Final Workshop September 20, 2012 Anchorage, Alaska

NSDSS Final Workshop - Agenda Introductions 1:00 – 1:45Project Overview and Tool Functionality 1:45 – 2:30Case Study #1 – White Hills Ice Road 2:30 – 2:45Coffee Break 2:45 – 3:15Ice Road Design, Live Demo 3:15 – 3:45Case Study #2 – Landscape Ice Road Suitability Assessment 3:45 – 4:00Stakeholder Feedback 4:00End

Ice Roads are Critical for Resource Exploration in the Arctic… Relatively Inexpensive Relatively Reliable Require Little Remediation

Distribution of North Slope Lakes

Question: How can we do a better job of Planning, Permitting, and Communicating Information about Ice Roads on Alaskas North Slope? Answer: The North Slope Decision Support System

Stakeholder Workshops First Workshop: Anchorage, Jan Introduce project Brainstorm Functionality of NSDSS Second Workshop: Fairbanks, Nov Reviewed Prototype NSDSS Tool Feedback on Functionality Third Workshop: Fairbanks, April, 2011 Rolled out Working NSDSS Web Tool Brainstormed Case Study Ideas Final Workshop: Fairbanks & Anchorage, Sept Presenting Completed Tool Presenting Case Study Results Brainstorm future enhancements

NSDSS Today: NSDSS Website Nsdss.ine.uaf.edu Project Overview Description Team Stakeholders Contact Literature Overview Ice Road Planning Natural Systems Models Technology Workshops Case Studies Web Tool Tool requirements Launching Pad

NSDSS System Architecture Catalog Service Metadata for all Databases Field Data: WERC, Publish (ODM-based) North Slope DSS Web Portal GIS-based Climate Forecasts ReAnalysis (NetCDF) GIS Data (WMS, WFS) Cyber Infrastructure Data, Tools, Reports Local Cache Combination of new and Existing Databases, owned by data partners Model Data: Publish

The NSDSS Web Tool: NSDSS.net Search for all data within the NSDSS Cyberinfrastructure Uses Semantic Mediation

NSDSS.net MS Silverlight-based web application Enables exploration of data, analysis, and publication of findings Data stored in statewide cyber infrastructure, and is accessed directly through the web portal through web services Map-based application containing four modules that interact with map: Data Exploration Data Publishing Environmental Analysis Ice Road Planning

An example of how it Works? Catalog Service Metadata for all information Field Data NorthSlopeDSS Workbench GIS-based Desktop Tool Climate Data GINA GIS Node CyberInfrastructure Data, Tools, Reports Local Cache Intent is to Evaluate Potential Ice Road Route(s) 1 Decide to do Ice Road Planning Study; select start and end point 2 Ask Catalog Service for Data Nodes that contain suitable data (Terrain, GIS – Lakes, Sensitive Areas) 3 Catalog Service provides names and call methods and parameters for Nodes 4 Workbench Requests Data 5 Node Serves Data 6 User Conducts Analysis and documents findings 7 User Completes Evaluation Report 8 User saves findings and brings into decision process. 9

NSDSS Data Sources NSF Data Conservancy/ EOL Endangered Species Service NSDSS ArcGIS -Lakes DB -Transportation -Hydrography -DEM Catalog Service Metadata for all Databases WERC Field Data (ODM-based) NorthSlopeDSS Workbench GIS-based Desktop Tool NSDSS NetCDF -GCM Climate Scenarios -Re-Analysis CyberInfrastructure Local Cache Data Models NSDSS Publish Database (ODM-based) NSDSS Model Database (xml-based model descriptions) ESRI World Map (ODM-based) Read-OnlyPublishable External

NSDSS Web Tool: Data Publishing Add your own data Point-based Meteorological Data Hydrologic Data Any Data Can be published Copy and Paste from Excel Upload to Publish Database Can be used by others in their analysis

NSDSS Web Tool: Ice Road Planning Ice Road Planning Planning Level Assessment to Determine Potential Ice Road Routes based on: Cost Length Construction Time Water Haul Distance Grade Water Availability Environmental Impact Advanced Analyses: Find best place to start from along road Landscape Iceroad Suitability Analysis

NSDSS Web Tool: Environmental Analysis Used to Assess Environmental Impact and Risk Lake Water Budget Analysis Potential impact to lake water supply given uncertain weather Takes into account fish presence and regulatory requirement 95% of models predict this much water will be available 5% of models predict this much water will be available Water Required to build road Because min level for blue line is higher than 55M gal, shows that 50% of models agree that there will be sufficient water, even in dry years. 50% of models predict this much water will be available Because red line crosses 55M gal at 65%, shows that 5% of models predict there will be a 65% chance of insufficient water.

NSDSS Web Tool: Environmental Analysis Used to Assess Environmental Impact and Risk Lake Dissolved Oxygen Analysis Potential impact to lake water quality given uncertain weather Takes into account impact of thickening ice and extraction of waters impact to total liquid lake volume and resulting DO level.