San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium, December 6-10, 2016

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Presentation transcript:

San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium, December 6-10, 2016 Low-Fat Dietary Pattern and Breast Cancer Mortality in the Women’s Health Initiative Dietary Modification (WHI DM) Trial Chlebowski RT, Aragaki AK, Anderson GL, Thomson CA, Manson JE, Simon MD, Howard BV, Rohan TE, Snetselar L, Lane D, Barrington W, Vitolins MZ, Womack C, Qi L, Lou L, Thomas F, Prentice RL This presentation is the intellectual property of Rowan Chlebowski.  Contact them at rowanchlebowski@gmail.com for permission to reprint and/or distribute.

San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium, December 6-10, 2016 Country-by-Country Breast Cancer Death Rate by Estimated Dietary Fat Intake Carrol, et al. Can Med Assoc J 1968;98(12):590-4 This presentation is the intellectual property of Rowan Chlebowski.  Contact them at rowanchlebowski@gmail.com for permission to reprint and/or distribute.

Chlebowski et al. J Clin Oncol 2017 DOI:10. 1200/JCO. 296. 72 Chlebowski et al. J Clin Oncol 2017 DOI:10.1200/JCO.296.72.0326 (Epub Jun 27 ,2017)

WHI Dietary Modification Randomized, Controlled, Primary Breast Cancer Prevention Clinical Trial Analysis Plan Comparison N=29,294 Postmenopausal Women N=48,835 Dietary Intervention N=19,541 16.1Years (median) (cumulative) Age 50-79 years No prior breast cancer Fat intake ≥ 32% calories Mammogram normal Entry: 1993-1998 8.5 Years (median) (intervention) Analysis Endpoints: Deaths from breast cancer. Deaths after breast cancer Clinical follow-up plus National Death Index queries Chlebowski et al. J Clin Oncol 2017 DOI:10.1200/JCO.296.72.0326 (Epub Jun 27 ,2017)

WHI DM: Dietary Intervention San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium, December 6-10, 2016 WHI DM: Dietary Intervention Dietary Intervention Goals: Reduce dietary fat intake (target 20% calories from fat) increase vegetables and fruit servings (target 5/day) increase grains servings (target 6/day) Weight loss not an intervention target Diet Group: Year 1: 18 group sessions, then quarterly maintenance Control Group: received dietary guideline report only Ritenbaugh, Patterson, Chlebowski, et al. Ann Epidemiol 2006; 13(9 suppl): S87-97 Tinker, Burrows, Henry, et al. Nutrition in Women’s Health, 1996 This presentation is the intellectual property of Rowan Chlebowski.  Contact them at rowanchlebowski@gmail.com for permission to reprint and/or distribute.

Dietary Intake Change in the Diet Group: Types of Fat San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium, December 6-10, 2016 Dietary Intake Change in the Diet Group: Types of Fat Overall decrease in percent calories from fat of 13.9% at year 1 and 8.2% at year 5 ( both P<0.001) Dietary Howard, Manson, Stefanick et al. JAMA 2006;295:39-49 Prentice RL, Caan B, Chlebowski RT et al. JAMA 2006;295:629-42 This presentation is the intellectual property of Rowan Chlebowski.  Contact them at rowanchlebowski@gmail.com for permission to reprint and/or distribute.

WHI DM: Change in Body Weight by Randomization Group San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium, December 6-10, 2016 WHI DM: Change in Body Weight by Randomization Group Cumulative P= 0.01 P < 0.001 Decrease in weight of -2.2 kg at year 1 Howard, Manson, Stefanick et al. JAMA 2006;295:39-49 This presentation is the intellectual property of Rowan Chlebowski.  Contact them at rowanchlebowski@gmail.com for permission to reprint and/or distribute.

San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium, December 6-10, 2016 DM Trial: Breast Cancer Incidence during 8.5 year (median) Dietary Intervention Period HR 0.91 (0.83-1.01) 1,727 breast cancers, P =0.07 3.5% of all DM participants For deaths from breast cancer 27 vs 53, HR 0.77 (0.48-1.22) Prentice RL, Caan B, Chlebowski RT et al. JAMA 2006;395:629-42 This presentation is the intellectual property of Rowan Chlebowski.  Contact them at rowanchlebowski@gmail.com for permission to reprint and/or distribute.

For Breast cancer incidence HR 0.96 95% CI 0.90-1.04, p=0.33 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium, December 6-10, 2016 Breast Cancer Characteristics (n=3034) of Cases Diagnosed Throughout Cumulative 16.1 year (median) Follow-up Characteristic Diet [N=1177] N (%) Control [N=1857] P-Value STAGE LOCAL 871 (75.5) 1375 (75.3) 0.91 REGIONAL / DISTANT 283 (24.5) 451 (24.7) TUMOR SIZE 0.95 <1 307 (28.6) 504 (29.5) 1-<2 482 (44.8) 728 (42.7) ≥2 286 (26.6) 474 (27.8) POSITIVE NODES 790 (75.5) 1254 (75.9) 0.98 For Breast cancer incidence HR 0.96 95% CI 0.90-1.04, p=0.33 This presentation is the intellectual property of Rowan Chlebowski.  Contact them at rowanchlebowski@gmail.com for permission to reprint and/or distribute.

San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium, December 6-10, 2016 Breast Cancer Characteristics (n=3034) of Cases Diagnosed Throughout Cumulative 16.1 yr (median) Follow-up Characteristic Diet [N=672] N (%) Control [N=1095] P-Value ER/PR Status ER+PR+ 793 (73.5) 1201 (70.5) 0.04 ER+PR- 141 (13.1) 282 (16.5) ER-PR+ 145 (13.4) 221 (13.0) HER2 Positive 146 (15.3) 202 (13.7) 0.28 Triple negative 76 (8.1) 133 (9.1) 0.37 This presentation is the intellectual property of Rowan Chlebowski.  Contact them at rowanchlebowski@gmail.com for permission to reprint and/or distribute.

Breast Cancer Therapy by Randomization Group Diet Control Radiation Therapy 79% 75% Endocrine Adjuvant 71% 68% Chemotherapy Adjuvant 32% 36% Breast cancer therapy directed by participants’ Health Care providers Medicare information available in a subset (675 of 1767) Therapy reflects relatively low stage disease found in this regularly screened population Chlebowski, Aragaki, Anderson , et al AACR 2016 Abst CT043

San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium, December 6-10, 2016 Low-Fat Dietary Pattern and Deaths from and after 1767 Breast Cancers During the 8.5 year (median) Dietary Intervention Period (95% CI) = 0.67 (0.43, 1.06) HR (95% CI) = 0.64 (0.44, 0.93) P-value = 0.02 N =135 total deaths (95% CI) = 0.64 (0.44, 0.93) HR (95% CI) = 0.67 (0.43, 1.06) P-value = 0.08 N = 88 total deaths Deaths after Breast Cancer Deaths from Breast Cancer Chlebowski, Aragaki, Anderson , et al J Clin Oncol 2017 DOI:10.1200/JCO.296.72.0326 (Epub Jun 27 ,2017)

San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium, December 6-10, 2016 Low-Fat Dietary Pattern and Deaths from and after 3034 Breast Cancers During 16.1 Years (Median) Cumulative Follow-up 234(0.085%) vs 443(0.11%) HR(95%CI) = 0.82(0.70, 0.96) N= 677 P-value = 0.01 Deaths after Breast Cancer 111(0.035%) vs 184(0.039%) HR(95%CI)= 0.91(0.72, 1.15) N= 295 P-value = 0.44 Deaths from Breast Cancer Chlebowski, Aragaki, Anderson , et al SABCS 2016 S5-04 This presentation is the intellectual property of Rowan Chlebowski.  Contact them at rowanchlebowski@gmail.com for permission to reprint and/or distribute.

Death after Breast Cancer San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium, December 6-10, 2016 Death after Breast Cancer During Cumulative Follow-up: Exploratory Analyses PR Status and Weight Change Adjustment Variable Death after Breast Cancer HR (95% CI) P-value Time-dependent variables for PR negative and unknown 0.87 (0.74-1.02) 0.08 Baseline weight and subsequent weight change 0.82 (0.70- 0.96) 0.02 PR status difference provides 27% explanation of benefit seen, weight difference does not explain the benefit seen Chlebowski, Aragaki, Anderson , et al AACR 2016 Abst CT043 This presentation is the intellectual property of Rowan Chlebowski.  Contact them at rowanchlebowski@gmail.com for permission to reprint and/or distribute.

Linear Time Varying Hazard Ratio Breast Cancer Overall Survival Interaction p-value = 0.02 Intervention Period Post-intervention HR(95% CI)=0.85(0.68-1.07) HR(95% CI)=0.67(0.48-0.97) P-value for trend=0.02 P-value for trend=0.45 Chlebowski, Aragaki, Anderson , et al AACR 2016 Abst CT043

Subgroup Analysis/Deaths After Breast Cancer: Cumulative Follow-up San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium, December 6-10, 2016 Greater dietary effect in women with waist circumference ≥ 88cm This presentation is the intellectual property of Rowan Chlebowski.  Contact them at rowanchlebowski@gmail.com for permission to reprint and/or distribute.

San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium, December 6-10, 2016 Subgroup Analysis: Cases Diagnosed During Dietary Intervention, Deaths After Breast Cancer, Cumulative Greater dietary effect in women with higher baseline dietary fat intake ϮFrom breast cancer cases with 4 day food records collected. This presentation is the intellectual property of Rowan Chlebowski.  Contact them at rowanchlebowski@gmail.com for permission to reprint and/or distribute.

Implications of WHI DM Findings Effect on deaths after breast cancer was more likely if a woman had either a lifestyle (> 36.8% energy from fat) or a consequence of lifestyle ( >88 waist circumference) that has been associated with adverse breast cancer outcome Thus, for many women, no change may be needed Because subgroup analysis identified no benefit for dietary group participants with <27.9% calories from fat at entry, a notional threshold for effect may be 28% calories from fat, not far from current mean US intake of postmenopausal women of 33%. A modest reduction in fat intake with minimal weight loss represents an easily achievable goal by many

San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium, December 6-10, 2016 Conclusions Compared to a usual diet control group, women randomized to a low-fat dietary pattern had a non-significantly reduced risk of death from breast cancer and a significantly reduced risk of death after breast cancer. One interpretation could be that dietary intervention reduced breast cancers which were more likely to be fatal and favorably influenced other causes of death. Future studies of other lifestyle interventions in breast cancer settings could consider some form of a low-fat dietary pattern as a base. Chlebowski, Aragaki, Anderson , et al SABCS 2016 S5-04 This presentation is the intellectual property of Rowan Chlebowski.  Contact them at rowanchlebowski@gmail.com for permission to reprint and/or distribute.

Weight Loss Early Breast Cancer Randomized Trials Study number Intervention Outcome DIANA-5 1208 pre and postmenopausal Mediterranean diet + PA Breast cancer recurrence SUCCESS C 1000 pre and postmenopausal Low fat, increase F/V + PA Disease-free survival PREDICOP 2108 pre and postmenopausal Caloric restriction + PA BWEL 3136 pre and postmenopausal Caloric restriction + PA Invasive disease-free survival Chlebowski, Reeves J Clin Oncol 2016;34(35):4238-49.