U.S. Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Weather Outlook Mike Tannura Owner, Meteorologist and Agricultural Economist T-storm Weather, LLC Advance Trading Chicago, Illinois April 12, 2013

Major Drought Lingers Source: High Plains Regional Climate Center

U.S. Winter Wheat Production

Precipitation (Percent of Normal) Weighted By U.S. Crop Production 180-Day Period Ending Yesterday 39% of HRW wheat in drought, compared to 2% of SRW wheat and 10% of corn

Winter Wheat Rated Poor and Very Poor As of Monday, April 8 Includes more than 50% of wheat in Nebraska, South Dakota, and Texas

U.S. Corn Production

Source: National Weather Service Much of the central / northern Plains and Corn Belt were wet over the long term Precipitation Percent of Normal, 180-Day Period Ending Yesterday

U.S. Corn Yield Data source: National Agricultural Statistics Service

U.S. Corn Yield Data source: National Agricultural Statistics Service Yields represent the departure from the linear trend over

U.S. Corn Yield and Lagged September-April Precipitation* * Precipitation in Illinois-Indiana-Iowa Data sources: National Agricultural Statistics Service, National Climatic Data Center Yields represent the departure from the linear trend over

Snowpack Yesterday at 1 AM Central Time Snowpack is widespread from the Canada Prairies into the north-central U.S.

Snowpack One Year Ago Yesterday at 1 AM Central Time Snowpack is widespread from the Canada Prairies into the north-central U.S.

Coldness and Jet Stream Cannot Move With Snowpack

Ongoing / Upcoming Pattern Likely To Limit Corn Planting

Neutral Conditions Exist And Are Expected To Continue – El Niño or La Niña Conditions Do Not Exist

Data source: Climate Prediction Center

Data source: Climate Prediction Center, National Agricultural Statistics Service Neutral conditions persisted 10 times over January-October since , 1961, 1962, 1967, 1979, 1980, 1981, 1990, 1993, and 2004 Neutral Conditions

Data source: Climate Prediction Center, National Agricultural Statistics Service Neutral conditions persisted 10 times over January-October since , 1961, 1962, 1967, 1979, 1980, 1981, 1990, 1993, and 2004 U.S. Corn Yield and Neutral Conditions

March Temperature Across Illinois-Indiana-Iowa

10 Coldest Marches Across Illinois-Indiana-Iowa

July Temperature Across Illinois-Indiana-Iowa After The Coldest Marches

July Precipitation Across Illinois-Indiana-Iowa After The Coldest Marches

Thank You! Questions? Mike Tannura Owner, Meteorologist, Agricultural Economist Website: Phone: (312) Toll Free Phone: (866)