Demographic and Economic Indicators

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Presentation transcript:

Demographic and Economic Indicators Robert Edgecombe Alvarez & Marsal redgecombe@alvarezandmarsal.com

Current Population Estimates Parish 2016 Estimate Orleans 391,495 Jefferson 436,523 St. Tammany 253,602 Plaquemines 23,464 St. Bernard 45,688 St. Charles 52,923 St. John the Baptist 43,631 St. James 21,557 Metro Area Total 1,268,883

Long-Term Population Trends

Recent Population Trends Parish/Region Population Change Orleans 14% Jefferson 1% St. Tammany 8% River Parishes -2% Costal Parishes 17% Metro Total 7%

Population Growth in Orleans Parish

Age of Orleans Parish Residents Year Median Age 2000 33.1 2005 35.2 2010 34.7 2016 35.7

Race and Ethnicity Orleans Parish Jefferson Parish Race 2005 2016 Black/African-American 67.5% 59.7% White 28.0% 34.1% Asian 2.4% 3.0% Other 2.0% 3.2% Total 100.0% Hispanic/Latino 3.1% 5.6% Race 2005 2016 Black/African-American 26.7% 26.8% White 66.2% 62.1% Asian 3.4% 4.3% Other 3.8% 6.8% Total 100.0% Hispanic/Latino 8.1% 14.5%

Total Private Employment

Employment Dynamics

Median Household Income

2016 Household Income – Orleans Parish

Educational Attainment Area Percent Orleans Parish 38.4% Jefferson Parish 25.5% St. Tammany Parish 31.1% Louisiana 31.8% United States 31.3%

Educational Attainment

Migration

In-Migration Top 5 Counties of Origin Outside Louisiana Origins of People Relocating to New Orleans, 2014-2015 Top 5 Counties of Origin Outside Louisiana Harris County, TX (Houston) Travis County, TX (Austin) Kings/New York Counties, NY (New York) Los Angeles County, CA (Los Angeles) Cook County, IL (Chicago)

Out-Migration Top 5 Destinations Outside Louisiana Destinations of People Leaving New Orleans, 2014-2015 Top 5 Destinations Outside Louisiana Harris County, TX (Houston) Travis County, TX (Austin) Kings/New York Counties, NY (New York) Los Angeles County, CA (Los Angeles) Fulton County, GA (Atlanta)

Concluding Thoughts “Recovery” vs. “growth” Long-standing economic, housing, and quality-of-life challenges Marginal changes = significant impacts Historic levels of investment Insulation from broader economic trends Move the goalposts incrementally

Data Sources U.S. Census Bureau decennial and inter-decennial counts/estimates American Community Survey (U.S. Census Bureau) Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics (U.S. Census Bureau) Internal Revenue Service Statistics of Income Bureau of Labor Statistics