Mid-Atlantic Blue Ocean Economy 2030

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Presentation transcript:

Mid-Atlantic Blue Ocean Economy 2030 Climate and Ecosystem Change Jon Hare, NOAA Fisheries October 2017

Marine Fisheries in the Mid-Atlantic Region 3.4 billion in value added to economy 60,000 jobs 2 million marine anglers

Northeast U.S. Climate Change and Variability Long-term difference in the earth, atmosphere, and ocean conditions Climate variability Natural variability within the climate system (for example year-to-year)

Northeast U.S. Climate Change and Variability Temperatures increasing Precipitation and streamflow changing Large-scale circulation changing pH decreasing (ocean acidification) Wind patterns changing Sea-level rising And more …. https://www.nefsc.noaa.gov/ecosys/current-conditions/frontal.html

Northeast U.S. Fisheries Species productivity changing (not shown) Species distribution changing (black line) Fishing landings changing (gray line) Fishing effort distribution changing (not shown) American lobster Summer flounder

Directional Effect of Climate Change Opportunities and challenges How to take advantage of opportunities? How to mitigate challenges? http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0146756

Community Risk to Climate Change Seal-level Rise Vulnerability http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0308597X16302123#f0030

Value of Landings x Climate Vulnerability Community Risk to Climate Change Value of Landings x Climate Vulnerability Diversity http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0308597X16302123#f0030

Aquaculture Potential for growth State waters and federal waters

Next Steps Ecosystem Based Management Ecosystem Based Fisheries Management