NATIONAL CONFERENCE ON AGRICULTURE (KHARIF CAMPAIGN-2018) RABI REVIEW AND KHARIF PROSPECTS Dr. S K Malhotra Agriculture Commissioner Department of Agriculture, Cooperation & Farmers Welfare, Ministry of Agriculture & Farmers Welfare

AREA AND PRODUCTION OF CROPS IN 2017-18 Second estimates Area (Million hectare) Production (Million ton) Kharif Rabi Total Rice 38.8 4.1 42.9 96.4 14.5 111.0 Wheat - 30.0 97.1 Sorghum 1.9 3.0 4.9 2.0 2.7 4.7 Bajra 7.1 9.3 Maize 7.7 1.6 19.5 7.6 27.1 Ragi 1.2 Small millets 0.5 0.4 Barley 0.7 Total Coarse cereals 18.4 5.4 23.8 33.2 12.3 45.4 Total Pulses 13.7 15.1 28.8 8.8 23.9 Total food grains 71.0 54.6 125.6 138.5 139.0 277.5 Total oil seeds 17.2 7.3 24.5 20.4 9.5 29.9

RAINFALL - RABI SEASON (mm) METEOROLOGICAL SUBDIVISIONS POST-MONSOON, 2017 (01.10.17 to 31.12.17) WINTER - 2018 (01.01.18 to 28.02.18) MARCH, 2018 ONWARD (01.03.18 to 18.04.18) ACTUAL NORMAL % DEP. EAST & NORTH EAST INDIA 199.7 171.4 17% 23.1 55.8 -59% 88.8 127.7 -30% NORTH WEST INDIA 27.7 62.7 -56% 25.3 77.6 -67% 43.6 67.5 -35% CENTRAL INDIA 72.3 79.6 -9% 6.7 15.9 -58% 14.2 15.1 -6% SOUTH PENINSULA 242.4 273.3 -11% 8.7 15.2 -43% 43.4 28.5 52% COUNTRY AS A WHOLE 112.3 127.2 -12% 15.4 41.4 -63% 40.9 52.0 -21%

WEATHER SCENARIO (RABI 2017-18) Monsoon rainfall was normal during 2017. Sept.-Oct. rainfall in Maharashtra, Telangana, Andhra Pradesh, Tamilnadu helped in coverage of area under rabi rice, oilseeds, coarse cereals & pulses. Temperature during Feb.-March was conducive for crop growth & farmers reaped increased productivity. Western disturbances caused hailstorm/rains/winds in small areas in a few states (Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Maharashtra and Himachal Pradesh).

PLANNING FOR KHARIF 2018 Forecast of IMD on Monsoon (16 April 2018): Monsoon rainfall is likely to be 97% of the Long Period Average (LPA) with a error of ±5%, which is considered as favourable. Preparedness for all the possible scenarios: Delayed onset Prolonged dry spells Early withdrawal Less rainfall Excess rainfall Contingency plan for 623 districts is ready (ICAR-CRIDA)

CROP STRATEGIES: WE NEED TO PROMOTE Higher coverage : Summer Moong & Urd. Pulses as intercrop with: Soybean, Sugarcane, Nutri-Cereals (Millets), Cotton etc. Nutri-Cereals in rain-fed and marginal lands. Arhar (Red gram) on bunds or transplanted. Ridge Furrow system and Broad Bed Furrow system. Minor pulses [cowpea, mothbean, horse gram (kulthi), faba bean, Lathyrus (khesari) and rajmash] and Oilseeds (sesame, linseed castor and niger).

Production (million ton) STRATEGIES FOR RICE Production (million ton) 2017-18 (2nd estimates) Target 2018-19 Kharif Rabi Total 96.5 14.5 111 98 15 113 Line Transplanting & Machine Transplanting Direct seeded Rice (DSR) Drum seeder for wet bed System of Rice Intensification (SRI) Promotion of hybrids Tolerant varieties for water stress, salinity, submergence (flood tolerant) Nutrient and pest management

Production (million ton) STRATEGIES FOR PULSES Production (million ton) 2017-18 (2nd estimates) Target 2018-19 Kharif Rabi Total 8.8 15.1 23.9 8.9 24.0 Seed treatment, inoculation with Rhizobium and PSB culture. Application of recommended dose of fertilizers based on Soil Health Card. Micro-nutrients as per requirement. Amelioration with lime in acidic soils. Gypsum as source of sulphur. Weed management. Pest surveillance and integrated pest management (bio-pesticides & pheromone trap etc.).

STRATEGIES FOR OILSEEDS Production (million ton) 2017-18 (2nd estimates) Target 2018-19 Kharif Rabi Total 20.5 9.5 30.0 25.5 10.5 36.0 Intercrop with pulses/cotton/coarse cereals. Broad Bed Furrow and Ridge Furrow techniques for crop and water management. Improved varieties of soybean, groundnut, sesame, sunflower and hybrid of castor. Seed treatment with rhizobium (soybean/groundnut) and PSB culture. Replacement of upland/low yielding paddy area with oilseeds. Introduction of soybean in non-traditional areas – Bihar, Jharkhand and Odisha. Addressing whitefly, YMV & deficient rainfall. Mitigating shortage of soybean seed (93170 kg shortage) Untimely rain during harvesting damaged seed crop in Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh and Telangana. Farmer saved seed can be used with seed treatment. Sowing with dibbling method on raised broad beds.

Production (million ton) STRATEGIES FOR COTTON Production (million ton) 2017-18 (2nd estimates) Target 2018-19 34.0 35.5 Management of cotton whitefly Ensure timely sowing (upto 15th May). Regular monitoring. Select tolerant varieties/hybrids. Application of recommended dose of fertilizer, avoid excessive urea application. Use of recommended pesticides/preferably IPM. Management of pinkboll worms (PBW) Procure and sow authentic BG-II hybrids, preferably short duration. Follow recommended protection measures/IPM. Do not extend crop beyond January. Monitoring PBW using pheromone traps. Maintain cleanliness - follow plant residue management.

SUBMISSION ON NUTRICEREALS-STRATEGIES Production (million ton) 2017-18 (2nd estimates) Target 2018-19 Kharif Rabi Total 13.7 2.7 16.4 14.5 2.8 17.3 Millets named as NUTRI-CEREALS Celebration of year 2018 as: National Year of Millets Implementation of Submission on Nutri-cereals Breeder and certified seed production Seed distribution Cluster demonstrations Integrated nutrient management Integrated pest management Farm implements Water saving technologies : Sprinkler Value chain integration of small producers Formation of FPO,s/COE/Processing clusters Capacity building of farmers 14 states, 202 districts, 2018-19 and 2019-20

NEW INITIATIVES Created 150 seed hubs for pulses at KVKs and SAUs. Seed mini kits of pulses. Proposed 30 seed hubs for nine oilseed crops. Enhancement of breeder seed production at ICAR & SAUs. Sub-Mission on Nutricereals under NFSM (14 states 202 districts). Cluster frontline demonstrations through KVKs. Bringing 1.5 million ha area of rice fallow under Pulses & oilseeds cultivation per year up to 2019-20 (Total target : 4.5 million ha in 3 years). Additional 75000 ha to be covered under oil palm in 3 years upto 2019-20. Revamped NFSM for 2018-19 & 2019-20 : Increased incentives & flexibility to states (Enhancement of seed subsidy, Local initiatives). National Demonstration Project for promotion of Farmer Producer Organization (FPO’s)- Value chain development of pulses and millets started: 115 FPO’s in 11 states proposed.

REQUIREMENT & AVAILABILITY OF SEEDS FOR KHARIF CROPS 2018 (Quintals) S.N Crops Group Crop Requirement Availability Surplus/Deficit 1 Cereals Paddy 6398798 7346749 947951 Maize 1074294 1075240 946 2 Nutri-Cereals Bajra 228733 252138 23405 Jowar 144031 201834 57803 Ragi 27707 45912 18205 3 Pulses Arhar 282044 294574 12530 Urd 216529 299253 82724 Moong 196457 296526 100069 Cowpea 22837 22693 -144 Moth 20000 22144 2144 4 Oilseeds Groundnut 1921633 1955824 34191 Soybean 2909762 2816592 -93170 Sunflower 15302 17913 2611 Sesame 20923 24784 3861

REQUIREMENT & AVAILABILITY OF FERTILIZERS FOR KHARIF: 2018 (Lakh Tonnes) Fertilizers KHARIF: 2017 KHARIF: 2018 Assessed requirement Total sales Urea 151.19 147.41 158.00 DAP 47.91 43.75 49.20 MOP 17.20 17.61 20.25 NPK 47.73 40.78 49.73 SSP 25.90 17.87 26.25 Use of Bio-fertilizers, Neem Coated urea, Use of Micro-nutrients Source: INM & FMS, DAC, GOI

Tentative Targets: Kharif-2018   Kharif 2018 Rabi 2018-19 Total Crops Production (million ton) Wheat - 100 Rice 98.00 15 113 Jowar 2.10 2.80 4.9 Bajra 9.50 9.5 Maize 19.8 7.50 27.3 Ragi 2.30 2.3 Small Millets 0.60 0.6 Barley 2.1 Total Coarse Cereals 34.30 12.4 46.7 Total Pulses 8.9 15.1 24.0 Total Foodgrains 140.20 142.5 283.7 Total Oilseeds 25.5 10.5 36.0 Cotton - million bales (1 bale=170 kgs) 35.5 Sugarcane (million ton) 355.0

PROSPECTS & RETROSPECTS Timely arrangement and positioning of inputs Seeds, fertilizers, micronutrients, agro-chemicals, machinery and funds for various schemes. Timely sowing of crops & raising nursery of paddy. Timely crop insurance cover. Effectively implementation of flagship scheme: PMKSY, PMKY, PMFBY, RKVY (CDP, BGREAI), E NAM, Submission on Mechanization, NMSA, MIDH, NFSM. Weekly video conferencing for reviewing crop situation , input availability and follow up. Preparedness for all possible scenarios : Contingency plan (623 districts). Coordination meeting with line departments (credit, power, irrigation). Mobilizing extension staff for field deployment Convergence with ATMA, NFSM and other schemes. Active involvement of SAUs/KVKs in scheme implementation Technical backstopping cluster demonstration, capacity building. Effective monitoring and feed back. Implementation of Direct Beneficiary Transfer (DBT). Aspirational districts: 115 districts – District Action Plan.

With advance planning and implementation we will achieve the targets