Business Demographic Statistics (BDS)

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Presentation transcript:

Business Demographic Statistics (BDS) Michael Biddington, Statistician, UN ESCAP Statistics Division

What is BDS? Like social statistics but for businesses Identifies major life events Births Deaths Size Type Dominated by small business and sole traders

Australian BDS Published once a year Five year timeseries Annual Data Data Items ISIC Size (employees & turnover) Location Alive status Registration type’s

Data files

Size Ranges – Headcount

Size Ranges – Turnover

Survival Rates

Locations

Location data Coded using ‘business address’ Often the headquarters of a business Okay for small businesses Published at low level geographies Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2) Approximately 10-20,000 people per SA2

Type of Businesses

Why Annual? We quarterly frozen frames but… People only have to report once a year Employment estimates once a year Headcount estimates once a year Anything sub-annual would be misleading.

Why Ranges Outlier results are common Ranges hide data errors Financial sector Growth rates are difficult to publish in a meaningful manner Part year reporting Change in activity Small base (high growth rates)

Confidentiality Lower concern But we have reputation to maintain No unit record data should be identifiable Rule of 3 - lowest values are (0,3). Perturbation Table-Builder

Issues with Australian BDS Legal entity basis Not establishment Supermarkets Location data Not high quality Scope Peoples expectations Property investment

Production methods SAS computer code Use one Frozen frame per year Combined data set has value for each year Except ISIC / Type / Location – simplify Changes historical data

Quality checks Publication has high error rate Know your data! Employment estimator Location mapping Scoping (Invalid ISIC) Know your data! Timeseries analysis Compare with other published data

Feedback from users Many errors identified by users Communicated to us privately Many eyes help quality Users need help with understanding data Explanatory notes have changed often

Consultancy ABS does sell custom data sets on BDS Industry analysis Companies Other government department Minister requests Industry analysis Often say no Too much confidentiality / perturbation Propose different product to meet client needs Charge by data cell &

Q&A Thank you