to attend at the last minute Until yesterday.
Climate Smart Agriculture East Africa Regional Knowledge Sharing Meeting Thomas Cole June 11, 2012, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Crop Yield Appraisal and Forecasting - Decision Support under Uncertain Climates.
Agroclimate Service in Canada Allan Howard Manager, National Agroclimate Information Service, Agriculture Agri-Food Canada, Regina Saskatchewan XV Session.
GIS ASSESSMENT OF CLIMATE WARMING IMPACT ON WINE GROWING REGIONS DISTRIBUTION IN SLOVENIA Andreja Sušnik* Lučka Kajfež-Bogataj** Blaž Kurnik* * Environmental.
Bushfire CRC Grassland Curing Project Ian Grant Bureau of Meteorology.
AIACC Regional Study AS07 Southeast Asia Regional Vulnerability to Changing Water Resources and Extreme Hydrological due to Climate Change.
1 Capacity Development for Water and Food Security Dr. Jens Liebe UN-Water Decade Programme on Capacity Development (UNW-DPC) GEOSS S+T Stakeholder Workshop.
© CommNet 2013 Education Phase 3 Sustainable food production.
UKRAINIAN AGRICULTURAL WEATHER RISK MANAGEMENT WORLD BANK COMMODITY RISK MANAGEMENT GROUP Ulrich Hess Joanna Syroka PhD January UKRAINIAN AGRICULTURAL.
Nowlin Chair Crop Modeling Symposium November 10-11, 2000 Future Needs for Effective Model Applications James W. Jones  Users  Model Capabilities  Data.
Climate change and Australian Farming Systems Peter Hayman SARDI and Deirdre Lemerle CSU, Wagga.
Understanding Drought
Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada Canadian Agriculture and Climate Change: Challenges and Opportunities.
Water Management Presentations Summary Determine climate and weather extremes that are crucial in resource management and policy making Precipitation extremes.
Climate Futures for Tasmania Steve Wilson TIAR/School of Agricultural Science University of Tasmania.
Weather and climate monitoring for food risk management G. Maracchi WMO, Geneva, November 2004 Weather and climate monitoring for food risk management.
Clyde Fraisse Agricultural & Biological Engineering Climate Information & Decision Support Systems.
Drought Monitor Primer Mark Svoboda, Climatologist Monitoring Program Area Leader, National Drought Mitigation Center University of Nebraska-Lincoln, USA.
AgClimate: Web-based Climate Information & Decision Aid Tools Clyde W. Fraisse Climate Extension Specialist Agric. & Biol. Engineering – IFAS University.
Trends and spatial patterns of drought incidence in the Omo-Ghibe River Basin, Ethiopia Policy Brief Degefu MA. & Bewket W.
Application of GI-based Procedures for Soil Moisture Mapping and Crop Vegetation Status Monitoring in Romania Dr. Adriana MARICA, Dr. Gheorghe STANCALIE,
Economic Cooperation Organization Training Course on “Drought and Desertification” Alanya Facilities, Antalya, TURKEY presented by Ertan TURGU from Turkish.
Available soil water- a practical communication tool in southern NSW Michael Cashen Agricultural Climatologist Acknowledge.
1 … Institute for the Protection and Security of the Citizen The grid reference system used for CGMS (MARS-STAT Action) G.Genovese 1st European Workshop.
© UKCIP 2006 UKCP09 and the West Midlands region West Midlands Regional Climate Change Adaptation Partnership, 8th July 2009 Chris Thomas, UK Climate Impacts.
Agricultural Innovation Kim Ritman Chief Scientist ABARES.
Applying New Drought Decision Support Tools Mark Svoboda National Drought Mitigation Center International Drought Information Center University of Nebraska-Lincoln.
LEAP* Workshop Jan 21, 2008 Ulrich Hess, Chief of Business Risk Planning Ulrich Hess, Chief of Business Risk Planning Early Warning component: LEAP (Livelihoods.
An Application of Field Monitoring Data in Estimating Optimal Planting Dates of Cassava in Upper Paddy Field in Northeast Thailand Meeting Notes.
Climate Change & Agriculture in Uzbekistan Awareness Raising and Consultation Workshop May 19, 2010 Tashkent Dr. William R. Sutton Senior Agricultural.
World Meteorological Organization Working together in weather, climate and water WMO OMM WMO Climate Services, Food Security, and Farmers Robert.
Climate Futures for Tasmania: Prospects, Impacts and Information for Adaption Options Nathan Bindoff et al. ACE CRC, DPIW, Hydro Tasmania,SES,BoM, GA,
Management of Global Climate Change in Indian Agriculture.
Climate Change Scenarios for Agriculture Sam Gameda and Budong Qian Eastern Cereal and Oilseed Research Centre Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada Ottawa,
Global Climate Change: Agriculture Celia Fisher Mikaela Larson Pd. 1.
Conservation management for an uncertain future Mike Morecroft.
Meteorological & Hydrological data for water resources development.
Is There a Dust Bowl in Our Future? Projections for the Eastern Rockies and Central Great Plains.” Dennis Ojima Water, Climate and Uncertainty Conference.
Ernest Nti Acheampong African Technology Policy Studies Network (ATPS)
Climate, Pests and Pathogens Eugene S. Takle Professor of Agricultural Meteorology, Department of Agronomy Professor of Atmospheric Science, Department.
Enabling Ecological Forecasting by integrating surface, satellite, and climate data with ecosystem models Ramakrishna Nemani Petr Votava Andy Michaelis.
Climate Change and the Three R’s LGA Climate Change Summit Anita Crisp June 2008.
Climate Change and Local Government Elected Members Residential Seminar May 2008.
Strategies to address Climate Change Issues in Malaysia By Chow Kok Kee Malaysian Meteorological Service.
Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and the Conservation and Use of Plant Genetic Resources Summary of
The Main Thrusts of CAgM
Impact and vulnerability assessment in Poland
ICT Implementation to Support Agricultural Development in Indonesia
Irrigation Scheduling Overview and Tools
Geodata for Agriculture and Water (G4AW) workshop
An Agriculture Perspective
CLIMATE AND AGRICULTURE: AGRO-CLIMATOLOGY WATER BUDGET AND CROP CALENDAR MADE BY-S hounack Mandal M.Sc Geography, SEM-1 ADAMAS UNIVERSITY TO:- Dr. Anu.
Review of RRSF Implementation ICT and Geo-information
Deputy Minister of Nature Protection of the Republic of Armenia
Situation in March 2012 from the Monthly Hydrological Summary
Engaging, adapting, adopting………….
NADSS Overview An Application of Geo-Spatial Decision Support to Agriculture Risk Management.
What are the risks in your country
DROUGHT MONITORING SYSTEM IN DHMZ
Climate Change and Agriculture
LA06 Assessment of Impacts and Adaptation Measures for the Water Resources Sector Due to Extreme Events Under Climate Change Conditions. REGIONAL PROJECT.
INCAT: CSAb (IG4) INCAT is a scaleable insurance-based climate adaptation tool for potato farming. It uses seasonal weather forecasts, to provide a data-driven.
Power and Decision Making In INRM
Presentation transcript:

S C I E N C E F O R D E C I S I O N M A K E R S B u r e a u o f R u r a l S c i e n c e s S C I E N C E F O R D E C I S I O N M A K E R S James Walcott D E P A R T M E N T O F A G R I C U L T U R E , F I S H E R I E S A N D F O R E S T R Y

Greg Laughlin James Walcott (climate) (agriculture) Agroclimatic Characterization and Zoning Methods for Operational Applications: Tools that make climate simple for agricultural decision makers John Sims (operations) Greg Laughlin James Walcott (climate) (agriculture) Tim Brinkley (methods) Presented to WMO Workshop on Climate Analysis and Mapping for Agriculture. Bologna, 14-17 June 2005.

Distribution of grain cropping in Australia

Outline Operational uses Rainfall reliability wizard: grain adaptation Integrated toolset: productivity Growest: pasture forecasts National Monitoring system: drought policy Conclusions/Future extensions

Operational Uses Agricultural adaptation Climate risks Crop, livestock decisions Climate risks Fire risk, storm warning, frost warning Agricultural risks Pest & disease outbreaks, weed incursions, plague locust Policy delivery Natural resource management, conservation, rural policy, drought relief, quarantine

Rainfall Reliability Wizard Bureau of Meteorology rainfall grids: 100+ yrs 25 km sq Analysis: means percentiles between seasons within seasons event analysis Display and access: www.brs.gov.au/rainfall Laughlin et al (2003) Environmental Modelling and Software 18: 49-57

Probability of 50% seasonal mean www.brs.gov.au/rainfall

Reliability of achieving 25 mm/month for June – September

Distribution of available water capacity in soil profile across grain cropping zone

Integrated Toolset ANU Splin (Hutchinson 1990) Interpolations using thin-plate splines Independent factors such as altitude Commercial in confidence

Livestock density in 2001

Integrated Toolset: relating primary productivity to livestock density Low Medium High Index of primary productivity Low Medium High

GrowEst: simple estimates of plant growth RI - Radiation index Major climate drivers in plant growth TI - Temperature index Radiation Temperature Moisture Growth Index GI = LI x TI x MI MI - Moisture index Fitzpatrick and Nix (1970) – GrowEst Nix (1981) Hutchinson, Nix and McMahon (1992) Brinkley et al (2005)

The National Monitoring System Analyses Mapping Regional Reports

Conclusions Also consider flexible, pragmatic systems that: Analyse data rapidly Provide simple outputs Respond to wide range of requests Use our skills to provide advice on output Future Weather Wizard (frost, growing degree days, vernalisation) Climate change/adaptation

“… not … the simplicity this side of complexity, but … the simplicity on the other side of complexity.” Oliver Wendell Holmes