Community Colleges in Service to the State Presented to the Student Success Steering Committee Portland, Oregon March 19, 2008 National Center for Higher Education Management Systems 3035 Center Green Drive, Suite 150 Boulder, Colorado 80301-2251

State Workforce and Economy Who’s Entering the State’s Workforce? The State Workforce and Economy Who’s Leaving the State Workforce? Characteristics of In-Migrants Entrants into the Workforce Characteristics of Out-Migrants Retirees Leaving the Workforce Economic Conditions Characteristics of the Workforce Net Gains/Losses –Retirement –Migration Net Gain/Loss

Oregon Workforce Regions 1 2 3 11 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 15 14 13 Curry Grant Sherman Gilliam Wasco Douglas Josephine Klamath Lane Jefferson Wheeler Wallowa Union Umatilla Tillamook Yamhill Multnomah Baker Clackamas Clatsop Columbia Coos Crook Deschutes Harney Jackson Lake Linn Malheur Marion Morrow Polk Washington Hood River Lincoln Benton

Oregon Public 2-Year Locations with Workforce Region and County Boundaries Crook Deschutes Lane Yamhill Lincoln Marion Tillamook Washington Hood River Gilliam Sherman Multnomah Douglas Benton Clackamas Clatsop Columbia Jackson Josephine Curry Wasco Linn Wheeler Jefferson Klamath Wallowa Union Baker Coos Grant Harney Lake Malheur Morrow Polk Umatilla Central Oregon CC Treasure Valley CC Blue Mountain CC Lane CC Chemeketa CC Tillamook Bay CC Clackamas CC Portland CC Columbia Gorge CC Southwestern Oregon CC Umpqua CC Oregon Coast CC Linn-Benton CC Klamath CC Mt Hood CC Clatsop CC Rogue CC

Population and Demographic Characteristics

Population Projections—Percent Change, 2000-25 85.8 93.3 -3.3 Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Projected Change in Number of Adults Age 15-24 by County, 2005-25 Gilliam Wasco Wheeler Harney Sherman Lake Wallowa Grant Curry Tillamook Columbia Klamath Baker Josephine Lincoln Clatsop Douglas Coos Benton 29,876 Source: Oregon Office of Economic Analysis

Projected Change in Number of Adults Age 25-44 by County, 2005-25 Multnomah 51,396 53,549 Source: Oregon Office of Economic Analysis

Projected Change in Oregon Population by Age and Race/Ethnicity, 2005-25 (in Thousands) 460,437

Minorities* as a Percent of Total Population, 2006 16 .0 to 33 .9 10 .6 6 .7 3 .2 * Minorities include African-American, Hispanic, and Native American Source: Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS)

Percent Hispanic/Latino Population, 2006 13 .1 to 24 .9 8 .8 4 .6 2 Source: PUMS

Differences in College Attainment (Associate and Higher) Between Younger and Older Adults—U.S. and OECD Countries, 2005 Source: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), Education at a Glance 2007

Differences in College Attainment (Associate and Higher) Between Younger and Older Adults—U.S., 2005 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 American Community Survey (ACS)

Percent of Adults with an Associate Degree or Higher by Age Group—Oregon, U.S. and Leading OECD Countries Source: OECD, Education at a Glance 2007

Educational Attainment and Rank Among States—Oregon, 2005 (Percent) 80.8% 88.9% 8.1% 29.2% 10.3% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 ACS

Educational Attainment of Population Age 25-64, 2005 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 ACS PUMS

Percent of Population Age 25-64 with an Associate Degree or Higher, 2006 41 .6 to 69 .5 32 27 .8 23 .4 Source: PUMS

Percent Educational Attainment of Population Age 25-64 By Race/Ethnicity—Oregon, 2005 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 ACS PUMS File

Percent of Oregon Residents with No High School Diploma By Age and Race/Ethnicity, 2006 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2006 ACS PUMS

Difference in High School Attainment Between Whites and Minorities, Vermont * Minorities include African-American, Hispanic, and Native American Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2006 ACS PUMS

Difference in College Attainment Between Whites and Minorities,* 2006 Vermont * Minorities include African-American, Hispanic, and Native American Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2006 ACS PUMS

Gaps in Percentage of Residents Age 25-64 with a College Degree Between the Most and Least Educated Counties, 2000 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census

Percent of Population Age 25-64 with Only an Associate Degree, 2006 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2006 ACS

Percent of Population Age 25-64 with an Associate Degree or Higher, 2006 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2006 ACS

Percent of Oregon Residents with Only an Associate Degree by Age and Race/Ethnicity, 2006 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2006 ACS PUMS

Percent of Oregon Residents with a College Degree (Associate and Higher) by Age and Race/Ethnicity, 2006 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2006 ACS PUMS

Percent of Population Age 25-64 with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher, 2006 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2006 ACS

Workforce Participation

Percent of Civilian Population Age 25-64 Participating in the Workforce, 2005 Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Percent of Civilians Age 25-64 Not Participating in the Workforce—By Education Attainment, 2005 U.S. Oregon Less than High School 37.0 29.9 High School 24.7 23.4 Some College 21.0 22.4 Associate Degree 17.4 19.6 Bachelor’s Degree 16.5 17.8 Graduate/Prof. Degree 13.9 16.8 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 ACS PUMS

Percent of Total Gross State Product by Industry and Comparison to U.S. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

Change in Gross State Product, 1997-2004 Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

Employment in High-Technology Establishments as Share of Total Employment by State, 2004 Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Corporation for Enterprise Development (CFED)

Projected Percent Change in Occupations Requiring Some Postsecondary Training, 2002-2012 Note: Some college, Associate, Bachelor’s and higher. Source: ACINet, Career InfoNet

Occupations with Most Openings Requiring Some Postsecondary Training or an Associate Degree, 2006-16 13,515 9,818 OREGON Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development

REGION 1 (Clatsop, Columbia, Tillamook Counties) Occupations with Most Openings Requiring Some Postsecondary Training or an Associate Degree, 2006-16 REGION 1 (Clatsop, Columbia, Tillamook Counties) 1 Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development

REGION 2 (Multnomah and Washington Counties) Occupations with Most Openings Requiring Some Postsecondary Training or an Associate Degree, 2006-16 5,619 REGION 2 (Multnomah and Washington Counties) 2 Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development

REGION 3 (Marion, Polk, Yamhill Counties) Occupations with Most Openings Requiring Some Postsecondary Training or an Associate Degree, 2006-16 1,750 REGION 3 (Marion, Polk, Yamhill Counties) 3 Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development

REGION 4 (Benton, Lincoln, Linn Counties) Occupations with Most Openings Requiring Some Postsecondary Training or an Associate Degree, 2006-16 REGION 4 (Benton, Lincoln, Linn Counties) 4 Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development

Occupations with Most Openings Requiring Some Postsecondary Training or an Associate Degree, 2006-16 1,491 855 REGION 5 (Lane County) 5 Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development

REGION 6 (Douglas County) Occupations with Most Openings Requiring Some Postsecondary Training or an Associate Degree, 2006-16 338 REGION 6 (Douglas County) 6 Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development

REGION 7 (Coos and Curry Counties) Occupations with Most Openings Requiring Some Postsecondary Training or an Associate Degree, 2006-16 264 189 REGION 7 (Coos and Curry Counties) 7 Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development

REGION 8 (Jackson and Josephine Counties) Occupations with Most Openings Requiring Some Postsecondary Training or an Associate Degree, 2006-16 1,017 REGION 8 (Jackson and Josephine Counties) 8 Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development

REGION 9 (Gilliam, Hood River, Sherman, Wasco, Wheeler Counties) Occupations with Most Openings Requiring Some Postsecondary Training or an Associate Degree, 2006-16 227 172 REGION 9 (Gilliam, Hood River, Sherman, Wasco, Wheeler Counties) 9 Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development

REGION 10 (Crook, Deschutes, Jefferson Counties) Occupations with Most Openings Requiring Some Postsecondary Training or an Associate Degree, 2006-16 749 668 REGION 10 (Crook, Deschutes, Jefferson Counties) 10 Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development

REGION 11 (Klamath and Lake Counties) Occupations with Most Openings Requiring Some Postsecondary Training or an Associate Degree, 2006-16 161 127 109 REGION 11 (Klamath and Lake Counties) 11 Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development

REGION 12 (Morrow and Umatilla Counties) Occupations with Most Openings Requiring Some Postsecondary Training or an Associate Degree, 2006-16 242 REGION 12 (Morrow and Umatilla Counties) 12 Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development

REGION 13 (Baker, Union, Wallowa Counties) Occupations with Most Openings Requiring Some Postsecondary Training or an Associate Degree, 2006-16 147 95 REGION 13 (Baker, Union, Wallowa Counties) 13 Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development

REGION 14 (Grant, Harney, Malheur Counties) Occupations with Most Openings Requiring Some Postsecondary Training or an Associate Degree, 2006-16 129 95 REGION 14 (Grant, Harney, Malheur Counties) 14 Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development

REGION 15 (Clackamas County) Occupations with Most Openings Requiring Some Postsecondary Training or an Associate Degree, 2006-16 1,026 919 745 REGION 15 (Clackamas County) 15 Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development

The Student Pipeline

Student Pipeline, 2004 Of 100 9th Graders, How Many… Source: NCES Common Core Data 2004; Tom Mortenson, Postsecondary Education Opportunity; NCES, IPEDS Fall 2004 Retention Rate File and Fall 2003 Enrollments, 2004 Graduation Rates; U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 ACS

Race/Ethnic Representation at Each Stage of the Education Pipeline—Oregon, 2005 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates; NCES Common Core of Data; NCES, IPEDS Fall 2005 Enrollments File, 2004-05 Completions File

Oregon Community College System—Percent of Race/Ethnic Groups at Each Stage of the Education Pipeline, 2006 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2006 Population Estimates; Oregon Department of Education Student Reports, High School Graduates by Race 2007; NCES, IPEDS Fall 2006 Enrollments and 2006 Completions

High School Graduation Rates—Public High School Graduates as a Percent of 9th Graders Four Years Earlier, 2004 Source: Tom Mortenson, Postsecondary Opportunity (rev. 071106)

Oregon High School Graduation Rates—Percentage of 9th Graders Graduating Four Years Later by County (Average 2003-04 to 2005-06) Source: Oregon Department of Education; NCES Common Core Data

Oregon High School Graduation Rates—Percentage of 9th Graders Graduating Four Years Later by Region (Average 2003-04 to 2005-06) Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development; Oregon Department of Education

College-Going Rates—First-Time Freshmen Directly Out of High School as a Percent of Recent High School Graduates, 2004 Source: Tom Mortenson, Postsecondary Opportunity (2004 data update 02-06-07)

Oregon Net Migration of College Students by Sector, Fall 2006 Public 4-Year Private 4-Year For-Profit Private 4-Year Non-Profit Public 2-Year Private 2-Year For-Profit Private 2-Year Non-Profit Public Less than 2-Year Private Less than 2-Year For-Profit Private Less than 2-Year Non-Profit Total Source: NCES, IPEDS Residency and Migration Survey

Percent of Oregon High School Graduates Attending Community College Directly Out of High School By County (Average 2004-05 to 2006-07) Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development; Oregon Department of Education

Percent of Oregon High School Graduates Attending Community College Directly Out of High School By Region (Average 2004-05 to 2006-07) Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development; Oregon Department of Education

Percent of Oregon Students Directly Out of High School Enrolling In-Region (Average 2005 to 2007) Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development; Oregon Department of Education

First-Time Credit Students Age 24 and Under Enrolled in Oregon Community Colleges per 1,000 Residents Age 18-24—By County (Average 2003-04 to 2005-06) Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development; U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates

First-Time Credit Students Age 24 and Under Enrolled in Oregon Community Colleges per 1,000 Residents Age 18-24 (Average 2003-04 to 2005-06) Washington Tillamook Columbia Multnomah Coos Lincoln Benton Yamhill Josephine Curry Sherman Gilliam Clatsop Marion Polk Morrow Wasco Jefferson Deschutes Clackamas Lane Douglas Jackson Klamath Lake Crook Wheeler Grant Harney Malheur Baker Wallowa Union Umatilla Linn Hood River 79 .8 to 153 .0 62 .1 52 .7 13 Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development; U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates

First-Time Credit Students Age 24 and Under Enrolled in Oregon Community Colleges per 1,000 Residents Age 18-24—By Region (Average 2003-04 to 2005-06) Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development; U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates

First-Time Credit Students Age 25 and Over Enrolled in Oregon Community Colleges per 1,000 Residents Age 25-44—By County (Average 2003-04 to 2005-06) Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development; U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates

First-Time Credit Students Age 25 and Over Enrolled in Oregon Community Colleges per 1,000 Residents Age 25-44 (Average 2003-04 to 2005-06) Coos Lincoln Benton Tillamook Washington Yamhill Columbia Multnomah Josephine Curry Sherman Gilliam Clatsop Marion Polk Morrow Wasco Jefferson Deschutes Clackamas Lane Douglas Jackson Klamath Lake Crook Wheeler Grant Harney Malheur Baker Wallowa Union Umatilla Linn Hood River 10 .9 to 20 5 .5 4 .3 1 Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development; U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates

First-Time Credit Students Age 25 and Over Enrolled in Oregon Community Colleges per 1,000 Residents Age 25-44—By Region (Average 2003-04 to 2005-06) Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development; U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates

First-Time Non-Credit Students Age 25 and Over Enrolled in Oregon Community Colleges per 1,000 Residents Age 25-44—By County (Average 2003-04 to 2005-06) Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development; U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates

First-Time Non-Credit Students Age 25 and Over Enrolled in Oregon Community Colleges per 1,000 Residents Age 25-44 (Average 2003-04 to 2005-06) Washington Tillamook Columbia Multnomah Lincoln Benton Coos Yamhill Josephine Curry Sherman Gilliam Clatsop Marion Polk Morrow Wasco Jefferson Deschutes Clackamas Lane Douglas Jackson Klamath Lake Crook Wheeler Grant Harney Malheur Baker Wallowa Union Umatilla Linn Hood River 85 .8 to 174 .2 58 .0 37 .7 12 .3 Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development; U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates

First-Time Non-Credit Students Age 25 and Over Enrolled in Oregon Community Colleges per 1,000 Residents Age 25-44—By Region (Average 2003-04 to 2005-06) Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development; U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates

First- to Second-Year Retention Rates at Oregon Community Colleges, Fall 2006 82.4 Source: NCES, IPEDS Fall 2006 Retention Rate File, Fall 2005 Enrollment File

Associate Degrees Awarded per 100 High School Graduates Three Years Earlier, 2004 Source: NCES-IPEDS Completions Survey, WICHE

Three-Year Graduation Rates at Two­Year Colleges, 2005 (Percent) Source: NCES, IPEDS Graduation Rate Survey

Oregon Community College Graduation Rates, 2006 (Completers of Any Degree/Certificate Within 150% of Normal Program Time, Cohort Year 2003) Source: NCES, IPEDS 2006 Graduation Rate File

Difference in Graduation Rates Between White and Minority Students at Oregon Community Colleges, 2006 (Completers of Any Degree/Certificate Within 150% of Normal Program Time, Cohort Year 2003) Clackamas Umpqua Klamath Clatsop* Columbia Gorge* Tilamook Bay* Oregon Coast* *Minority cohort size is too small for reasonable comparison. Source: NCES, IPEDS 2006 Graduation Rate File.

Gap Between Supply and Demand in Selected Occupations (Average Annual Openings 2006-16 vs. Current Annual Degree Production) Average Degrees/Certificates Gap Between Annual Produced Annually Supply and Occupation Openings (3-Year Average) Demand Registered Nurses 1,352 539 813 Health Tech 556 260 296 Electrical Trades 303 13 290 Construction Trades 373 155 218 Computer Support/Tech 344 173 171 Automotive Repair 400 238 162 Industrial Machinery 103 2 101 Drafting 142 88 54 Biological and Chemical Tech 61 17 44 Industrial Engineering Tech 84 45 39 Engineering Tech, Other 36 15 21 Electrical Engineering Tech 91 80 11 Mechanical Engineering Tech 22 13 9 Legal Support 53 47 6 Environmental Engineering Tech 8 42 -34 Civil Engineering Tech 43 82 -39 Dental Hygiene 122 194 -72 Licensed Practical Nurses 127 321 -194 Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development; NCES, IPEDS Completions Survey

Gap Between Supply and Demand in Selected Occupations (Average Annual Openings 2006-16 vs. Current Annual Degree Production) Region 1—Clatsop, Columbia, Tillamook Counties Drafting Licensed Practical Nurses Demand Exceeds Supply Supply Exceeds Demand Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development; NCES, IPEDS Completions Survey

Gap Between Supply and Demand in Selected Occupations (Average Annual Openings 2006-16 vs. Current Annual Degree Production) Region 2—Multnomah and Washington Counties Environmental Engineering Tech Legal Support Civil Engineering Tech Dental Hygiene 438 Demand Exceeds Supply Supply Exceeds Demand Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development; NCES, IPEDS Completions Survey

Gap Between Supply and Demand in Selected Occupations (Average Annual Openings 2006-16 vs. Current Annual Degree Production) Region 3—Marion, Polk, Yamhill Counties Industrial Engineering Tech Dental Hygiene Electrical Engineering Tech Construction Trades Licensed Practical Nurses 438 Demand Exceeds Supply Supply Exceeds Demand Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development; NCES, IPEDS Completions Survey

Gap Between Supply and Demand in Selected Occupations (Average Annual Openings 2006-16 vs. Current Annual Degree Production) Region 4—Benton, Lincoln, Linn Counties Electrical Engineering Tech Drafting Civil Engineering Tech Legal Support Engineering Tech, Other Health Tech Industrial Engineering Tech Automotive Repair Construction Trades Dental Hygiene Environmental Engineering Tech Demand Exceeds Supply Supply Exceeds Demand Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development; NCES, IPEDS Completions Survey

Gap Between Supply and Demand in Selected Occupations (Average Annual Openings 2006-16 vs. Current Annual Degree Production) Region 5—Lane County Civil Engineering Tech Drafting Electrical Engineering Tech Environmental Engineering Tech Dental Hygiene Demand Exceeds Supply Supply Exceeds Demand Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development; NCES, IPEDS Completions Survey

Gap Between Supply and Demand in Selected Occupations (Average Annual Openings 2006-16 vs. Current Annual Degree Production) Region 6—Douglas County Legal Support Industrial Engineering Tech Electrical Trades Civil Engineering Tech Health Tech Registered Nurses Licensed Practical Nurses 63 Demand Exceeds Supply Supply Exceeds Demand Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development; NCES, IPEDS Completions Survey

Gap Between Supply and Demand in Selected Occupations (Average Annual Openings 2006-16 vs. Current Annual Degree Production) Region 7—Coos and Curry County Engineering Tech, Other Computer Support/Tech Demand Exceeds Supply Supply Exceeds Demand Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development; NCES, IPEDS Completions Survey

Gap Between Supply and Demand in Selected Occupations (Average Annual Openings 2006-16 vs. Current Annual Degree Production) Region 8—Jackson and Josephine Counties Licensed Practical Nurses Industrial Engineering Tech Civil Engineering Tech Electrical Engineering Tech 74 Demand Exceeds Supply Supply Exceeds Demand Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development; NCES, IPEDS Completions Survey

Gap Between Supply and Demand in Selected Occupations (Average Annual Openings 2006-16 vs. Current Annual Degree Production) Region 9—Gilliam, Hood River, Sherman, Wasco, Wheeler Counties Electrical Engineering Tech Registered Nurses -16 Demand Exceeds Supply Supply Exceeds Demand Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development; NCES, IPEDS Completions Survey

Gap Between Supply and Demand in Selected Occupations (Average Annual Openings 2006-16 vs. Current Annual Degree Production) Region 10—Crook, Deschutes, Jefferson Counties Automotive Repair Industrial Engineering Tech Dental Hygiene Licensed Practical Nurses Demand Exceeds Supply Supply Exceeds Demand Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development; NCES, IPEDS Completions Survey

Gap Between Supply and Demand in Selected Occupations (Average Annual Openings 2006-16 vs. Current Annual Degree Production) Region 11—Klamath and Lake Counties Biological and Chemical Tech Computer Support/Tech Demand Exceeds Supply Supply Exceeds Demand Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development; NCES, IPEDS Completions Survey

Gap Between Supply and Demand in Selected Occupations (Average Annual Openings 2006-16 vs. Current Annual Degree Production) Region 12—Morrow and Umatilla Counties Electrical Engineering Tech Drafting Civil Engineering Tech Dental Hygiene Registered Nurses Licensed Practical Nurses -30 Demand Exceeds Supply Supply Exceeds Demand Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development; NCES, IPEDS Completions Survey

Gap Between Supply and Demand in Selected Occupations (Average Annual Openings 2006-16 vs. Current Annual Degree Production) Region 13—Baker, Union, Wallowa Counties 14 Demand Exceeds Supply Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development; NCES, IPEDS Completions Survey

Gap Between Supply and Demand in Selected Occupations (Average Annual Openings 2006-16 vs. Current Annual Degree Production) Region 14—Grant, Harney, Malheur Counties Biological and Chemical Tech Computer Support/Tech Engineering Tech, Other Drafting Legal Support Registered Nurses Construction Trades Licensed Practical Nurses 23 Demand Exceeds Supply Supply Exceeds Demand Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development; NCES, IPEDS Completions Survey

Gap Between Supply and Demand in Selected Occupations (Average Annual Openings 2006-16 vs. Current Annual Degree Production) Region 15—Clackamas County Demand Exceeds Supply Supply Exceeds Demand Civil Engineering Tech Environmental Engineering Tech Industrial Engineering Tech Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development; NCES, IPEDS Completions Survey

Transfers to Oregon Four-Year Institutions as a Percent of Credit Enrollment the Previous Year—By College (Average 2003-04 to 2005-06) Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development

Transfers to Oregon Four-Year Institutions as a Percent of Credit Enrollment the Previous Year—By Region (Average 2003-04 to 2005-06) N/A Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development

Bachelor’s Degrees Awarded per 100 High School Graduates Six Years Earlier, 2004 Source: NCES-IPEDS Completions Survey, WICHE

Six-Year Graduation Rates at Four­Year Colleges, 2005 (Percent) Source: NCES, IPEDS Graduation Rate Survey

Undergraduate Credentials and Degrees Awarded at All Colleges per 1,000 Adults Age 18-44 with No College Degree, 2006 58.7 33.5 14.7 30.4 United States Oregon Source: NCES, IPEDS Completions Survey 2005-06; U.S. Census Bureau, 2006 ACS

Educational Attainment in Oregon (Percent) Current, In 2025 with Current Degree Production, and Best-Performing Countries in 2025

How Can Oregon Reach International Competitiveness? Current Degree Production Combined with Population Growth and Migration and Improved Performance on the Student Pipeline Measures Pipeline Performance Is Cumulative Degrees Produced 2005-25 with Current Rate of Production Additional Degrees from Population Growth Additional Degrees from Net Migration of College-Educated Residents Reaching Best Performance in High School Graduation Rates by 2025 Reaching Best Performance in College-Going Rates by 2025 Reaching Best Performance in Rates of Degree Production per FTE Student Total Degrees Produced 2005-25 If All of the Above Degrees Needed to Meet Best Performance (55%) Source: 2005 ACS, PUMS

Reaching Top Performance by 2025 (55%)– Oregon 1,265,298 361,760 903,538 463,540 183,472 256,525 12,826 66.1% Number of Individuals to Match Best-Performing Countries (55%) Number of Individuals (Age 25-44) Who Already Have Degrees Additional Production Needed (2005 to 2025) Degrees Produced at Current Annual Rate of Production Additional Residents with College Degrees from Net Migration Additional Degrees Needed Additional Degrees Needed per Year (Currently Produce 25,373 in All Sectors) Increase in Annual Associate and Bachelor’s Degree Production Needed (in Public Sector Only)

Collective Cost to Oregon, Assuming Tuition Stays the Same $ 411 Million = Annual Costs of Additional Students at Current $ per Student $ 722 Million = Current State Contribution 57% = Percent Increase in Annual State Support Needed

Average Cost to Students, Assuming No Additional State Investment $ 2,158 = Additional Annual Costs to Students at Public Four-Year Institutions 30% Increase in Tuition and Fees (Currently $ 7,200) $ 2,134 = Additional Annual Costs to Students at Public Two-Year Institutions 79% Increase in Tuition and Fees (Currently $ 2,701)

Savings If Oregon Reaches Top Performance in Degree Production Reduced costs to Oregon would be $333 million by improving efficiency of degree production to level of top states Performance: Undergraduate Degrees Awarded Per 100 Full-Time Equivalent Students 1,133 (In $ Millions) 800

Percent of Population Age 18-24 with No High School Diploma, 2006 27 .0 to 37 .0 27 16 .5 11 .1 16 .5 11 .1 6 .6 Source: PUMS

Percent of Population Age 25-64 with No High School Diploma, 2006 13 .7 to 21 .3 10 .0 6 3 .1 Source: PUMS

Enrollment in State-Administered ABE Programs Per 1,000 Adults Age 18-64 with Less than a High School Diploma, 2005 Source: U.S. Department of Education; U.S. Census Bureau, ACS

GEDs Awarded per 1,000 Adults Age 25-44 with Less than a High School Diploma, 2005 Source: GED Testing Service; U.S. Census Bureau, ACS

Adults Age 18-64 Who Speak English Poorly or Not at All, 2006 13.3 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS

Enrollment in ESL per 1,000 Adults Age 18-64 with Little or No English Proficiency, 2006 Source: U.S. Department of Education; U.S. Census Bureau, ACS

Adults with a High School Diploma or Less in Families Not Earning a Living Wage, 2006 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS

Migration

Migration Rate of Residents Age 22-29 with a College Degree States’ Ability to Produce Graduates vs. Ability to Keep and Attract Graduates New Economy Index (2002) Top Tier Middle Tier Low Tier -350 -280 -210 -140 -70 70 140 210 280 350 10 20 30 40 50 60 Low Production, Importer of Capital High Production, Importer of Capital Low Production, Exporter of Capital High Production, Exporter of Capital AK GA KS ME NE NV NC OH PA RI VT FL ID MI MO NM AZ CA CO CT DE IL MD MA NJ NY OR UT VA WA MN NH TX AL AR HI IN IA LA MS MT ND OK SC SD TN WV WI WY KY Migration Rate of Residents Age 22-29 with a College Degree Production of College Graduates (Undergraduate Credentials and Degrees Awarded Per 1,000 Residents Age 18-44 with High School Diploma or Some College but No College Degree)

Net Migration by Degree Level and Age Group—Oregon, 1995-2000 22- to 29-Year-Olds 30- to 64-Year-Olds Less than High School High School Some College Associate Bachelor’s Graduate/Professional Total Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census; 5% PUMS Files

Migration Rate* of Residents Age 22-64 with Less than a High School Diploma, 1995-2000 Wyoming North Dakota Vermont 240 * Per 1,000 residents age 22-64 with less than a high school diploma. Source: State Higher Education Officers (SHEEO)

Oregon Net Migration of College Degree Holders Age 22-29 by Occupation, 1995 to 2000 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census 5% PUMS File

Oregon Net Migration of College Degree Holders Age 30-64 by Occupation, 1995 to 2000 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census 5% PUMS File

Percent of Residents Age 25-64 with an Associate Degree Born In-State, 2005 Source: 2005 ACS

Percent of Residents Age 25-64 with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher Born In-State, 2005 Source: 2005 ACS

Financial Environment

Per Capita Personal Income as a Percent of U. S Per Capita Personal Income as a Percent of U.S. Average—Oregon, 1960-2005 U.S. Average Source: Regional Economic Information System, Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Dept. of Commerce

Personal Income Per Capita, 2006 25,129 to 43,100 22,783 20,629 18,000 Source: PUMS

Median Earnings of Population Age 25-64 by Level of Education, 2005 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS

Difference in Median Earnings Between Less than a High School Diploma and a High School Diploma, 2006 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS

Difference in Median Earnings Between a High School Diploma and an Associate Degree, 2006 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS

Difference in Median Earnings Between a High School Diploma and a Bachelor’s Degree, 2006 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS

State Tax Capacity and Effort—Oregon Indexed to U.S. Average Source: State Higher Education Executive Officers (SHEEO)

State Tax Capacity and Effort—Oregon Indexed to U.S. Average Source: State Higher Education Executive Officers (SHEEO) AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE GA HI IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MS MT NE NV NJ NY NC ND OH OK PA RI SC SD UT VT VA WA FL ID MI MN MO NH NM TN TX WV WI WY 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 State Tax Capacity (Total Taxable Resources Per Capita) State Tax Effort (Effective Tax Rate) US OR

Projected State and Local Budget Surplus (Gap) as a Percent of Revenues, 2013 Utah Montana New Hampshire Delaware New Jersey Maine Maryland Massachusetts Wisconsin Vermont Ohio North Dakota Connecticut Kansas Arkansas Virginia Nebraska Oklahoma Minnesota Colorado West Virginia Kentucky Michigan Arizona New York Georgia Hawaii Illinois Pennsylvania Alaska Rhode Island United States New Mexico California Iowa Indiana North Carolina Florida Idaho South Carolina South Dakota Missouri Washington Oregon Texas Nevada Tennessee Mississippi Louisiana Alabama Source: NCHEMS; Don Boyd (Rockefeller Institute of Government), 2005

State and Family Share of Funding for Public Higher Education, 1991-2006 Source: SHEEO State Higher Education Finance Survey

Percent of Income (Average of All Income Groups) Needed to Pay for College Expenses Minus Financial Aid— Public Two-Year Colleges Source: NCPPHE, Measuring Up: The State-by-State Report Card for Higher Education

Share of Income Poorest Families Need to Pay for Tuition at Lowest-Priced Colleges Source: NCPPHE, Measuring Up: The State-by-State Report Card for Higher Education

Public 2-Year Undergraduate Tuition and Fees as a Percent of Median Family Income—Adults Age 45-64, 2005-06 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2006 ACS; NCES, IPEDS 2005-06 Institutional Characteristics files

Public 2-Year Undergraduate Tuition and Fees as a Percent of Median Family Income of Poorest 40% of Adults Age 25-44, 2005-06 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2006 ACS; NCES, IPEDS 2005-06 Institutional Characteristics files

Public 2-Year Undergraduate Tuition and Fees as a Percent of Median Family Income of Poorest 40% of Adults Age 45-64, 2005-06 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2006 ACS; NCES, IPEDS 2005-06 Institutional Characteristics files

Proportion of Need-Based Aid Distributed to Part-Time Students 2004-05 No Aid to Part-Time Students Oregon Source: NCHEMS Student Financial Aid Survey

Average Loan Amount Students Borrow Each Year, 2004 Source: NCPPHE, Measuring Up: The State-by-State Report Card for Higher Education