Thursday, October 13, 2016 Warm-up

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Presentation transcript:

Thursday, October 13, 2016 Warm-up Design a simulation for the following Joe runs a bus with eight seats. On the average 10% of the people who buy tickets in advance do not show up. So Joe sells ten tickets for each trip. Estimate the probability that more than eight people show up with tickets. Check Homework Finish Simulations & Gallery Walk Released Item…

Joe’s Bus Design a simulation for the following Joe runs a bus with eight seats. On the average 10% of the people who buy tickets in advance do not show up. So Joe sells ten tickets for each trip. Estimate the probability that more than eight people show up with tickets.

Objectives Content Objective: I will discuss simulations using the steps. Social Objective: I will work well with a partner, making sure both of us understand and can explain the simulation. Language Objective: I will use correct vocabulary in discussing my simulation with my team and in preparation to explain it to the class.

You to finish and put up your posters

Gallery Walk Grading The Method E: Randomizes simulation correctly P: Randomizes somewhat correctly I: Uses and inappropriate model The Simulation E: Explains procedure well, clearly displays the simulation process, counts the components of the trials correctly P: meets only 2 requirements I: meets fewer than 2 requirements Interpretation E: Establishes a standard of proof consistent with the simulation and justifies conclusion based on that standard. P: Fails to justify the decision rule OR confuses the model with reality I: Fails to address the issue of statistical significance Use your random number generator to generate 4 numbers between 16. Those are the 4 posters you will evaluate.

E: Randomizes simulation correctly P: Randomizes somewhat correctly Grading The Method E: Randomizes simulation correctly P: Randomizes somewhat correctly I: Uses and inappropriate model The Simulation E: Explains procedure well, clearly displays the simulation process, counts the components of the trials correctly P: meets only 2 requirements I: meets fewer than 2 requirements Interpretation E: Establishes a standard of proof consistent with the simulation and justifies conclusion based on that standard. P: Fails to justify the decision rule OR confuses the model with reality I: Fails to address the issue of statistical significance

2001 #3