HIGHER EDUCATION ENROLMENT PLANNING Prakash Naidoo

NATIONAL STUDENT ENROLMENT AND OUTPUT HE System must contribute to national HR and research priorities Enrolments to be matched to available resources Institutions plans must be geared to improve graduation and success rates Differentiated approach to planning will be applied

NATIONAL HEADCOUNT AND SHAPE TARGETS 2005 actual 2010 Growth % Headcount 738 000 820 000 82 000 2.1%pa SHAPE SET 29% 30% 32 000 1% BUS 33% 56 600 4% EDUC 14% 13% - 3 200 -1% HUM 28% 24% - 9 800 -4%

OTHER TARGETS Vocational qualifications – target for diploma studies set at 34% up to 2010 From 2008 DOE approved TIU will be funded National Student Outputs 2005 actual 2010 Success rate 71% 77% Graduates 120 000 150 000

VUT ENROLMENT PLANNING Headcount versus FTE ratio Enrolment distribution Graduation and success rate Research outputs

HEADCOUNT ENROLMENTS BY QUALIFICATION TYPE

DOE APPROVED PLAN FOR VUT 2006 (ACTUAL) DOE APPR RATIO 2010 TARGET MIN/MAX DIPLOMA 15 481 87% 16 095 Minimum BTECH 1 441 10% 1 850 PG 251 3% 555 Maximum TOTAL 17 173 100% 18 500

HEADCOUNT ENROLMENTS - FIELD OF STUDY Original Plan 2006 2007 2008 DoE SET 48.9 49.5 50 50+ Management 46.3 42.3 42 45 Education 0.4 0.3 Other Humanities 5.5 4.4 7.8 5Max

FTE ENROLMENTS BY QUALIFICATION TYPE VUT Ratio of Headcount : FTE 2007 2008 1:0.74 1:0.83 1:0.84 Original Plan

FTE ENROLMENTS BY MAJOR FIELD OF STUDY Original Plan Ratio of Headcount : FTE 2007 2008 Target ? 1:0.74 1:0.83 1:0.84 1:0.89

FTE DEGREE CREDITS DOE Target – 2010 = 77% 9488/13575 = 69.9% 8863/12708 = 69.7% 11255/14458 = 77.8% DOE Target – 2010 = 77% VUT Success rate target 72%-77% ?

GRADUATES BY FIELD OF STUDY 2284/17408 = 13.1% 2398/17186 = 14% 3192/17376 =18.4% DOE 2010 Target Graduation rate of 18.3% VUT Target 16% - 18% ?

RESEARCH OUTPUTS Target – 2010: 0.5 per academic staff member ~ 156 (Current) 2005 M 100/145 = 100 2005 D 10/28 = 30 VUT Target 150 ?

KEEP LEARNING Learn more about FTEs, TIUs, TOUs, ROUs, TDG,RDG, Dip,BDeg,M,D, Pubs, HC Never let the brain idle. “An idle mind is the devil’s workshop” The devil’s name is Depression