Parliament Portfolio Committee SAPO Going Forward Parliament Portfolio Committee 20 March 2018

Introduction SAPO, as it is currently structured, managed and funded, is not financially sustainable. SAPO has regressed so far technologically, that it simply cannot offer a competitive service. SAPO will need to invest, not only in technology, but in our basic customer interfaces, in order to compete on the frontline. The possibility of partnerships or joint ventures with established players as an alternative to organic growth. Postbank has always been central to the diversified revenue strategy of SAPO, with the expectation that it could contribute up to a third of total revenue once earnings from lending become a reality. If SAPO does not initially get government business to help it fund its cost base and required investment in upgrades and growth, SAPO will continue to require direct government subsidies. SAPO can become an investible entity which can attract its own capital and deliver reasonable returns to government.

Improved Performance  Item 2014/15 2017/18 Change Delivery Standard 69.22% 77.69% 8.47% Revenue Decline 14% 4% 10% Transport Costs R 726m R 326m 55% Property Costs R 648m R 561m 13% Staff numbers 23 591 18 226 5 365 There has been restoration in operations resulting in 8.47% improvement in the delivery standard of mail. The 14% decline in revenue that was experienced in FY2014/15 has also been reversed to a 4% decline in revenue over prior year for the FY2017/18 year. Although transport costs have been reduced up-scaling will require increased spending. Property Costs have been reduced by 13%. Salary costs have remained inappropriately high given the revenue profile of SAPO.

SAPO financials before any initiatives Revenue declines in 2020/21 due to the DTT project conclusion and no further revenue projected Interest costs of new loans of R2bn (R400m required to settle current term loan in December 2018) Expenses of R5.6bn includes the IT Network Upgrade [R978m over 5 years]

SAPO financials including initiatives Corporate / government revenue initiatives includes new revenues for Hybrid-mail, Courier and Logistics The public service mandate funding stopped in 2011 [R300m per annum]. SAPO now incurs annual cost of R769m.

Staff Cost Optimisation Human Resources Cost Optimisation A phased approach will be adopted to address the high staff cost base [Results of optimal crewing model]. Phase 1 - continuous reduction overtime and extended hours. Phase 2 - SASSA - redeployment of staff from other business areas to retail/SASSA to contribute towards addressing the staff salary costs Phase 3 – Outsourcing of non-core activities - reorganization of non-core business support services i.e owner driver schemes, travel, and support functions Phase 4 – Human resource cost optimization - The success of phases 1 to 3 will determine the extent of a Human Resources reorganization process. Skills development Up skilling of employees and re-training will be important to support the re-organisation process. SAPO will also maximise the Skills development grant to off-set training investment costs. The Academy will also offer training to operators on the continent.

SAPO funding requirements

Investment in Infrastructure to build capacity The capital investment supports revenue growth initiatives and investment in post office systems that have long exceeded their useful life.

SAPO solvency, liquidity and funding requirements Net asset value of R3,6 billion projected as at 31 March 2018 Liquidity R800 million required to settle outstanding liabilities As at 31 March 2018 – going concern guarantee will be required of R1,6 billion (forecasted baseline loss of R1.2bn and R400m repayment of term loan) in order to pass liquidity test [12 months forward looking cash flow] Funding Surplus of R785 million projected for the 2018/19 FY dependant on the following: Achievement of revenue and cost initiatives Recapitalisation funding of R800 million Public service mandate funding of R769 million New loans of R2 billion [Property and Retail bonds] Annual average funding surplus of R899 million maintained over the MTEF period: Term loans of R2 billion / National Treasury exposure could be reduced Sources of funding excludes Postbank excess capital of R1,3 billion

Funding requirements …. Planned Bond issues SAPO Property bond of R1 billion (Detail to be presented to Board) SAPO has 444 owned properties revalued at market value of R2,7 billion as at 31 March 2017 Property portfolio used as collateral for the debt Funding to be utilized to repay the interim loan facility of R400 million and capital infrastructure investment SAPO Retail bond of R1 billion (Detail to be presented to Board) 10 year term and guaranteed by National Treasury Bonds issued would need to be listed on the Bond Exchange SAPO could consider offering the issue through the SAPO branch network National Treasury would effectively be underwriting a higher yield (than the deposit rate) to citizens instead of Commercial Banks

Envisaged SAPO Corporate Structure (Detail to be presented to Board) Government Partnerships SAPO will look to partner with organisations that have technical solutions and products that it can leverage off of, for example products and technologies that SAPO can white label. Partnerships will be crucial in allowing SAPO to close its investment gap and being able to provide competitive offerings in banking and E- Commerce. 100% Capital and Technical Partners SAPO Properties >50% 100% 100% Docex E-Commerce Mail (incl. Retail) Bank Controlling Company Legislative Changes Allow outside investment Exemption from PFMA compliance for revenue generating initiatives >50% Potential acquisitions Postbank Ministerial Support and Cabinet Approval must still be obtained to proceed