Tropical Futures Initiative— Science to Impact in Addressing Tropical Sustainability Ping Yowargana Florian Kraxner Presentation to the International Institutional Review Panel Laxenburg, 8 May 2017
Point of departure: globally consistent land use modelling in the tropics Tropical Futures Initiative Addressing Tropical Sustainability Forest projection for 2030—Full implementation of the new Forest Code will result in 30 Mha surplus in forest areas compared to BAU From global datasets to detailed national/regional land cover data, local statistics, national policies, national drivers (socio-economic context)
Complexity of the land-use sector Politically sensitive Global trade of palm oil commodity Dual conflict of bioenergy (food vs energy, fossil vs renewables) Deforestation Forest fire and transboundary haze pollution Beyond forest National economy Social issues (e.g. social equity, customary rights, employment) Biodiversity and ecosystem services Multi-dimensional with multi-stakeholder Spatial planning Agriculture an forestry Energy and mining Multi-level actors
Engagement and internal capacity building Systems perspective Old silos: forestry, energy, agriculture, air pollution Systems analysis: land use economy, energy landscapes, forest fires Multistakeholder approach Active communication direct stakeholders (i.e. Ministry of Environment and Forestry and Ministry of Agriculture) “Excursion” to energy stakeholders (Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources) Intensive engagement with national planners (Ministry of National Development Planning) Local institutions as “safeguards” Universities International research institutes (e.g. ICRAF, CIFOR) NGOs (e.g. WWF, WRI) Regional/national adjustment of tools Joint capacity building to screen potential collaboration Substantive contribution to national initiatives
Strategic approach to identify entry point and allow synergy Project design Synergy Increasing energy security through enhancing biofuel production on degraded and marginal land resources RESTORE+: Addressing landscape restoration on degraded land in Indonesia and Brazil Research capacity and critical mass for science diplomacy Hurdle Solution Deforestation Restoration “Black box” Crowd-informed Local capacity oriented Research Policy
? ? TFI model for more “off springs” to come + Land use economy RESTORE + Land use economy Energy Landscapes Forest fires
Tropical Futures Initiative— Science to Impact in Addressing Tropical Sustainability Ping Yowargana Florian Kraxner Presentation to the International Institutional Review Panel Laxenburg, 8 May 2017