Statistical Orkney Luke Fraser Housing Manager (Policy & Planning)

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Presentation transcript:

Statistical Orkney Luke Fraser Housing Manager (Policy & Planning) Orkney Islands Council

Orkney’s 5 Super Datazones The Scottish Government’s 2011 datazones are used as a baseline This limits our ability to be exact with boundaries However, as lots of data is available by datazone super-datazones are the easiest way to produce robust figures on a sub-Orkney level

Demographics

Population Projection 1981 - 2039 Source: NRS

2001 and 2011 Census Comparison – 0 - 74 University age Huge increase in over 40’s Source: NRS

2021 Projection – 0 -74 Increase has shifted to over 50’s Source: NRS

70 – 90+ Population 2001, 2011 & 2021

Population Projection 1981 – 2019 0 – 29 Source: NRS

Population Projection 1981 – 2038 30 - 59 Source: NRS

Population Projection 1981 – 2036 60 – 90+ Source: NRS

Dependency ratio

Natural Change 1996 - 2039 Source: NRS

Orkney Net Migration – 1981 - 2038 Source: NRS

Births by Mother’s Postcode 2004 – 2015 St Andrew’s catchment area has seen significant growth This is also true for the new housing areas around Glaitness Primary school, particularly the low cost home ownership housing in the area There is a similar pattern in the Council built housing around Papdale, Meadowbank and Buttquoy. Lots of cheaper to buy ex-Council stock, social rented properties and private lets Source: NRS

Isles and Mainland Populations 1961 - 2011 Source: Scotland’s Census

Larger Isles Population 1961 - 2011 Source: Scotland’s Census

Smaller Isles Population 1961 - 2011 Source: Scotland’s Census

Age Structure by Island 2011 0 to 44 Source: Scotland’s Census

Age Structure by Island 2011 0 to 44 Source: Scotland’s Census

Small Area Population Projections Source: NRS

Income & Employment

Unemployment by Area – 2004 - 2017 Source: NOMIS

Economic Activity Rates 16 - 64 Source: NOMIS

Jobs Density – 2000 - 2016 Source: NOMIS

Unemployment Benefits Claimants by age – Average between 2013 &2016

Gross Value Added Per Head

Total Gross Value Added

GVA Agriculture, forestry and fishing

GVA Construction

Average Household Income 2017 Area Households Mean Income Lower Quartile Upper Quartile % of UK average Kirkwall 3,779 £32,723.25 £16,249.06 £43,403.52 84.21% Stromness 1,098 £33,820.96 £16,932.70 £44,831.09 87.04% West Mainland 2,321 £36,780.15 £18,979.66 £48,770.63 94.65% East Mainland 1,684 £37,210.07 £19,145.43 £49,460.05 95.76% Isles 1,382 £25,302.99 £12,434.82 £33,519.05 65.12% Orkney 10,264 £33,426.27 £16,858.01 £44,342.49 86.02% Scotland 2,465,346 £36,139.00 £15,553.00 £48,165.00 93.00% United Kingdom 28,030,952 £38,720.00 £16,958.00 £51,808.00 100.00% Data provided by CACI PayCheck under license

Average Household Disposable Income

Additional Living Costs by Household Type and Area Source: A Minimum Income Standard: For Remote Rural Scotland. HIE

Energy & Fuel Poverty

Average Household Electricity Usage 2015 We expected rural areas to have lower usage due to higher levels of oil central heating Higher usage in Kirkwall makes sense due to prevalence of electrical heating & more modern housing Income appears to be a factor Area Electricity Use (Kw/h) Kirkwall 5720.75 Stromness 4942.54 West Mainland 5510.59 East Mainland 5876.73 Isles 5012.23

Average Annual Electricity Usage 2015 CACI PayCheck Household Incomes 2015

Fuel Poverty Levels by Super Datazone 2016 Highest in the Isles Higher incomes in East and West Mainland areas helps

Heating Sources

Electricity Costs & Payment Method

Energy Provider

Oil Prices

Housing Market

Average House Prices – 2003/04 – 2017/18 Between 2007 and 2016 the average first time buyer purchase price was £109,167, while the average existing home owner purchase price was £135,898

House Sales Volume – 2003/04 – 2016/17

House Price by Area – 2007 - 2014

Sales Volume by Area – 2007 - 2014

House Sales by Purchaser Origin 2007 - 2014   Purchaser origin Area Total Same area Elsewhere in Orkney Outside Orkney Unknown Kirkwall 932 49.79% 33.15% 9.01% 8.05% Stromness 266 47.74% 26.69% 19.17% 6.39% West Mainland 472 19.49% 39.83% 29.24% 11.44% East Mainland 489 10.22% 60.74% 18.00% 11.04% Isles 396 19.44% 23.23% 38.13% 19.19% Orkney 2,555 29.34% 36.73% 22.71% 11.22%

Private Sector House Completions - 2009/10 - 2016/17