Analysis of the Santa Clara River flood: Jan 9-12, 2005

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Presentation transcript:

Analysis of the Santa Clara River flood: Jan 9-12, 2005 Alan Moller – CEE 6440

Where is the Santa Clara Basin?

Initial duties: Develop a base map of the Santa Clara Basin NHDPlus Flowlines Watershed Boundary DataSet Locate weather/stream monitoring stations USGS Stream gages (4) COOP weather stations (7) SNOTEL weather stations (4)

Base map with monitoring stations (USGS)

When did the precipitation occur?

When did the precipitation occur?

Some Radar Imagery The radar used here is located roughly 55 miles to the NE of the Santa Clara Basin and stands at an elevation of nearly 10000 feet. Jan 9 Jan 10 Jan 11 Jan 12

Limitations of Radar Data Complex Terrain leads to blockage Larger distance from radar reduces quality Radar beam too high Radar beam width too wide Ideal

How much precipitation fell? Based on COOP and SNOTEL data Total Event Precipitation (Dec 25-Jan 15) Jan 1-15 Total Dec 25-31 Total

So what’s normal? Avg. Dec + Jan Precip. (in) Avg. Dec. Precip. (in) Avg. Jan. Precip. (in)

Precipitation Anomalies for the event (Dec 25-Jan 15 Totals) – (Dec+Jan Average) (Jan 1-15)-(Jan Avg) (Dec 25-31)-(Dec Avg)

Percent of Normal Dec 25-Jan 15 Totals compared to the Dec+Jan Average

Stream Response

Land use near the river Santa Clara, UT St. George, UT Orange: Residential Green: Riparian Other Colors: Various Crops

SNOTEL data shows other factors at play: - Snowfall changing to rain leading to increased runoff due to extra snowmelt

Further Work Calculate Runoff Ratio More problematic due to combination of Rain and additional snowmelt Compare results with data from the Precipitation Frequency Data Server To get a more thorough understanding of the statistical significance of this event

Thank You