Asphalt Pavement Industry Update and Outlook

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Presentation transcript:

Asphalt Pavement Industry Update and Outlook Presentation by Jay Hansen Executive Vice President National Asphalt Pavement Association Alabama Asphalt Pavement Association March 15, 2018 Asphalt Pavement Industry Update and Outlook

National Asphalt Pavement Association Represent asphalt mix producers and paving contractors at national level 1,100 members 21 members of staff Highly qualified team Guided by Strategic Plan Advance innovation and quality Advocate for highway and airport investment Promote the use of asphalt pavements Serve the industry Partners SAPA’s, NCAT, Chamber, Labor, Agencies, International National Asphalt Pavement Association

Progress Report Secured Hours of Service Relief Crystalline Silica Agreement PSA on Distracted Driving in Work Zone NAPA Care Program Endowed Work Zone Safety Asphalt Paving Module FHWA Cooperative Agreement Annual RAP, RAS, WMA Survey PaveXpress Emerald Eco-Label Annual Meeting, World of Asphalt Progress Report

MARKET DRIVERS Asphalt paving tons nationally up about 2% in 2017. Asphalt paving tons will grow in 2018 on strength of state highway funding and commercial/residential markets. Growth in the market will also be determined by how much of the $10 billion in the new 2-year budget deal will be allocated to highways and bridges. KEYS TO THE MARKET Will Congress Move on a Trump Infrastructure Bill and a multi-year FAA bill? Will states continue to increase their own revenues and tolls for transportation projects? Will the Federal Reserve continue to hike interest rates in 2018?

2018 Highway Funding Level Will Grow FAST Act Authorizes $900 million increase for this construction season. In addition, highways and bridges will receive a portion of the $20 billion over 2 years (2018-2019) for infrastructure as part of the McConnell-Schumer-Ryan Budget deal. ? If this meeting was held a week ago I could not say for sure what the funding level for the Federal-Aid Highway Program would be for this construction season. Congress had not passed any of its appropriations bills and the state transportation agencies were relying on short-term continuing resolutions to fund government programs including the Federal-Aid Highway Program. So it was an unexpected surprise to see the congressional leadership finally do their job and allocate more funding for infrastructure. The deal reached last week would allocate $10 billion more for infrastructure. The Appropriators will have to decide how much of that will be allocated to the Federal-aid Highway Program. The bottom line is that our industry should see growth in the highway construction markets this year compared to last year due to the $900 million increase authorized by the FAST Act and the additional funds provided in the Budget Deal. The next step will be for the House and Senate Appropriations to finalize the Transportation Appropriations Bill and reconcile the differences, and then roll It into an omnibus appropriations, probably in early March. At that time, the state highway agencies will know their full year budget and start awarding contracts. And note this was a two year deal. This is excellent news for our industry and gives us the most certainty we have had in a long time. 2018 Highway Funding Level Will Grow

Motor Fuel Tax Increases: 2013-2017 Since 2013, 26 states have increased or adjusted taxes on motor fuel to support needed transportation investments. Another factor to consider when looking at the market for asphalt pavement, since 2013, 26 states have increased or adjusted taxes on motor fuel (8 of them last year) to support needed transportation investments including Tennessee and South Carolina, two deeply red states. And its not just increases in the gas tax. Many states are looking at tolling as a powerful and effective way and a very specific way to pay for new infrastructure as well as generate funds to pay for existing infrastructure. We are seeing a number of states that do not currently have tolls express an interest in doing so. States like Connecticut, Michigan, Wyoming and others. Some states are beyond considering it. New toll roads or toll lanes are opening this year in Texas, Colorado, Florida, North Carolina and Virginia. Oregon will be adding congestion pricing to highways to help manage congestion in and around Portland later this year. These are exciting trends that the industry should be supporting Motor Fuel Tax Increases: 2013-2017

Trump Infrastructure Plan $200 billion to leverage $1 – $1.8 trillion No funding source identified Allocation to highways not provided Infrastructure grants limited to 20% federal match Tolling allowed anywhere “One Agency, One Decision” for environmental reviews NAPA Reaction Support President for moving ball forward Need Congress to create a “different” proposal Trump Infrastructure Plan

Highway Trust Fund Shortfall in 2021 A serious issue that is not impacting the market yet - but it soon will- is the fact that revenues into the Highway Trust Fund are not keeping pace with spending. NAPA tried very hard to get Congress to try and fix this revenue gap as part of the tax reform bill. The congressional leadership decided not to fix the Highway Trust Fund. Obviously we are disappointed that Congress decided to take a pass on fixing the Highway Trust Fund but that does not mean we give up. We have to keep the pressure on Congress to reconsider this issue and come up with a viable solution to shore up the Highway Trust Fund. Just last month The U. S. Chamber of Commerce called for an increase in the federal gas tax of 25-cents a gallon, phased in over five years. The business group and many others have long been calling for a boost in the gas tax, which is now 18.4 cents a gallon and hasn't been increased since 1993. NAPA is supporting that effort which will be a key talking point in the TCC Fly-In this May. Highway Trust Fund Shortfall in 2021

Changes NAPA Wants Dedicate funding specifically for highways Fix the Highway Trust Fund 5 cents per year for 5 years plus indexing Dedicate funding specifically for highways Water, broadband, hospitals cannot suck up all funding. Fund existing FAST Act programs Prioritize NHS, Freight, Interstate Maintenance Allocate funding to the states Promote leverage but be realistic Preserve state-matching requirements Changes NAPA Wants

Industry Priorities FAA Reauthorization Bill FY 2018 and FY 2019 Highway Funding Honor the highway funding levels in the FAST Act Trump Infrastructure Plan Fix Highway Trust Fund FAA Reauthorization Bill Lift PFC’s cap Industry Priorities

What We Can Do Together! In-District Activities Keep Informed Use NAPA Blog In-District Activities Meet the Member Host a plant Tour Attend Town Hall Write an Op-ed After all of this you are probably wondering what you can do - You can; Keep informed, by using NAPA’s government affairs website. Meet with your members of Congress Work with your local chamber and construction groups and get meetings set-up. Use NAPA as a resource and provide feedback for us to use in meetings with Committees of jurisdiction on the aforementioned issues What We Can Do Together!