Penn State Weather Camps

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Presentation transcript:

Penn State Weather Camps Basic Weather Forecasting Guidelines Sat I – Sat II – Sat III - NWS - NHC - Radar - Radar sfc. map 1 - sfc. map 2 – sfc map 3

WED VERF Temp 11:30 am = 66 Cloud cover 11:30 am = 9.5/10 Hi Temp 4 pm= 73 Cloud cover 4 pm = 6.5/10

TROF AVIS

PA TROF AVIS

PA

DEW POINTS - FRI PM

LIFTED INDEX- FRI EVE (NAM)

CAPE - FRI PM (NAM)

HELICITY - FRI PM (NAM)

NEW YORK/FAR WRN NEW ENGLAND/ERN PA/NRN NJ... AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES ON FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT ADVANCES EWD INTO THE CNTRL APPALACHIAN MTNS. A MOIST AIRMASS IS FORECAST AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH SFC DEWPOINTS LIKELY IN THE 60S F ON FRIDAY FROM ERN NY EWD ACROSS MUCH OF NEW ENGLAND AND SWD INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC. THE NAM...GFS AND ECMWF DEVELOP AN AXIS OF INSTABILITY BY AFTERNOON ALONG THIS CORRIDOR WITH CONVECTION INITIATING ALONG OR JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS ERN NY AT 00Z/SAT SHOW UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND PROFILES WITH 30 TO 40 KT OF MID-LEVEL FLOW. THIS COMBINED WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES FROM 0-3 KM MAY BE ENOUGH FOR A FEW MARGINALLY SEVERE WIND GUSTS.

SFC MAP this morning

PA

SFC MAP this morning sfc. map 2

700 mb RH MOS - clouds E-WALL - clouds

Big Picture …. Then details  Soundings ? Model soundings Other fun output Meteograms

Big Picture …. Then details  Temps + Clouds Soundings – What are these? Model soundings Other fun output Meteograms

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