Early Warning System for Cloud Coverage

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Presentation transcript:

Early Warning System for Cloud Coverage Design Team 7: Nathan Vargo Spencer Krug Tianhang Sun Qifan Wang Liqing Yao

The Team Nathan Vargo Spencer Krug Tianhang Sun Qifan Wang Electrical Engineer Presentation Prep Spencer Krug Document Prep Tianhang Sun Computer Engineer Manager Qifan Wang Computer Engineer Web Design • Liqing Yao • Electrical Engineer • Lab Coordinator

Agenda Background Information and Problem Initial Design Concepts Obstacles Proposed Design Budget Questions

Background Information • Sponsor • MSU • Wolfgang Bauer • Department of Physics and Astronomy • Nate Verhanovitz • Department of IPF Power and Water • Facilitator • Nelson Sepulveda • Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering Nelson Sepulveda Nate Verhanovitz Wolfgang Bauer

Background Information Continued • MSU averages a peak power load of 65 MW • Create own energy • Reduce cost • Going green • MSU acquiring solar panels • Solar panel power output 11-12MW

The Problem • Solar power depends on the weather • Cloud cover • Clouds can quickly drop power output to 15% • Backup Power Costs

What Does This Mean? - Deliverable Goal • The design needs to track clouds • The design needs to predicts future cloud coverage • Backup generators need 1 min/MW • Up to 10 min • Distinguish clouds that will and will not cover MSU solar panels • Distinguish between clouds and noise • Airplanes, birds

Agenda Background info and Problem Initial Design Concepts Obstacles Proposed Design Budget Questions

Initial Design Concepts • Basic design requirements • Distant sensors(10min range away from station) • Wireless connection(cable cost a lot, analog sig might change through distance) • Program and User Interface(data analysis)

Sensor Types • Built pyranometers(cheap, hard to implement) • Commercial pyranometers(reasonable price, precise data reading, probably the best choice) • Complete package pyranometers(too expensive, and only works with its own system)

Wireless Connection • RF communication(FM, high power consumption) • Wi-Fi in households(only issue is the permission of household)

Program and User Interface • C++ // Most experienced, lots of classes taken in C++ • Matlab, R % Better for large-scale data analysis % Not Industry standard • Python ## Easier to use, good for data visualization ## Better in future industry scale analysis ## Lack of experience in creating large program

Agenda Background info and Problem Initial Design Concepts Obstacles Proposed Design Budget Questions

Obstacles Experience Lack of the knowledge Have not detected solar irradiance change before http://mysuperchargedlife.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2013/02/mental-obstacles.jpg

Size and Shape of Clouds Sensors may miss the small sized clouds Shapes may cause error to the predictions sensor Movement sensor sensor Movement cloud cloud sensor

Direction and Speed of Cloud Movement Random direction and speed Hard to detect due to the random shapes MSU sensor detected movement sensor cloud movement MSU

Seasonal Problems Raining Snowing The water on top cause error The snow will cover top and cause error http://www.clker.com/cliparts/w/F/h/x/4/3/rain-cloud-md.png http://www.clker.com/cliparts/7/P/f/u/5/e/snowing-hi.png

Sensor Location Each sensor needs wifi access Locate on volunteers’ house roof The algorithm has to be suitable for random coordinates sensor sensor sensor sensor MSU sensor sensor sensor

Agenda Background info and Problem Initial Design Concepts Obstacles Proposed Design Budget Questions

Proposed Design • Wireless sensor network using Wi-Fi • C++ Programing Language • Combination of Pyranometer and Light Sensor • Test and Implementation Phase

Proposed Sensor Type • Pyranometer •Light Sensor • Apogee SP-230 All Weather Pyranometer • Self Powered • 12V DC Heater • Analog Voltage Output • 0.20mV per W/m2 • -40⁰ to 70⁰ C Operating Temperature • $235 •Light Sensor • $5 Pyranometer Light Sensor

Proposed Wireless Communication • Access to Wireless network at sensor location • Use Wi-Fi to upload data to server • Electric Imp002 Microcontroller • Cost - $40 • Easy Wi-Fi setup • Platform • Easy to Use • Cloud Access

Proposed Program and User Interface • C++ Programming Language • Experienced • Experience in creating User Interface • Microsoft Foundation Class • User Interface • Map of the MSU campus and solar panel location • Load arbitrary number of sensors onto map • Real time simulation of clouds • Based on data series from remote sensor • Algorithm to determine when the cloud will cover solar panels

Detection Algorithm Assumption Infinite large cloud -- don’t need to react to small clouds. Move in straight line, consistent speed -- difficult to predict, won’t change too much during the local area. Implementation Based on speed towards MSU campus. Need data series from at least three sensors from one direction.

Agenda Background info and Problem Initial Design Concepts Obstacles Proposed Design Budget Questions

Budget Budget will vary upon number of sensors implemented Broken into two phases Test Total Project Budget for Total Project Budget for Test Phase Part Cost Quantity Test Phase $130 1 Pyranometer $235 10 Microcontroller $40 9 Power Supply $30 Total $3140 Part Cost Quantity Light Sensor $5 10 Microcontroller $40 2 Total $130

Questions?